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| | |-+  Ugh, very well played sir. Throws up.
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Author Topic: Ugh, very well played sir. Throws up.  (Read 13712 times)
Royal Flush
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« Reply #105 on: August 01, 2008, 05:28:11 PM »

Yeah early in comps treat it as a cash game, you can even make a case for making -ive equity calls because you can then use a large stack far more effectively but the maths on that is super complex and requires pretty damn accurate edge calculations that would be near impossible to work out anyway.
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[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
T_Mar
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« Reply #106 on: August 01, 2008, 05:48:38 PM »

Right nice one ... Thanks for that
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Longy
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« Reply #107 on: August 02, 2008, 03:09:37 PM »

I'm just learning some ICM stuff, and worked it out as a fold.

Calling + Winning = 49.509% EQ
Calling + Losing = 0% EQ
Folding = 35.411% EQ

equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    44.831%     44.35%    00.48%         888446904      9690270.00   { 22+, A8s+, KTs+, QJs, ATo+, KJo+, QJo }
Hand 1:    55.169%     54.69%    00.48%        1095568236      9690270.00   { 99 }

So with hero's 99 has 55.169% equity.

Calling equity = (0.55169 * 0.49509) + (0.44831 * 0.0)
                   = 0.2731362021

Folding equity = 0.35411

(0.273 - 0.354) * $3750= -$303.75

Calling loses us $303.75.

If longy or some ICM whizz could have a scan at that it would be great.

I call in this spot probs.  Usual players will jam 22+ and QJ+ in this spot i'd imagine.

ahh, [  ] wp sir.

Yeah done the calcs myself and this is correct.

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AlexMartin
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« Reply #108 on: August 02, 2008, 04:25:49 PM »

I think Villain's range is wider than the one LeKnave uses.

lol, u surely joshing?  pretty incredible that folding is correct even with this wide a range.
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LeKnave
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« Reply #109 on: August 02, 2008, 05:49:22 PM »

Yeah done the calcs myself and this is correct.

Cheers mate.
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« Reply #110 on: August 02, 2008, 05:57:52 PM »

You've never arrived already boys.
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LeKnave
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« Reply #111 on: August 02, 2008, 06:25:42 PM »

You've never arrived already boys.

lol, sat nav, yo.

bailed on nando's though.
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NoflopsHomer
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« Reply #112 on: August 03, 2008, 04:39:12 PM »

I think Villain's range is wider than the one LeKnave uses.

lol, u surely joshing?  pretty incredible that folding is correct even with this wide a range.

You don't think he'd shove J-T, suited connectors and most aces here?
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