Stuart Rutter WSOP side event package, selling at 1.0

[easypickings]

$1,000 Mini Main Event

I feared the lines, but wanted to make sure that I got here as close to the start as possible.

Lines were bad, but not the worst, so we're settling for a 11:10am arrival.

Table looks decent

60k starting stack, 100-200 start, 30 minute levels

[RedFox]

Good luck today - as per last year your updates/musings are appreciated especially your thought process 

[easypickings]

$1,000 mini main event

There's alot of limping, this is looking promising.

One of note so far. I raise HJ with to 600 at 100-200(200BBA), button calls, small blind calls.

Flop is . SB checks, I bet 1,100 into 2,100. Just the SB calls

The small blind has been talking about the previous pot, cursing himself for not folding the river, when he "knew he was beat." I think it's right for me to turn my hand into a potential bluff turn and river on a lot of run-outs anyway, but this seals it.  The big thing is of course that I think we can trust most players (and definitely him) to check-raise the sets and straight on the flop.

Turn is .

The good thing about a turn bet is that i have the merge of claiming my EV against flush draws, potentially folding out better , but also maybe a hand like 54 getting stubborn. Basically it's just a situation where a bet carries power.

I bet 2,500 into 4,300. He calls after about thirty seconds.

It's interesting exactly what cards I should bet when checked to on the river (I think most, if not all of them), but in fact, I never get to decide. It's a diamond, and he bets.

River is

He bets 6,600, and I'm not thinking about calling.

52k level four.

[Tal]

Raise with 7 high and flop top pair. Keep doing that, I say. Obviously, avoid the third blue card next time (pro tip).

[easypickings]

$1,000 Mini Main event

New table.

I raise CO to 1,200 at 200-400 (400) with

Board by the river is . I have checked thrice, and called bets of 1,100 and 4,500.

He now bets 15,200 into 15,600

Its always interesting when you have a big "does he have it or not?" decision shortly after joining a table. You have nothing but the usual judgements to go on- if we're honest you do make judgements on age, how they look, and the rest of it. With this guy, that could still however, put him in a few different categories. They might very roughly be:

1) Excited to be at the WSOP, qualified at a local satellite- I probably shouldn't have got to the river in order to make this fold.

2) Bit mad-  The most likely spot to call. Most likely to be betting bit simply because he missed one of the many draws available.

3) A good pro- obviously will take into account that I'm probably capped with three checks. But will also know
how many missed draws his range has. if he is a pro, the large size of the bet possibly veers it a bit towards a fold.

I folded. I think the small flop bet size and large river bet size, turns it more into a fold, whichever category we are putting him in to.

Since then he has made a couple of three bets, and is now getting a massage. Possibly both bad bits of  news for my decision. Just interesting that even the massage (in fact, definitely the massage) is information that should be factored in to poker decisions.

[easypickings]

$1000 Mini Main event

At 300-600(600), I have 33k. Elderly British guy raises to 1,800 UTG. Chinese guy calls on button.

I have   in the small blind.

It may well be a three bet, but if it is a three-bet, it's most definitely a three-bet fold. Three-bet folding is definitely fine in principle. Situations are exploitable and exploitative, and because it means I've run into the very top of the deck, obviously it's only going to happen rarely.

It's such a nice table, that I call to keep the variance down. Big blind (massage guy) comes along.

It comes .

Interestingly, with the action on me, massage guy now checks.

I bet 3,000 into 7,800.

Massage guy now calls. Not a big piece of information that his calling hand wasn't a leading hand (when he thought the action was on him), but potentially gives him more flushes.

Button also calls. I have 24k into 16,800 on the turn

Turn is . I think it's just about a check-fold. I hang myself against the massage guy flush traps often enough. I have a king blocked, and they can't both have the ace of clubs. If I do have the best hand, it actually probably gets checked round alot at least.

Massage guy bets 9,500, and we both fold

32k now

[easypickings]

$1,000 mini main event

Really nice table. Apart from maybe massage guy (from whom we've seen no real showdowns) no one seems to have done anything at all out of line yet.

36k

[easypickings]

$1,000 mini main event

Second break, 33k. Going back to 600-1200(1200)

[easypickings]

$1,000 Mini Main event

This event is a lot of fun. Shame I don't have many chips

24,000 at 800-1600(1600)

[easypickings]

$1000 Mini main event

Ouch ouch ouch ouch ouch

UTG all in for 7k, MP raises to 13k. I have 32k on the button, and .

I move in, he calls.

UTG has . MP has

Board is

Which is a shame

[easypickings]

Bookeeping so far

Sorry that it isn't going very well. I guess one thing that has gone wrong is that we've cashed in the wrong size buy-ins.

Cashes so far

$3,882 and $5,995, for a total of $9,877
$1,500 re-entry not used
$5,250 satellite to the PPC not played

Minus the surplus of  $2,250 we originally left on the package.

So a package value currently of $14,377

Events still to play

$10k limit holdem
$3k no limit holdem
$3k limit holdem six max

[easypickings]

Bookeeping

If anyone would like to send bank details any time from this point (or a request if I already have them) for me to send the (sadly, small) package value so far, of course just let me know

[titaniumbean]

i'll take one big chunk once you win the two limit events then the main ta. 

[easypickings]

$10k Limit Holdem

57,600 from 60k starting stack

Not much interesting in terms of hands, but some interesting proceedings.

We had two unclaimed stacks for a while, and played four handed, with Wasserson giving some encouragement for everyone to play quickly.

Then one of the stacks showed up. He showed a South Korean passport. I think it may be the guy who won the Colossus, but that may be wrong.

The limits started quite simple- 500-1000. He played the first hand- with a raise to 1,300. The dealer pushed the 300 back. At this point it's looking very liekly that we've got an unfortunate man who read a "no" before the "limit" on the schedule. He looked a little confused but played on.

He must have liked the flop. The bet option is 500. He bet 1,700. Now he looked more confused.

The dealer explained that it's limit, and I think he has now taken in that it might be a slightly different day to the one he expected.

[easypickings]

$10,000 Limit Holdem

I have and limp the small. Wasserson checks the big. (he'll never have K-high, probably rarely Q-high)

Flop .

Case for betting is just to clear out his 4/5/6/7 high. Case Against it is that he may choose to do something different with them.

It's fairly reasonable to check-call, effectively to pick up a bluff when ten high is good, and take my double gutter.

Turn is . We both check

River is . I check, he bets....

Clearly my hand is a bluff catcher, so what are my chances of catching?
 
His value

He definitely bets a 9. I think he bets a 4. He really should never have king high, given the pre-flop check. A jack? There would be a case for checking the turn to get one street, but I don't really see it. So actually, his value range is fairly narrow.

His bluffs

The problem is that it just doesn't look like a bluff line. If he has air, the turn looks a good spot for him to pick it up often enough. I am reasonably well protected by the fact that I can still be trapping a Jack. He'll think that I have a 9 a fair bit, and am going to be calling it

I think it's just about a fold, but it's a good bluff if he has made it