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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 14740315 times)
Peter-27
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103050 on:
June 21, 2015, 10:39:59 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 21, 2015, 10:32:25 AM
Quote from: Peter-27 on June 21, 2015, 10:29:22 AM
Couple of F1 bet recommendations:
Points Finish - Sergio Perez @ EVS with Cwin. Can't really believe EVS is being offered on this. The Force India is clearly very quick here. Sergio did have a poor qualifying, but he was held up by Alonso (as was Raikkonen too), and that's why both of them went out in Q1. Due to grid penalties, Sergio will start 13th, and he should score points today. Suggest £20.
Group B (MAS/BOT/RAI/MAL) - Valtteri Bottas @ 13/8 with William & Kate Hill.
Raikkonen coming through the field could be a threat to this, but 13/8 is too high. Should be around 11/10. Suggest £10.
our bwin account is closed
anywhere else for this one?
Nope. Might be worth requesting the price on the exchange though?
http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/austrian-grand-prix/points-finish
Also, forgot to link you to the group bet, apologies!
http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/austrian-grand-prix/group-b
This one is available with three hundred and sixty five too.
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103051 on:
June 21, 2015, 10:46:15 AM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on June 21, 2015, 10:39:59 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on June 21, 2015, 10:32:25 AM
Quote from: Peter-27 on June 21, 2015, 10:29:22 AM
Couple of F1 bet recommendations:
Points Finish - Sergio Perez @ EVS with Cwin. Can't really believe EVS is being offered on this. The Force India is clearly very quick here. Sergio did have a poor qualifying, but he was held up by Alonso (as was Raikkonen too), and that's why both of them went out in Q1. Due to grid penalties, Sergio will start 13th, and he should score points today. Suggest £20.
Group B (MAS/BOT/RAI/MAL) - Valtteri Bottas @ 13/8 with William & Kate Hill.
Raikkonen coming through the field could be a threat to this, but 13/8 is too high. Should be around 11/10. Suggest £10.
our bwin account is closed
anywhere else for this one?
Nope. Might be worth requesting the price on the exchange though?
http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/austrian-grand-prix/points-finish
Also, forgot to link you to the group bet, apologies!
http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/austrian-grand-prix/group-b
This one is available with three hundred and sixty five too.
21 Jun 2015 - Austrian F1 Grand Prix - Group Betting - Race - Group 2
Valtteri Bottas @ 13/8
Stake : £10.00
Estimated Returns : £
26.20
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001359/F
Total Stake : £10.00
Unmatched on Perez at the moment
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Chompy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 11854
Expert
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103052 on:
June 21, 2015, 11:57:54 AM »
Quote from: Doobs on June 21, 2015, 10:18:03 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on June 21, 2015, 10:04:16 AM
Quote from: Chompy on June 21, 2015, 04:13:16 AM
Speith could so easily be out of sight, decent birdie putts missed at the last three holes.
We have various options, either leave things as they are, or green up. Can do whatever the big cheeses desire.
your call
Speith apart we have £90 of positions which look less likely to return than they did 24 hours ago
Is 3.3 the right price, too big or too short should be where we start? The bookies are 2/1 best.
I am not much of a trader, but why do we green out on Speith, but not red out on Woods? Easy now to say why we shouldn't have redded out on Woods, so see it more as a general principle discussion.
As far as I'm concerned the exchange price is always right in these spots. Some will have opinions that it should be one way or the other, but it's never 'incorrect' as such imo. Too much is traded by too many who know the sport inside out for it to be wrong.
This is the US Open, not something like Big Brother, where the prices are set by a few Specials rofflers in the absence of the former shrewdies who were shooed away by the Premium Charge.
In this spot it comes down to what the bet owner is happiest doing imo. There are always options. Entirely up to game veteran stayer Teak, third in yesterday's Queen Alexandra and unplaced in several Binion's Omaha comps.
We could let it ride and take the £789 freeroll, or lay £100 @ 3.3, for £569/£100, lay £200 for £339/£200, or stick £100 up at 2.0 and another hundo at 1.5 as insurance.
Logged
"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
BigAdz
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 8152
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103053 on:
June 21, 2015, 12:16:04 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on June 21, 2015, 11:57:54 AM
Quote from: Doobs on June 21, 2015, 10:18:03 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on June 21, 2015, 10:04:16 AM
Quote from: Chompy on June 21, 2015, 04:13:16 AM
Speith could so easily be out of sight, decent birdie putts missed at the last three holes.
We have various options, either leave things as they are, or green up. Can do whatever the big cheeses desire.
your call
Speith apart we have £90 of positions which look less likely to return than they did 24 hours ago
Is 3.3 the right price, too big or too short should be where we start? The bookies are 2/1 best.
I am not much of a trader, but why do we green out on Speith, but not red out on Woods? Easy now to say why we shouldn't have redded out on Woods, so see it more as a general principle discussion.
As far as I'm concerned the exchange price is always right in these spots. Some will have opinions that it should be one way or the other, but it's never 'incorrect' as such imo. Too much is traded by too many who know the sport inside out for it to be wrong.
This is the US Open, not something like Big Brother, where the prices are set by a few Specials rofflers in the absence of the former shrewdies who were shooed away by the Premium Charge.
In this spot it comes down to what the bet owner is happiest doing imo. There are always options.
Entirely up to game veteran stayer Teak, third in yesterday's Queen Alexandra and unplaced in several Binion's Omaha comps.
We could let it ride and take the £789 freeroll, or lay £100 @ 3.3, for £569/£100, lay £200 for £339/£200, or stick £100 up at 2.0 and another hundo at 1.5 as insurance.
Made me chuckle
Logged
Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
Tal
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 24354
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103054 on:
June 21, 2015, 12:25:04 PM »
No, Teak is next door. That's Teak A.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103055 on:
June 21, 2015, 12:48:30 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on June 21, 2015, 11:57:54 AM
Quote from: Doobs on June 21, 2015, 10:18:03 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on June 21, 2015, 10:04:16 AM
Quote from: Chompy on June 21, 2015, 04:13:16 AM
Speith could so easily be out of sight, decent birdie putts missed at the last three holes.
We have various options, either leave things as they are, or green up. Can do whatever the big cheeses desire.
your call
Speith apart we have £90 of positions which look less likely to return than they did 24 hours ago
Is 3.3 the right price, too big or too short should be where we start? The bookies are 2/1 best.
I am not much of a trader, but why do we green out on Speith, but not red out on Woods? Easy now to say why we shouldn't have redded out on Woods, so see it more as a general principle discussion.
As far as I'm concerned the exchange price is always right in these spots. Some will have opinions that it should be one way or the other, but it's never 'incorrect' as such imo. Too much is traded by too many who know the sport inside out for it to be wrong.
This is the US Open, not something like Big Brother, where the prices are set by a few Specials rofflers in the absence of the former shrewdies who were shooed away by the Premium Charge.
In this spot it comes down to what the bet owner is happiest doing imo. There are always options. Entirely up to game veteran stayer Teak, third in yesterday's Queen Alexandra and unplaced in several Binion's Omaha comps.
We could let it ride and take the £789 freeroll, or lay £100 @ 3.3, for £569/£100, lay £200 for £339/£200, or stick £100 up at 2.0 and another hundo at 1.5 as insurance.
as teak is asleep, most likely, for the next 12 hours, any call will have to be yours please
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Chompy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 11854
Expert
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103056 on:
June 21, 2015, 12:51:08 PM »
Will leave then. One time Jordy, pappa needs new shoes. And choc ices.
«
Last Edit: June 21, 2015, 12:53:13 PM by Chompy
»
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
Omm
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3237
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103057 on:
June 21, 2015, 01:24:28 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on June 21, 2015, 12:51:08 PM
Will leave then. One time Jordy, pappa needs new shoes. And choc ices.
Amen to that.
Logged
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103058 on:
June 21, 2015, 03:55:37 PM »
Austrian GP
Profit £59
Rosberg +£50. took the lead at the first corner, led to the end
Verstappen +£15. All three cars in this group with him retired
Hulkenberg +£14 finished ahead of Perez, and both Red Bulls on unusual strategies
Bottas -£10 finshed behind Massa
Nasr -£10 finished 11th
spreads
Force India 10 points making 31 for the season after 8 of 19 races. spread bet pivot is 69
McLaren none, 4 for the season, spread bet pivot 153
season bets
Rosberg 10 points behind Lewis for the championship (on rosberg at 4.0)
Vettel 84 points ahead of Ricciardo (on vettel in a match bet at 6/4)
Kvyat 17 points behind of Ricciardo (on kvyat in a match bet at 9/2)
Silverstone in a fortnight.
With mclaren struggling, and all non mercedes/ferrari cars under the cosh on engine/ relative pace we have a nice forward book
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
horseplayer
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 10601
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103059 on:
June 21, 2015, 04:01:05 PM »
Peter you are seriously good
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MattyHollis
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 839
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103060 on:
June 21, 2015, 04:04:51 PM »
Quote from: horseplayer on June 21, 2015, 04:01:05 PM
Peter you are seriously good
Yes did not follow today's selections but saw the big buy on season points. Know nothing about F1 and hadn't ever watched a race before but was glad to see 6th & 9th for the Force India team today and the new spread showing 77-81.
Do we still expect more than this going forward Peter or will you be looking to close your position after a nice buy?
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Peter-27
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103061 on:
June 21, 2015, 04:14:41 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 21, 2015, 03:55:37 PM
Kvyat 17 points behind of Ricciardo (on kvyat in a match bet at 9/2)
This is an interesting one. I was surprised to see Ricciardo pretty much dominate Kvyat early on, but Kvyat is definitely coming back. Pace wise, Kvyat has been quicker than Ricciardo recently - the battle should run for the duration of the season.
Quote from: horseplayer on June 21, 2015, 04:01:05 PM
Peter you are seriously good
Thank you very much
Quote from: MattyHollis on June 21, 2015, 04:04:51 PM
Quote from: horseplayer on June 21, 2015, 04:01:05 PM
Peter you are seriously good
Yes did not follow today's selections but saw the big buy on season points. Know nothing about F1 and hadn't ever watched a race before but was glad to see 6th & 9th for the Force India team today and the new spread showing 77-81.
Do we still expect more than this going forward Peter or will you be looking to close your position after a nice buy?
I expect Force India to score 125-150 points this season, so I very much doubt I will close the position at all
You've made my day knowing that I've got someone new into F1. Motorsport is my life, and I'm delighted that I am helping it gain in popularity
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MattyHollis
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 839
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103062 on:
June 21, 2015, 04:20:18 PM »
Excellent, I did the same buy ££ as you although at 62 as opposed to the lesser line that you got. Will not be a pussy and hopefully enjoy seeing both drivers score points for the rest of the season - thankyou
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arbboy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103063 on:
June 21, 2015, 06:53:04 PM »
Quote from: horseplayer on June 21, 2015, 04:01:05 PM
Peter you are seriously good
This. I haven't had a spread bet for 16 years. Your bullishness on this was off the charts. Take this in the right way but you are one of the very few out there who is pretty clueless when it comes to the maths of betting but we can over ride that 10 fold just by your sheer knowledge of the sport. Very very Impressive.
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Peter-27
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103064 on:
June 21, 2015, 07:35:37 PM »
Quote from: MattyHollis on June 21, 2015, 04:20:18 PM
Excellent, I did the same buy ££ as you although at 62 as opposed to the lesser line that you got. Will not be a pussy and hopefully enjoy seeing both drivers score points for the rest of the season - thankyou
You're very welcome
Quote from: arbboy on June 21, 2015, 06:53:04 PM
Quote from: horseplayer on June 21, 2015, 04:01:05 PM
Peter you are seriously good
This. I haven't had a spread bet for 16 years. Your bullishness on this was off the charts. Take this in the right way but you are one of the very few out there who is pretty clueless when it comes to the maths of betting but we can over ride that 10 fold just by your sheer knowledge of the sport. Very very Impressive.
You flatter me
The funny thing is that my mathematical ability is actually of a very high standard (in my opinion anyway!), but you're right, I am clueless when it comes to the maths of betting purely because I've never had to look into it. Maybe this is an area I should explore at some point!
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