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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13520456 times)
Tal
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"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91170 on:
November 24, 2014, 10:13:27 AM »
At the point Anand resigned, one of the engines (chess computers) had worked out a checkmate in sixteen moves against any defence. In the old days (I'm talking probably until the War), if a player spotted a mate, he could declare it ("I declare mate in six moves, sir, against any defence") and the opponent, out of a sense of etiquette, would allow him to play it, rather than resigning a lost position.
Great analysis, Tighty.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91171 on:
November 24, 2014, 10:22:29 AM »
Quote from: Chompy on November 23, 2014, 07:31:59 PM
£80 on Bristol City to beat Posh on Friday please, 13-8 with 356.
Taylor, Maddison and Baldwin are all out and Ferguson will be on his way before much longer. He's completely lost the plot and is only still there now because of past achievements.
There's no belief and TV games have been tough for a while. There could be carnage here, the crowd's unlikely to be over 5,000 and it's again going to be like a library.
We have zero creativity in midfield and Santos is not ready.
Brizzle have lost their last two, against Swindon and Preston, and this is a key game for them. They'll go out pumped up, expecting tough opposition and will be surprised at how easy it is.
just reached this, 11-8 now at our friends in the Potteries
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1/peterborough-v-bristol-city/winner
i got what i could on at betfred at 8/5
£50.00 Single
Market Selection Price Hcp
Peterborough United v Bristol City
Match Result
Bristol City 8/5
Total stake £ 50.00
Estimated return £ 130.00
Full stake £ 50.00
Full estimated return £ 130.00
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91172 on:
November 24, 2014, 10:23:04 AM »
Quote from: Chompy on November 23, 2014, 07:40:14 PM
Interesting potential cover spot...
Band Aid is on the driff for Xmas no.1 and the X Factor winner is generally around 8-15 now.
Laddies are shortest price about Band Aid (11-8) for Xmas No.1 and have split the X Factor contestants up as follows...
9-4 Fleur, 4 Andrea, 6 Ben, 12 Lauren, 20 Stereo Dicks.
An Andrea double (9-4 and 8-15) only comes to around 4-1 but I still think this is a decent bet (9-4 is tight going by Betty). For me he'd be more likely to have a Xmas No.1 than, say, the Stereo Dicks.
Flick in a pony at 4-1 ta.
what is the current situation with Band Aid please?
why would it be drifting?
ty
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91173 on:
November 24, 2014, 10:26:14 AM »
Quote from: Doobs on November 24, 2014, 12:46:14 AM
I don't really mind laying back the £30 or so I have put on X factor on Fleur at 2.16. Looks short enough to me and the cost is pretty marginal as we put our first bet on Betfair (so we don't get done for 5% + the spread). 2.14/2.16 isn't much of a spread do we might be doing .5%.
Think Fleur is still the most likely but hope some got that 5/1 Ben as a bit of cover. As Chompy mentioned the beardy Italian and his jumper is starting to look a bit dull, and we have to go for the big win now.
Love ya ma and all your mates on the stage dancing like loons. Almost genius that.
would you like me to lay Fleur?
the current position makes me feel all warm inside
misc. X-Factor Fleur East 34.44 20
i note 11/10 best now
http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/x-factor/winning-act
Beardy jumper being in the bottom two and Haenow, Haenow don't dream its over being given a song that made him resemble someone suffering severe constipation means it was quite a material weekend for this bet, no?
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91174 on:
November 24, 2014, 10:28:36 AM »
Quote from: arbboy on November 24, 2014, 02:19:30 AM
NBA Review Sunday
Only 5 games to report on. A lot of our teams/players were in action though.
http://espn.go.com/nba/standings/_/group/3
Portland beat Boston. Win/win situation for the portland div bet and the raps div bet with boston taking another loss. Rondo had 8 assists in the game.
Memphis beat the clippers. Not a good result for the SA spurs div bet or the clippers outright bet. Paul had 5 assists so falls further behind Rondo in 2nd place in the assists market.
The other two games had no implications to our ante post positions.
I want to recommend another ante post bet if we can get on at 888/unibet/32 red (they all use unibets prices). Regular season mvp market. A Davies 6/1 £30 recommended. This kid has had a smoking start to the season on both ends of the floor. He is known as a shut down defender and is right at the top of all the defensive catergories (leads the league in blocks/3rd in steals/5th in rebounds) however he is also currently 2nd in scoring at around 26 points per game.
The main edge here is how badly James is playing. As a previous winner he will have to have a monster season to get the award again. Durant is still injured and out for a few more weeks. Think it will be very hard for him to win it this season missing so much of the regular season. These were the short priced favs ante post. I don't think the market has adjusted enough for Davies who is young and will only improve.
http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/nba-championship/regular-season-mvp
thank you
very happy to throw these across
a weekly summary of the relevant divisions would be good too.
our current bets are a many and plentiful potential bounty
basketball NBA - Rookie of the Year 2014/15 Nerlens Noel 10/1 40
basketball NBA Rookie of the year wiggins 7.0 20
basketball NBA Rookie of the year parker 3.0 40
basketball nba rookie of the year wiggins 7.0 80
basketball nba championship cavaliers 9/2 50
basketball NBA Championship Cavaliers 7/2 100 £50 e/w 1/2 1,2
basketball NBA - Atlantic Division 2014/15 Toronto Raptors 5/6 100
basketball NBA - Southwest Division 2014/15 Dallas Mavericks 10/1 10
basketball NBA - Southwest Division 2014/15 San Antonio Spurs 1.83 60
basketball NBA Championship Chicago Bulls 8/1 40 £20 e/w 1/2 1,2
basketball NBA Championship LA Clippers 12/1 40 £20 e/w 1/2 1,2
basketball NBA Championship Toronto Raptors 66/1 20 £10 e/w 1/2 1,2
basketball NBA Rookie of the Year Jabari Parker 3.5 50
basketball nba season most assists Rajan Rondo 5/2 200 £100 e/w 1/5 1,2,3 (£80 e/w sonour)
basketball NCAA Basketball Duke 10/1 5
basketball NCAA Basketball Duke 10/1 5
basketball NCAA Basketball Duke 10 10
basketball NBA Northwestern division Portland Trailblazers 10/11 55
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Chompy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91175 on:
November 24, 2014, 10:54:27 AM »
Wp Tighty, that's a hella lot of work.
Will leave the X Factor trade entirely up to Doooobs, but we have the double coverage on Cowell for top mentor to add to the Fleur bet. Fleur is as short as her fodds price on the exchanges and I've no idea whether she deserves to be the current price or not.
Got some 6-1 Davies for MVP if yawl wanna take some of it?
"Football/NFL/Racing Enthusiast" has a bill coming from me, so a bit more added on for Davies won't hurt.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91176 on:
November 24, 2014, 10:57:31 AM »
Quote from: Chompy on November 24, 2014, 10:54:27 AM
Got some 6-1 Davies for MVP if yawl wanna take some of it?
clues please. sport? event?
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Nakor
Tinca Tinca
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Serve the spider
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91177 on:
November 24, 2014, 10:59:56 AM »
Just in case anyone hasn't seen it - I believe it broke the internet overnight.
http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000433435/article/giants-odell-beckham-makes-catch-of-the-year?module=HP11_cp
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Quote from: mondatoo on April 13, 2011, 09:14:50 PM
Shit post Nakor, such a clown.
What do you get when you cross a joke with a rhetorical question?
arbboy
Hero Member
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91178 on:
November 24, 2014, 11:02:59 AM »
Quote from: arbboy on November 24, 2014, 02:19:30 AM
NBA Review Sunday
Only 5 games to report on. A lot of our teams/players were in action though.
http://espn.go.com/nba/standings/_/group/3
Portland beat Boston. Win/win situation for the portland div bet and the raps div bet with boston taking another loss. Rondo had 8 assists in the game.
Memphis beat the clippers. Not a good result for the SA spurs div bet or the clippers outright bet. Paul had 5 assists so falls further behind Rondo in 2nd place in the assists market.
The other two games had no implications to our ante post positions.
I want to recommend another ante post bet if we can get on at 888/unibet/32 red (they all use unibets prices). Regular season mvp market. A Davies 6/1 £30 recommended. This kid has had a smoking start to the season on both ends of the floor. He is known as a shut down defender and is right at the top of all the defensive catergories (leads the league in blocks/3rd in steals/5th in rebounds) however he is also currently 2nd in scoring at around 26 points per game.
The main edge here is how badly James is playing. As a previous winner he will have to have a monster season to get the award again. Durant is still injured and out for a few more weeks. Think it will be very hard for him to win it this season missing so much of the regular season. These were the short priced favs ante post. I don't think the market has adjusted enough for Davies who is young and will only improve.
http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/nba-championship/regular-season-mvp
This Tighty. I sneaked it into the daily nba report.
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TightEnd
Administrator
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91179 on:
November 24, 2014, 11:05:53 AM »
Quote from: arbboy on November 24, 2014, 11:02:59 AM
Quote from: arbboy on November 24, 2014, 02:19:30 AM
NBA Review Sunday
Only 5 games to report on. A lot of our teams/players were in action though.
http://espn.go.com/nba/standings/_/group/3
Portland beat Boston. Win/win situation for the portland div bet and the raps div bet with boston taking another loss. Rondo had 8 assists in the game.
Memphis beat the clippers. Not a good result for the SA spurs div bet or the clippers outright bet. Paul had 5 assists so falls further behind Rondo in 2nd place in the assists market.
The other two games had no implications to our ante post positions.
I want to recommend another ante post bet if we can get on at 888/unibet/32 red (they all use unibets prices). Regular season mvp market. A Davies 6/1 £30 recommended. This kid has had a smoking start to the season on both ends of the floor. He is known as a shut down defender and is right at the top of all the defensive catergories (leads the league in blocks/3rd in steals/5th in rebounds) however he is also currently 2nd in scoring at around 26 points per game.
The main edge here is how badly James is playing. As a previous winner he will have to have a monster season to get the award again. Durant is still injured and out for a few more weeks. Think it will be very hard for him to win it this season missing so much of the regular season. These were the short priced favs ante post. I don't think the market has adjusted enough for Davies who is young and will only improve.
http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/nba-championship/regular-season-mvp
This Tighty. I sneaked it into the daily nba report.
Yes, ty
tikay doesn't have 888/unibet/32red
so Chompy can you spare £30? or give a figure you can let the thread have
let me know thanks
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Chompy
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Posts: 11852
Expert
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91180 on:
November 24, 2014, 11:07:58 AM »
£30 booked.
Invoice in post.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
Doobs
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Posts: 16581
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91181 on:
November 24, 2014, 11:16:39 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on November 24, 2014, 10:26:14 AM
Quote from: Doobs on November 24, 2014, 12:46:14 AM
I don't really mind laying back the £30 or so I have put on X factor on Fleur at 2.16. Looks short enough to me and the cost is pretty marginal as we put our first bet on Betfair (so we don't get done for 5% + the spread). 2.14/2.16 isn't much of a spread do we might be doing .5%.
Think Fleur is still the most likely but hope some got that 5/1 Ben as a bit of cover. As Chompy mentioned the beardy Italian and his jumper is starting to look a bit dull, and we have to go for the big win now.
Love ya ma and all your mates on the stage dancing like loons. Almost genius that.
would you like me to lay Fleur?
the current position makes me feel all warm inside
misc. X-Factor Fleur East 34.44 20
i note 11/10 best now
http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/x-factor/winning-act
Beardy jumper being in the bottom two and Haenow, Haenow don't dream its over being given a song that made him resemble someone suffering severe constipation means it was quite a material weekend for this bet, no?
I don't know how much we have on Cowell, but lay £30+that at 2.14 or 2.16. Seems pretty short to me now, but as I say we want to go for the big win still. All I have done myself is make sure I don't lose on betfair and haven't hedged the non betfair bets.
Don't know much about Band Aid, seems some pretty hefty negative comments out there this time. Not my bet though.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91182 on:
November 24, 2014, 11:24:28 AM »
We have £50 Smon winning judge 4/1 (Chompy)
this gives us Ben Haenow running for us too
Fleur, Ben and the cast of Oliver are winners for us
Beardy and Lauren losers
for now i have placed the £34.44 Fleur to lay back and its up there at 2.14
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
Administrator
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91183 on:
November 24, 2014, 11:41:39 AM »
now matched
Fleur 34.44 at 2.14 liability 39.26
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
claypole
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Posts: 4131
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #91184 on:
November 24, 2014, 12:08:02 PM »
The situation with Band Aid is that it's absolutely friendless and the view is it cannot hold four weeks. The drift occurred the day after we discussed the hedge at 1.54 (general 4/7 at time) - I am guessing based in postive sales.
Sales edged past 350,000, outsold band aid 20 and the issue here is obviously the download market which is huge and I mis-read the impact short term. Guess we still have an out with the Cd release however general view is by time X Factor release on 14th we can't sustain sales to beat Fleur.
A few industry reports saying it could hold today, however probably needs sales to flatten and then hit c450k again Christmas werk to cop. Not confident as bet fair always right ha ha
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