My tennis betting diary

[Dubai]

If you strongly fancy Aza then no need to have 2 pts on unders, just have more on 2-0 at a much bigger price. Why exactly are you betting unders? Because when you place this bet you are effectively saving on Sharapova 2-0

[Dubai]

You can't win if it goes 3 sets and u LOSE the bet if Aza wins like 7-6 6-3, but you are taking 20/19 and 2-0 is 2-1. So you have backed Sharapova to win 2-0 and not even a tight 2-0 that includes a tie-break. You defo need to sit and understand the odds more

[Horneris]

Not sure Azarenka will be clutch enough to win in straight sets in her first slam final, she wasn't in the quarters or semis.

No bets from me but Aza in 3 is my prediction/guess.

[Solaris]

If you strongly fancy Aza then no need to have 2 pts on unders, just have more on 2-0 at a much bigger price. Why exactly are you betting unders? Because when you place this bet you are effectively saving on Sharapova 2-0

The unders/overs market is something I look to bet on in-play and is something I intend to get involved with. I like to start with a small bet and then look to change as and when. I'll most likely have a lot of units shifting on the unders/overs depending on what I see occurring as I intend to watch the match. I'm not overly concerned with the set betting, but feel Azarenka is decent-ish value at 2-0. Much harder to bet in play on set betting imo as opposed to the unders/overs.

That said, I make no secret of the fact I'm not a brilliant gambler per se. I'm better at seeing pre-match prices and in-play win prices and judging accordingly. I'm learning all the time and accept the criticism and whatnot so understand completely where you're coming from.

Could very much be the case I'm a fish on a heater.  

[Dubai]

Nah you obv v knowledgable on tennis but don't know how to put it to practice in best ways. You can easily trade the set markets but seems no need to place the unders bet given what u fancy, for reasons I said above.  I fancy Aza 2-0 anyway so hope u win every bet!

[Solaris]

Not sure Azarenka will be clutch enough to win in straight sets in her first slam final, she wasn't in the quarters or semis.

No bets from me but Aza in 3 is my prediction/guess.

They're locked at 3-3 in the h2h's. In the three she's won they've all be straight sets victories. Looking at the form coming in, other than Kvitova, Sharapova hasn't faced anyone worth talking about whilst Azarenka has disposed of both Clijsters and Radwanska.

We'll see I guess and I fully take your point about it being a final and whatnot, just think if Azarenka gets off to a good start Sharapova's in trouble.

[Dubai]

Basically when you bet UNDERS on women's tennis you are backing a 2 set game that doesn't involve a tiebreak. If you fancy one player strong then backing her to win 2-0 and unders is basically a huge error because you get a worse price about the same outcome and even lose on certain scenarios such as 7-6 6-3. You dont fancy Sharapova 2-0 but ~40% of the unders price is Sharapova winning 2-0

[Solaris]

Nah you obv v knowledgable on tennis but don't know how to put it to practice in best ways. You can easily trade the set markets but seems no need to place the unders bet given what u fancy, for reasons I said above.  I fancy Aza 2-0 anyway so hope u win every bet!

That's a fair comment. Think I find it harder to trade in the set markets with the women due to the shorter nature of the game. I've had a few drinks too so making sense of things isn't top of the agenda right now! Will endeavour to work hard to resolve my errors in any case!

Anyway, hope we both win. Off to bed now need some sleep before I mute the sound button and watch the match.

GL to anyone betting on it.

Will sort my bets out based on what I've read and understood.

This will be the final total for units that I'm using (before trading anyway):

Azarenka @ 3/4 v Sharapova (5 units)
Azarenka - 1.5 games @ 10/11 (5 units)
Under 21.5 games @20/19 (2 units)
Azarenka to win 2-0 @ 2/1 (4 units)

Hopefully that looks a bit better...

[Solaris]

+ 2.51 from yesterday

Azarenka @ 3/4 v Sharapova (5 units) WON + 3.75 units
Azarenka - 1.5 games @ 10/11 (5 units) WON + 4.55 units
Under 21.5 games @20/19 (2 units) WON + 2.1 units
Azarenka to win 2-0 @ 2/1 (4 units) WON + 8 units

20.91 total including the 2.51.

TOTAL PROFIT: + 124.89 units

Azarenka took 12 of the last 13 games...wow.

[Solaris]

Bemelmans @ 6/5 v Stebe (4 units)
Odesnik @ 5/4 v Prodon (3 units)
Ginepri to win 2-0 @ 6/4 (3 units)

[MereNovice]

+ 2.51 from yesterday

Azarenka @ 3/4 v Sharapova (5 units) WON + 3.75 units
Azarenka - 1.5 games @ 10/11 (5 units) WON + 4.55 units
Under 21.5 games @20/19 (2 units) WON + 2.1 units
Azarenka to win 2-0 @ 2/1 (4 units) WON + 8 units

20.91 total including the 2.51.

TOTAL PROFIT: + 124.89 units

Azarenka took 12 of the last 13 games...wow.

She was a bit overawed at the start and had me worried at 0-2 0-30.
After that, it couldn't have been more one-sided - great result!

[mondatoo]

In any other era he'd have multiple slam titles

Today he was superb, djok was also superb, it could've gone either way. Criticising either player is just ridic

At 5-5 in the 5th he had two break ploints. A real champion wins that game. Over 4-5 years Murray has only asmall minority of these matches in the last 4 of a major

Yes the other three are better, but a real real battler wins a few more than Murray has done.

ridic

so murray's shit because he lost that game

djok was 5-2 up in the final set and let murray back into it including losing his service to love. he's obv terrible too as a real champion would never do that

nadal must've been licking his lips watching that knowing that whoever won he was going to be up against a pretty shit player on sunday

Murray didn't make a mistake in that game, Djokovic played out of his skin, his 1st serves where unbelievable when he need them most.

He had 3 btw 

Dear Raymondo, I've let it go for ages because I don't want to be a pedant. I even read China Mugs posts without commenting on the odd typo, however, the fkn word is were, were WERE
WERE

 

[Solaris]

She was a bit overawed at the start and had me worried at 0-2 0-30.
After that, it couldn't have been more one-sided - great result!

Was on the verge of doing some trading as it didn't look good for me! Well played to her, deserved champion.

Adding in-play: Phau @ 9/4 v Meffert (4 units) 3-6 0-0.

[Solaris]

TOTAL PROFIT: + 124.89 units

Adding in-play: Phau @ 9/4 v Meffert (4 units) 3-6 0-0. WON + 9 units
Bemelmans @ 6/5 v Stebe (4 units) WON + 4.8 units
Odesnik @ 5/4 v Prodon (3 units) WON + 3.75 units
Adding 4 units for Bemelmans to win 2-0 @ 12/5 *2-2 15-15 on his serve WON + 9.6 units
Ginepri to win 2-0 @ 6/4 (3 units) LOST - 3 units

+ 24.15

[Solaris]

Stebe struggling badly on his serve.

Adding 4 units for Bemelmans to win 2-0 @ 12/5 *2-2 15-15 on his serve