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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13438517 times)
DropTheHammer
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« Reply #107865 on: October 10, 2015, 12:33:33 PM »

I see Sunderland have appointed Big Sam as their manager. I think this is a great appointment for them and I really rate him as a manager. Therefore I'm betting Sunderland to stay up at 4.5 on Chorals. I see that Sunderland can be backed for a decent wedge to go down at 1.38+ on Betfair or 1.33 on 366/BeltV if anyone wants that arb.
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fatcatstu
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« Reply #107866 on: October 10, 2015, 12:40:32 PM »

So, Baltimore take their battered Offence up against one of the leagues worst defences this week as they face the Cleveland Browns.

The Ravens offence is missing Steve Smith very Snr and the fantastically named Crockett Gilmour, meaning Kamar Aiken and Maxx Williams are likely to be the passing options on display.

Cleveland have conceded a massive average of 141 yards per game to the rush, giving up 4.8 yards per carry.

Step up Justin Forsett, who finally got his season going last week with 150 yards on 27 carries against Pittsburgh last week.

While the Browns MAY stack the box against him, they have pproven so far this season that they are completely incapable of stopping the run, and the Ravens are a team with very few passing options, so Forsett is going to see ALOT of attempts this week.

Ladbrokes have set the line at 85.5 yards for Forsett, with Paddy power setting it at 91.5, I recommend £20 on OVER if I may.
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Peter-27
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« Reply #107867 on: October 10, 2015, 12:41:31 PM »

It's difficult to get any sort of read on this weekend given the lack of meaningful running. Got a couple of bets to suggest though:

Podium Finish - Valtteri Bottas @ 7/2 with SkyeBet and Betfair. The high power/low drag combination of the Williams car should really suit this circuit. Suggest £20.

Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 7/2 with BetVictor. Car looks good on track in terms of the way it's handling. Low temperatures are helping. Suggest £20.
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swinebag22
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« Reply #107868 on: October 10, 2015, 12:43:44 PM »

I see Sunderland have appointed Big Sam as their manager. I think this is a great appointment for them and I really rate him as a manager. Therefore I'm betting Sunderland to stay up at 4.5 on Chorals. I see that Sunderland can be backed for a decent wedge to go down at 1.38+ on Betfair or 1.33 on 366/BeltV if anyone wants that arb.

Given Sam's record, I would have the "to finish bottom" bet as good as dead. He will probably save them and if they do go down will not probably not be in last place. Such a shame as a it was such a top bet

Is there any way to hedge here?

I looked at the cashout and it hasn't changed as a resut of the appointment so I'm possibly panicking unneccessarily here.
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swinebag22
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« Reply #107869 on: October 10, 2015, 01:25:13 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-cincinnati-bengals/point-spread

Now, I was led to believe that when 2 evenly matched NFL teams meet then the home team are 3 point faves

So we have the 4-0 Bengals at home to the 0-2 OTR Seahawks who have Marshawn lynch out and the line is creeping up to 3.5 as I type. Didn't think Seattle were that convincing last week at home to the winless lions and they are notoriously weaker OTR. I know we have a Bengals fan amongst us, so I am surprised that he hasn't bigged them up for this game. Maybe I am missing something.

This could go off longer than -3.5 so the -3 with Billys @ 10/11 should be taken soon. Recc £22
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fatcatstu
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« Reply #107870 on: October 10, 2015, 01:28:17 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-cincinnati-bengals/point-spread

Now, I was led to believe that when 2 evenly matched NFL teams meet then the home team are 3 point faves

So we have the 4-0 Bengals at home to the 0-2 OTR Seahawks who have Marshawn lynch out and the line is creeping up to 3.5 as I type. Didn't think Seattle were that convincing last week at home to the winless lions and they are notoriously weaker OTR. I know we have a Bengals fan amongst us, so I am surprised that he hasn't bigged them up for this game. Maybe I am missing something.

This could go off longer than -3.5 so the -3 with Billys @ 10/11 should be taken soon. Recc £22

I think the problem is that Seattle seem to often find a way to win. I think that the Bengals could do it, but it's hard to bet against the Seahawks.

I would say that I think it is likely to be a low scoring game.
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sonour
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« Reply #107871 on: October 10, 2015, 02:07:42 PM »

I see Sunderland have appointed Big Sam as their manager. I think this is a great appointment for them and I really rate him as a manager. Therefore I'm betting Sunderland to stay up at 4.5 on Chorals. I see that Sunderland can be backed for a decent wedge to go down at 1.38+ on Betfair or 1.33 on 366/BeltV if anyone wants that arb.

Given Sam's record, I would have the "to finish bottom" bet as good as dead. He will probably save them and if they do go down will not probably not be in last place. Such a shame as a it was such a top bet

Is there any way to hedge here?

I looked at the cashout and it hasn't changed as a resut of the appointment so I'm possibly panicking unneccessarily here.

Well we backed them to finish bottom at 10/1. You can lay them to finish bottom on Betfair at..... Well have a look yourself, very thin market but stick some up at 2.5 and you might get some nibbles.
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Stopsleyhatter
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« Reply #107872 on: October 10, 2015, 02:54:49 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-cincinnati-bengals/point-spread

Now, I was led to believe that when 2 evenly matched NFL teams meet then the home team are 3 point faves

So we have the 4-0 Bengals at home to the 0-2 OTR Seahawks who have Marshawn lynch out and the line is creeping up to 3.5 as I type. Didn't think Seattle were that convincing last week at home to the winless lions and they are notoriously weaker OTR. I know we have a Bengals fan amongst us, so I am surprised that he hasn't bigged them up for this game. Maybe I am missing something.

This could go off longer than -3.5 so the -3 with Billys @ 10/11 should be taken soon. Recc £22
[/quote
Hoping the Bengals really go for this as a loss to the NFC doesn't hurt so much.Guessing Bengals line up Green in the slot to take out Sherman and attack the seams as well with Eifert.Very nervous about this game as we love to disappoint in the big ones.
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exstream
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« Reply #107873 on: October 10, 2015, 03:32:30 PM »

Origen vs lgd next
5/6 from 2/1
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TightEnd
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« Reply #107874 on: October 10, 2015, 07:42:11 PM »

Tikay if you see the suggested bets can you place them please. Not online properly til tomorrow.
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« Reply #107875 on: October 10, 2015, 08:08:21 PM »

Origen vs lgd next
5/6 from 2/1

can you please keep us updated on this
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Peter-27
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« Reply #107876 on: October 10, 2015, 08:51:34 PM »

Origen vs lgd next
5/6 from 2/1

can you please keep us updated on this

Hills marked Origen as a loss.
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Tal
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« Reply #107877 on: October 10, 2015, 09:25:42 PM »

Kellie was joint top until the jolly, Jay, came steaming up the rail like a turbocharged jiving wonderhorse.

Can't mange value, Rodders...
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« Reply #107878 on: October 10, 2015, 10:50:55 PM »

Bromley 5-0 home winners today against a mid table Barrow. Remain the division top scorers and are in 4th. 6 points from top and 2 points buffer inside the playoffs.
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Peter-27
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« Reply #107879 on: October 11, 2015, 02:29:32 AM »

Done all my F1 analysis from a frantic qualifying session. Need to go through the markets though.

Will post bet suggestions between 8AM-9AM tomorrow morning (UK Time). Well, technically that should say later this morning now!!  Tongue
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