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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16466766 times)
horseplayer
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« Reply #108900 on: November 12, 2015, 09:31:56 AM »

https://m.oddschecker.com/m/#/motorsport-formula-one-brazilian-grand-prix-winner


Just stumbled across this article.


http://www.theguardian.com/sport/2015/nov/12/lewis-hamilton-brazil-grand-prix-f1?CMP=share_btn_tw

Notes.

Got a fever

Had a very minor accident in car

At the track a day later than planned

Also never won in Brazil (probably just variance it seems)


Prices seems to be as normal do any of the above make anyone else worth backing?
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Nakor
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« Reply #108901 on: November 12, 2015, 09:52:47 AM »

Not a recc for Fred as many can't get on but for those who can:

IACGMOH - Most Trials

Eubank 5/1 Sk.y
Bannantyne 33/1 B.wi.n

Both well overpriced

Careful with the Bannantyne bet nhe may well be exempt from some trials due to his heart health - assume that is factored into the 33/1?
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« Reply #108902 on: November 12, 2015, 10:24:27 AM »

Not a recc for Fred as many can't get on but for those who can:

IACGMOH - Most Trials

Eubank 5/1 Sk.y
Bannantyne 33/1 B.wi.n

Both well overpriced

Careful with the Bannantyne bet nhe may well be exempt from some trials due to his heart health - assume that is factored into the 33/1?

He's down to 20/1 at Bwin and 12/1, 10/1 and 8/1 elsewhere now.
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« Reply #108903 on: November 12, 2015, 10:46:26 AM »

https://m.oddschecker.com/m/#/motorsport-formula-one-brazilian-grand-prix-winner


Just stumbled across this article.


http://www.theguardian.com/sport/2015/nov/12/lewis-hamilton-brazil-grand-prix-f1?CMP=share_btn_tw

Notes.

Got a fever

Had a very minor accident in car

At the track a day later than planned

Also never won in Brazil (probably just variance it seems)


Prices seems to be as normal do any of the above make anyone else worth backing?


He got hit by a stationary vehicle..
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« Reply #108904 on: November 12, 2015, 11:53:48 AM »

Given Chompy's previous comments about Peterborough looking strong, what do you think about their price at home to Fleetwood on Saturday?

Fleetwood lost their last 3 away games.

Bald guy is 23/20. Looks big to me. Recommend £20.

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TightEnd
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« Reply #108905 on: November 12, 2015, 01:56:23 PM »

Given Chompy's previous comments about Peterborough looking strong, what do you think about their price at home to Fleetwood on Saturday?

Fleetwood lost their last 3 away games.

Bald guy is 23/20. Looks big to me. Recommend £20.



no sign of the fenland wizard today. i expect he'd agree

11/10 everywhere now

Peterborough Peterborough v Fleetwood Winner
11/10
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £42.00


I think chompy might have the goals markets in mind for this one too....
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« Reply #108906 on: November 12, 2015, 02:20:45 PM »

with apologies to Tal in advance


Bills at Jets tonight, an afc east grudge match

Chris Ivory, jets running back

first four games of the season 460 yards on 83 carries at just under 6 yards per carry (including wembley if anyone remembers when he rushed for 150+)

the per game rushing yards: 91,57,166,146

last three games 84 yards on 55 carries at under 1.5 yards per carry

the per game rushing yards: 41,17,26

tonight though the match up is in his favour

his pro-bowl centre Nick Mangold is back to block for him. the centers set the protections and run the offensive line and mangold is one of the best

The Bills are missing their main run stuffing nose, Kyle Wlliams. he was injured in week six and since then in the last three weeks the unning backs have rushed for 310 yds+ on 65 carries against the Bills. Bills rank 26th/32 in run defense overall this season


these are some examples of what happened to Ivory, without his center, last week against the Jags

he is having to rush against nine players in the box. count the white shirts.



when he gets the ball, linebackers 50 and 51 are unblocked to stop him



in this one ivory number 33 has a blitzer unblocked off the edge and 99 through the middle on a missed block



(images from @turnonthejets, a jets blogger)

with mangold back, the blocking will be improved, and without kyle williams there should be some holes.

assume fitzpatrick with marshall and decker will provide enough threat in the passing game (though their match up against gilmore and darby is not good) that the bills won't be able to put 9 in the box all the time

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets/total-rushing-yds-chris-ivory

60 yards at ladbrokes looks low to me
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« Reply #108907 on: November 12, 2015, 02:38:00 PM »

I'm away and posting on my phone.

Firstly, agree with the Ivory bet Tighty, looks good to me.

Secondly, Grand Slam darts.

Sorry I can't post an odds checker link!!

Thornton v Taylor in the next round, Thornton is available at 3/1 to win this match.

Taylor admitted after his match last night that he was very very average

He is struggling for form recently,and Thornton has been playing very very well, including handing MVG his big, bald arse on the way to winning the world grand prix.

Recommend £20 at 3/1
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« Reply #108908 on: November 12, 2015, 02:44:01 PM »

opinions on thornton/taylor please

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/grand-slam-of-darts/robert-thornton-v-phil-taylor/winner

he's going to knocmk off a 2/7 shot?

i missed the arbboy darts rec recently, i saw taylor came back to win last night 10-6 from 4-1 down?
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« Reply #108909 on: November 12, 2015, 03:14:31 PM »

I'm away and posting on my phone.

Firstly, agree with the Ivory bet Tighty, looks good to me.

Secondly, Grand Slam darts.

Sorry I can't post an odds checker link!!

Thornton v Taylor in the next round, Thornton is available at 3/1 to win this match.

Taylor admitted after his match last night that he was very very average

He is struggling for form recently,and Thornton has been playing very very well, including handing MVG his big, bald arse on the way to winning the world grand prix.

Recommend £20 at 3/1

Couldn't disagree.  Wouldn't be wanting to take shorter than 3/1 though.  Wolfie too big tonight as well imo around the 7/4 mark.  7/1 wolfie wins the BDO is an incredible price as well.
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« Reply #108910 on: November 12, 2015, 03:26:30 PM »

thornton £20 at 4.0 888sport is on for tomorrow


            BDO World Championship 2016 Outright Winner
                Martin Adams 13/2
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 150.00 GBP
    1 bet @
    20.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 20.00 GBP

Adams is 2.89 on matchbook for tonight

https://www.matchbook.com/events/darts/grand-slam-of-darts/november-12th-2015/316916/martin-adams-vs-kim-huybrechts/live-betting

had £25 at 2.89. trust thats ok
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fatcatstu
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« Reply #108911 on: November 12, 2015, 04:01:19 PM »

Definitely agree on Adams too.
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« Reply #108912 on: November 12, 2015, 06:14:10 PM »

with apologies to Tal in advance


Bills at Jets tonight, an afc east grudge match

Chris Ivory, jets running back

first four games of the season 460 yards on 83 carries at just under 6 yards per carry (including wembley if anyone remembers when he rushed for 150+)

the per game rushing yards: 91,57,166,146

last three games 84 yards on 55 carries at under 1.5 yards per carry

the per game rushing yards: 41,17,26

tonight though the match up is in his favour

his pro-bowl centre Nick Mangold is back to block for him. the centers set the protections and run the offensive line and mangold is one of the best

The Bills are missing their main run stuffing nose, Kyle Wlliams. he was injured in week six and since then in the last three weeks the unning backs have rushed for 310 yds+ on 65 carries against the Bills. Bills rank 26th/32 in run defense overall this season


these are some examples of what happened to Ivory, without his center, last week against the Jags

he is having to rush against nine players in the box. count the white shirts.



when he gets the ball, linebackers 50 and 51 are unblocked to stop him



in this one ivory number 33 has a blitzer unblocked off the edge and 99 through the middle on a missed block



(images from @turnonthejets, a jets blogger)

with mangold back, the blocking will be improved, and without kyle williams there should be some holes.

assume fitzpatrick with marshall and decker will provide enough threat in the passing game (though their match up against gilmore and darby is not good) that the bills won't be able to put 9 in the box all the time

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets/total-rushing-yds-chris-ivory

60 yards at ladbrokes looks low to me

I'm 99% sure Ivory is carrying an injury.

He's not running with the same ooomph he did at the start of the season.
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« Reply #108913 on: November 12, 2015, 06:41:44 PM »

Given Chompy's previous comments about Peterborough looking strong, what do you think about their price at home to Fleetwood on Saturday?

Fleetwood lost their last 3 away games.

Bald guy is 23/20. Looks big to me. Recommend £20.


Crazy price. Should be odds-on. Obv the home goals prices are bigger than they should be a result.

It's possible Forrester, Oztumer, Taylor and Maddison will start in midfield for the first time s a quartet. Forrester is a special player.
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« Reply #108914 on: November 12, 2015, 06:43:50 PM »

agree on Adams think he is big tonight, Thornton was awful yesterday though was missing the 20 bed alot and by alot. He only threw 5 180s in 18 legs, says it all imo. Wouldnt be backing at 3/1 even though Phil is not the Phil he once was.

All over Snakebite at evens imo.
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I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
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