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Karabiner
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« Reply #675 on: June 15, 2011, 08:44:54 PM » |
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Just seen that all four of my picks, Toms, Poults, Manassero, and FrankieM are drawn to play in the afternoon.
Just in case there's a draw bias and to give myself an early sweat have added PodH @130.
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #676 on: June 15, 2011, 10:07:56 PM » |
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Goosen
F.Molinari
Gay
Laird
Chalmers
Only want a sweat!
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outragous76
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« Reply #677 on: June 15, 2011, 10:36:15 PM » |
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is poulter not a e/w value bet @ 60/1?
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".....and then I spent 2 hours talking with Stu which blew my mind.........."
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Karabiner
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« Reply #678 on: June 15, 2011, 10:42:37 PM » |
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is poulter not a e/w value bet @ 60/1?
I like him a lot and he loves the course, still available @ 85 on BF. |
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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Nico29
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« Reply #679 on: June 15, 2011, 10:48:24 PM » |
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Have stuck a few pins in various places for a few quid and a bit of interest. Can't remember who I've got in total, but suffice to say I've never really heard of some of them. Yang, Laird, Casey, some random Korean, some bloke called Kevin and a few more.
Anyway, general question though for those of you who know what you're doing: would you rather have one quarter the odds on an each way bet paying six places, or an outright bet on a top five finish (ties paid in full) at one fifth of the odds to win?
To hopefully make that a bit clearer... Some guy is 100-1 to win. Bet each way at 100-1 paying six places? Or bet on the 'top five' market at 20-1?
I guess overall it doesn't make much difference, but maybe it depends how long their odds are - ie how likely they are to actually win it? Presumably lots of guys at long odds are much more likely to come fifth than first - whereas players at shorter odds are maybe as likely to win as they are to come fifth?
Very interesting qstn. To be honest it all depends if u think yr selection is value at the win part of the bet or not. If so then by all means embrace that top 6 ew bet which will give you 25-1 on the place rather than the 20s you mention. If yr just after the place part get on that speciality bet at slightly inferior odds imo. Personally wld feel sick if i backed some1 to place and they won, but im greedy. is poulter not a e/w value bet @ 60/1?
Cldnt bk him myself at prices bigger than that, oh and 66-1 is freely available as is as mentioned above bigger outright win only on betfair. |
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Nico29
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« Reply #680 on: June 16, 2011, 02:10:24 AM » |
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Topped up on course specialist furyk (3 top tens in last 3 visits) and also think ive found another gem in allenby.
He's had two top tens at this crse b4, looked on good form last week and seems generally overpriced.
Also have had to save on ultra consistent donald, i have to sweat at least one european.
Was tempted by anthony kim ew first 6@175-1 with stans earlier in the week but i cldnt get on and price went.
Best cap it now as i've risked over a quarter of my balance.
All my bets are as follows:
Outright market.
2pts win Mickleson@16-1
2pts win Luke Donald@14-1
2pts ew Furyk@ 57.5-1 (first 6 places)
1pt ew K J Choi@33-1
1pt ew Allenby@125-1
1pt ew Snedeker@66-1
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Top of markets.
0.5pt ew top american Snedeker@30-1 (first 4 places)
0.5 pt ew top american Furyk@25-1 (first 4 places)
3.5pts Furyk to be in top 20@2-1
2.5pts ew Allenby top ROW@25-1 (first 4 places)
1pt Allenby top Australian@9-1
Balance=57.15 points.
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« Last Edit: June 16, 2011, 02:12:02 AM by Nico29 »
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Matt50
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« Reply #681 on: June 16, 2011, 09:10:50 AM » |
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Most of my bets were done 3 or 4 weeks ago - really think this is finally going to be the one Westwood wins.
Big bet on westie @ 17
McDowell @ 65
Furyk @ 65
F Molinari @ 120
Van Pelt @ 200
Ishikawa @ 300
Good luck all
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ChipRich
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« Reply #682 on: June 16, 2011, 09:47:38 AM » |
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added
F Molinari
Allenby
Colsaerts
Davis Love III
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chrisbruce
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« Reply #683 on: June 16, 2011, 10:01:31 AM » |
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Only 2 bets for me
Luke Donald e/w at 14/1
Big Lay of Westwood at 12/1 - unreal price for a superb golfer who unfortunately CANNOT putt under presure. Westwood should have won at Wentworth but totally lost his puttting stroke on the back nine. Add to that US open fast greens and he is a lay for me.
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LeKnave
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« Reply #684 on: June 16, 2011, 10:14:58 AM » |
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Mickelson @ 16.5
Johnson @ 25.0
Poulter @ 85.0
Manassero @ 100.0
F Molinari @ 120.0
Hoffman @ 270.0
Tryon @ 1000.0
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T_Mar
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« Reply #685 on: June 16, 2011, 10:24:06 AM » |
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Really fancy Westy, gone a bit nuts and have 5ptswin total now,
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Horneris
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« Reply #686 on: June 16, 2011, 10:41:49 AM » |
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Massive Bet on Dustin Johnson (NAP) a few weeks back @ 30/1 to win.
And for sweats:
Brandt Snedeker @ 70.0
Rickie Fowler @ 82.78
Francesco Molinari @ 120.0
Ryan Moore @ 110.0
Henrik Stenson @ 512.5
Ben Crane @ 260
Nicolas Colsaerts @ 330
Marc "The Lizard" Leishman @ 380
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outragous76
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« Reply #687 on: June 16, 2011, 12:26:05 PM » |
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Donald 12/1 e/w (banker)
Mickelson 13/1 win
D Johnson 24/1 e/w
Poulter 55/1 ew
B Watson 35/1 e/w
Levet 325/1 e/w (sweat)
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".....and then I spent 2 hours talking with Stu which blew my mind.........."
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Linux
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« Reply #688 on: June 16, 2011, 12:41:32 PM » |
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NIR Graeme McDowell @ 70
USA Matt Kuchar @ 24
ESP Alvaro Quiros @ 110
USA Hunter Mahan Titleist @ 28
USA Bubba Watson Titleist @ 50
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7 seasons, 1 Promotion, 2 relegations, 3 play off exits, 1 play off bubble, 25 points deducted. we are leeds and we are back. https://twitter.com/jpmood| Click to see full-size image. |
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sweet potata!
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« Reply #689 on: June 16, 2011, 12:47:44 PM » |
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NIR Graeme McDowell @ 70
USA Matt Kuchar @ 24
ESP Alvaro Quiros @ 110
USA Hunter Mahan Titleist @ 28
USA Bubba Watson Titleist @ 50
Are you a Titleist rep? Good plug! |
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