Based on my pre-season analysis, these are my season long bet suggestions, along with some associated notes. I'm not going to suggest stakes, but I will give an indication into what the price should be. I'm also very much focussing on quality over quantity this season.
Drivers' Champion - Charles Leclerc @ 4/1+. From what I have seen, I believe Ferrari to have the quickest car be 0.
per lap. I do expect Mercedes to out-develop them as the season progresses, but the damage will be done by then. I'm so excited to see Leclerc vs Vettel. IMO this is the driver with the most raw talent of all time (Leclerc) against the best of all time (Vettel). Vettel should have the upper hand at the start of the season, and they'll push each other to improve as the season progresses too. Charles has a higher talent ceiling though and could well be the quicker driver come the end of the year. 4/1 is a cracking price, I believe this should be more like 7/2. Note: I also believe Vettel to be value at 2/1.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/f1-2019-drivers-world-championshipConstructors' Champion - Ferrari @ 11/8. As mentioned above, the general consensus is that Ferrari are quicker. However, even if we assume Mercedes are equal on pace, or even a little bit faster, who wins the constructors title? IMO that's still Ferrari. Leclerc and Vettel against Bottas and Hamilton. There's one driver in that list who is clearly the weakest. Bottas had a poor season last year, and it looks to me like he's already mentally beaten this season too - which will effectively gift Ferrari the title. This really is a phenomenal spot, they should be less than EVS. This is a max bet. Let me put it this way; I have never been this keen to put a bet on.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/constructors-championship/winnerChampionship W/O Big Six - Alex Albon @ 33/1. Occasionally, some drivers perform considerably better in F1 than they ever demonstrated in lower categories, and I believe Albon will be an example of this. He looked extremely comfortable in testing with impressive long run pace that appears to have gone unnoticed. I believe the Toro Rosso to be fast too, the car looks well balanced with a stable rear end. I don't expect this one to happen, but it's certainly much more likely than the 33/1 price suggests. I would suggest this should be more like 20/1.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/championship-without-the-big-6I still need to look into some markets, and Australian GP specific bets. Expect another post tomorrow