Bet 12k, make it try to look like a weak continuation bet thats screaming to be reraised because you've got AK and missed the flop.
I like this line, its my standard line the question is do you change that for table conditions, no-one was doing anything funky in this comp they were all playing like scared money, it is nigh on impossible that someone is going to make a move in this tournament.
Whoa some people have real "monsters under the table" syndrome here. The button has AA-JJ very rarely. He has limped the button behind 2 limpers and then flatted a raise from the sb. This is not how a big pair often plays. His range generally is made up of suited connectors and small pairs here imo.
He very likely has a drawing hand of some kind so either a medium to small pair or a connector. So there really isn't any point in trying to suck him in. He has either hit a set or has picked up a draw, so bet the pot or thereabouts.
I agree with these 2 posts his range here is probably smaller pairs and suited connectors, JJ-AA i say here approx 1% of the time.
Doubleup's line makes sense, this is a good flop for our oppo's most likely range.
On the flop I'm betting somehwere in the region of 26k, hoping that he has JJ + and is prepared to play back at me, I don't want him flat calling and hitting a danger card on the turn, I am happy for him to fold here or to push.
What danger cards are there? How can you possibly want your oppo to fold when you have the nuts?
i check too. What are u scared of? If he has JJ-AA or a set hes going nowhere, he is only folding and under pair that hasnt made a set or aq /ak etc so no need to scare him of. Check call the flop and bet the turn is my thinking.
I like this line as well as Longy's. The question is why do you flat call then bet the turn? This is going to stop him bluffing the turn, its the way i would bluff in these spots more than VB, it really limits his options IMO.
bet to find out where you are
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