Tips for Tikay

[Peter-27]

Peter, I just had a thought, you do realize that £20 a point is a little out of sync with your normal fixed odds bet sizing reccs?

Do you consider this a max/max/max?

To be able to buy at 53 is crazy, they should (and I'm sure will) score way more than that. I bet as much as I could afford without impacting my lifestyle/savings.

It's pretty clear that sporting index haven't considered the impact of the new car coming at the next race. The team would get close to 53 points with their current car, let alone their proper 2015 challenger ..

I have a question on the back of this, do spread betting companies ever limit accounts?

What's the liability and profit on his exact bet?

They're currently on 21, I bought at 53, so I make that a liability of £640 after I bought at £20. Profit .. really depends on how many points they score! I'm predicting 125 points as a minimum, but let's say 100 to be safe. That would be a profit of £940.

Interestingly, since I posted my views on here, the buy value has gone up to 62 .. is that really just due to TFT's influence?!  

It's because the quote was updated after they both were in top 10 after 2nd practice.

I checked straight after 2nd practice and it was 54. Now 62.

It was 62 when Joe posted yesterday.  So the price moved between 2nd practice and Joe's post?  

No doubt you move the prices on these markets, especially the thin ones.  I have seen some very big moves this year. I am not sure about what happened here though.

Yeah, bit of a weird one. It's very interesting monitoring the prices

Alonso needs a new gearbox, so another five-place grid penalty to add to the 20 places he already has

Button a 25 place penalty

think we can run the Mclaren position!

i would be tempted to double up Force India for TfT, i must say. £2 a point with (worst case) downside of 62-21=41 points seems reasonable

I have £20 on, that's how strongly I recommend this bet. £640 liability .. eek!  

I'm gonna look through the F1 markets now, will post up some bets in like 15 mins if I see anything.

Nothing at the moment, but the market is still forming.

Will look again at 12:30

The markets are well priced today, sadly for us.

I do like the look of exactly 0.15-0.25 on this market though:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/austrian-grand-prix/qualifying-winning-margin

I suggest £10.

Hah, this bet landed bang on in the middle! 0.20 seconds 

Nice one Peter

Thank you!

Did you get on?

[BigAdz]

Trust me to pick the one Ryan Moore rides that has saddle problems.......another dream over.

[Karabiner]

Not sure what happened to Rivellino there, it must have been hampered as it traded @ 4.1 IR.

<edit> watched the race again and it just didn't see the race out.

[JohnCharver]

blind bet on simcocks horse the only thing that stopped that being a washout for me. Big plunge on the winner just before the off, but was too busy trying to get a price on huntsmans close for the grand national. lolbet with 66/1 for pilgrims rest.

[DungBeetle]

I'm fairly keen on my old friend Rivellino in the Wokingham today.

Ran a stormer to come 3rd in this same race last year carrying 3lbs more.

Worth a Lady Godiva EW @ 33/1 unless anyone vehemently disagrees.

Your bet has now been placed
Single

Rivellino33/15:00 Royal Ascot - 20/06/2015
Each Way
Stake £10.00
Estimated Return:£216.25
Total Stake: £10.00
Potential Return: £216.25

bonus points if you can name this rivellino team kit (no googling!)

Is it fluminese?

[sonour]

Peter, I just had a thought, you do realize that £20 a point is a little out of sync with your normal fixed odds bet sizing reccs?

Do you consider this a max/max/max?

To be able to buy at 53 is crazy, they should (and I'm sure will) score way more than that. I bet as much as I could afford without impacting my lifestyle/savings.

It's pretty clear that sporting index haven't considered the impact of the new car coming at the next race. The team would get close to 53 points with their current car, let alone their proper 2015 challenger ..

I have a question on the back of this, do spread betting companies ever limit accounts?

What's the liability and profit on his exact bet?

They're currently on 21, I bought at 53, so I make that a liability of £640 after I bought at £20. Profit .. really depends on how many points they score! I'm predicting 125 points as a minimum, but let's say 100 to be safe. That would be a profit of £940.

Interestingly, since I posted my views on here, the buy value has gone up to 62 .. is that really just due to TFT's influence?!  

It's because the quote was updated after they both were in top 10 after 2nd practice.

I checked straight after 2nd practice and it was 54. Now 62.

It was 62 when Joe posted yesterday.  So the price moved between 2nd practice and Joe's post?  

No doubt you move the prices on these markets, especially the thin ones.  I have seen some very big moves this year. I am not sure about what happened here though.

Yeah, bit of a weird one. It's very interesting monitoring the prices

Alonso needs a new gearbox, so another five-place grid penalty to add to the 20 places he already has

Button a 25 place penalty

think we can run the Mclaren position!

i would be tempted to double up Force India for TfT, i must say. £2 a point with (worst case) downside of 62-21=41 points seems reasonable

I have £20 on, that's how strongly I recommend this bet. £640 liability .. eek!  

I'm gonna look through the F1 markets now, will post up some bets in like 15 mins if I see anything.

Nothing at the moment, but the market is still forming.

Will look again at 12:30

The markets are well priced today, sadly for us.

I do like the look of exactly 0.15-0.25 on this market though:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/austrian-grand-prix/qualifying-winning-margin

I suggest £10.

Hah, this bet landed bang on in the middle! 0.20 seconds 

Nice one Peter

Thank you!

Did you get on?

Yes, it's very rare I miss any of your stuff

[sonour]

And Formula E is in my diary for next Saturday. The last race of the season I believe ?

[tikay]

i know it can't happen (probably), but lets dream for a moment

US Open   ben martin   250/1   10         £5 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5
US Open   patrick reed 50/1           20         £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6
US Open    Jordan Speith 21.0      94.47

Speith after the layoffs is now a £789 freeroll


come on lads! not as if the greens are tricky or anything

Extraordinary stuff, & a tremendous sweat in the offing.

Doubt we've ever been better placed in a Golf Major, with three genuine big money sweats going into Round 3. We have Matsuyama too, who is far from a forlorn hope. Think we had Woods, too, though we'll swiftly draw a veil over that.

Well done lads.

[tikay]

The time difference means I'm struggling to keep up here, but I think that doobs & nuros both stuck bets on for Fred today.

Let me know if I owe you guys any money, & if so, how much, please.

It's really appreciated.


PS - What a wonderful week we have had so far.

[Chompy]

Ryan confirmed top Royal Ascot jockey.

Gonna be some teeth grinders out there in the bookmaking world!

[Tal]

Who was that clown on the favourite?

He's the Alan Pardew of jockeys.

[BigAdz]

The time difference means I'm struggling to keep up here, but I think that doobs & nuros both stuck bets on for Fred today.

Let me know if I owe you guys any money, & if so, how much, please.

It's really appreciated.


PS - What a wonderful week we have had so far.

I think those of us that are reading your exploits in Vegas, realised we had to work extra hard.........

[Doobs]

The time difference means I'm struggling to keep up here, but I think that doobs & nuros both stuck bets on for Fred today.

Let me know if I owe you guys any money, & if so, how much, please.

It's really appreciated.


PS - What a wonderful week we have had so far.

You don't owe anything, both winners

[tikay]

Ryan confirmed top Royal Ascot jockey.

Gonna be some teeth grinders out there in the bookmaking world!

Well done, amazing value as it turned out.

So glad we busted the structure & had £900, too. Tiddlearsing is for wimps.

[tikay]

The time difference means I'm struggling to keep up here, but I think that doobs & nuros both stuck bets on for Fred today.

Let me know if I owe you guys any money, & if so, how much, please.

It's really appreciated.


PS - What a wonderful week we have had so far.

I think those of us that are reading your exploits in Vegas, realised we had to work extra hard.........

Not wrong. Win more. Send it to Vegas. Quickly.