Tips for Tikay

[rfgqqabc]

reports out of Philly are that demarco murray has been demoted to 4th string running back for this week

in practice this demotion began last week at the aptriots when he had 8 rushes for 24 yards, and only was on the field for 14 snaps total

his rushing attempts so far this season by game

week 1 first

8,13,8,20,21,18,18,22,13,14,8

he hasn't been performing well and it was reported last week that on the flight back from new england he sat next to the owner and bitched about his role, rather than speaking to the coach

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2015/12/08/report-demarco-murray-feels-chip-kelly-broke-promises/

in practice this means:

Early downs: 1) Mathews; 2) Murray

Passing downs: 1) Sproles; 2) Barner

assuming no injuries he may not see the field today

yet you can still get under 55 yards rushing

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-philadelphia-eagles/total-rushing-yds-demarco-murray

these quotes have not adjusted to the new dynamic in the pecking order and locker room

Treble max time?

i have emptied my betfair account (which isn't saying much, but still)

If I maxed everywhere would you consider 40.5 with lads too? Ty for speedy response

[TightEnd]

under 55 with betfair is the real one to hit

you do have a chance of a skinner though if he is benched

the latest from the nfl network reporter Ian Rapoport was

"Murray is expected to be fourth most used (4th String) running back today for the Eagles."

IF this is correct its a few carries at most and under 40 total is still good

[Tal]

Good stuff on Murray. Let's go Buffalo!

Tighty, what do you reckon to Tampa v New Orleans going over 50.5?

They could do that each! Woeful secondaries and two big arms needing to get going. Plus Tampa have their tight end, Austin Sefarian-Jenkins back and firing, which will open space for the wide receivers deeper and he's a very credible end zone target.

It could go under but it could be 80+ and make that line look daft.

Feels like a good thirty quidder to me.

[TightEnd]

Good stuff on Murray. Let's go Buffalo!

Tighty, what do you reckon to Tampa v New Orleans going over 50.5?

They could do that each! Woeful secondaries and two big arms needing to get going. Plus Tampa have their tight end, Austin Sefarian-Jenkins back and firing, which will open space for the wide receivers deeper and he's a very credible end zone target.

It could go under but it could be 80+ and make that line look daft.

Feels like a good thirty quidder to me.

-ve its a divisional game

-ve Brees arm is going. not the huge threat he was even a year ago

-ve Buccs defense improving

+ve no wind/weather expected

+ve Saints can't defend

+ve Winston is improving fast, and the Buccs have a running ame and big play receivers. play off team next year...

up to you...

[Tal]

Good stuff on Murray. Let's go Buffalo!

Tighty, what do you reckon to Tampa v New Orleans going over 50.5?

They could do that each! Woeful secondaries and two big arms needing to get going. Plus Tampa have their tight end, Austin Sefarian-Jenkins back and firing, which will open space for the wide receivers deeper and he's a very credible end zone target.

It could go under but it could be 80+ and make that line look daft.

Feels like a good thirty quidder to me.

-ve its a divisional game

-ve Brees arm is going. not the huge threat he was even a year ago

-ve Buccs defense improving

+ve no wind/weather expected

+ve Saints can't defend

+ve Winston is improving fast, and the Buccs have a running game and big play receivers. play off team next year...

up to you...

+ve Saints scored 38 points against the Panthers last week; they're hardly showing concern about who they're playing

+ve Mark Ingram is out, so the Saints will be even more pass-oriented than normal

+ve Saints Coach Sean Payton is in a devil-may-care attitude to his play-calling, seemingly eager to make his quarterback look good, given they may well be looking to go to the same team next season. Doesn't seem interested in keeping it tight.


I do get that the line is high and the bookies know all this, but it's more likely to be 70 points than 30 tonight and more likely to be 60 than 40. There's definitely a time to be a contrarian but you'd need cajones the size of snowballs to make that play this evening.

I'd feel sick if this was 27-24 at half time and I'd not backed it, while Scott Hansen on RedZone says "Well, everyone saw that coming"

Let's do it.

[TightEnd]

Over 50.5 New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Total Points
10/11
Total Stake: £44.00
Potential Returns: £84.04
 

[Tal]

Have we got on the 49ers, yet?

At home, playing the Cleveland Browns. They're both rubbish but I'd rather be opposing Johnny Manziel with a resurgent Blaine Gabbert.

It's a £30 (or OCD equivalent) size job if we have yet to play.

[Tal]

With Philip Rivers playing (albeit through the 'flu, as if carrying his franchise wasn't enough of a burden), what do you make of a 10.5 point head start at home against the Chiefs?

Chiefs are playing excellent footbawl at the moment, but aren't blowing teams away.

Divisional game, at home and double digit underdogs.

Just interested in views.

[TightEnd]

        Bet Type: Single
            San Francisco @ Cleveland Money Line - Match Winner
                San Francisco 49ers 11/10
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 63.00 GBP
    1 bet @
    30.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 30.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 63.00 GBP

[TightEnd]

With Philip Rivers playing (albeit through the 'flu, as if carrying his franchise wasn't enough of a burden), what do you make of a 10.5 point head start at home against the Chiefs?

Chiefs are playing excellent footbawl at the moment, but aren't blowing teams away.

Divisional game, at home and double digit underdogs.

Just interested in views.

the weather is horrendous. heavy rain storms


what would you make the ravens points line at home to the seahawks with their 3rd string jimmy clausen at quarterback? rookie at running back, number one receiver missing...

where would you set the over/under for points?  no looking

seattle are 11 point road favourites fwiw

[Tal]

With Philip Rivers playing (albeit through the 'flu, as if carrying his franchise wasn't enough of a burden), what do you make of a 10.5 point head start at home against the Chiefs?

Chiefs are playing excellent footbawl at the moment, but aren't blowing teams away.

Divisional game, at home and double digit underdogs.

Just interested in views.

the weather is horrendous. heavy rain storms


what would you make the ravens points line at home to the seahawks with their 3rd string jimmy clausen at quarterback? rookie at running back, number one receiver missing...

where would you set the over/under for points?  no looking

seattle are 11 point road favourites fwiw

Really toyed with this one. The problem is the teams are going in very different directions (Football Outsiders says so). There's a chance the Ravens are playing for the number one pick, as they have the toughest remaining schedule and running out of offense. Seahawks can score 24 points now against anyone and that puts the line under threat.

Think it's where I put the line tbh.

[Tal]

I'm surprised to see Julius Thomas as big as 6/4 to score a touchdown today for Jacksonville against Indy. Only seven teams have allowed more touchdowns through the air and they are 18th in yards against tight ends. Thomas has found the endzone in the last three weeks and it should be a game where the ball is airborne a lot.

This price is with Ceefax Page 888 or Unique Bet (which I seem to recall Fred can bet with)

Any use for £20?

[sonour]

Seattle Seahawks v Baltimore Ravens

Douglas Baldwin.. Never thought I would put a bet on him to get recieving yards, but Wilson has discovered how to pass the ball, and apparently Baldwin can catch!!

He is averaging 108 yards per game for his last 4 games, and is coming up against a Ravens D that is battered, bruised and shipping yards, 2 weeks ago, the power house that is Cleveland had bother Travis Benjamin and Brian Hartline rack up yards against them.

This is why I think that the line set at 65.5 yards for Baldwin is great value.

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-baltimore-ravens/total-receiving-yds-doug-baldwin

Recommend £40 Doug Baldwin, OVER 65.5 yards with Ladbrokes @ 17/20

this is our ladbrokes limit on nfl sub-markets

over 65.5
Seattle Seahawks at Baltimore Ravens Total Receiving Yds - Doug Baldwin
11/13
Total Stake: £11.76
Potential Returns: £21.76

How much more would you like ?

£28.24 please

lets call it £25

£25 booked

[arbboy]

Are Villa as bad as Derby 2007/8?  This is happening under a new manager last few weeks and there has been no bounce factor at all.   Can't be that unlikely that another gaffer comes in for the transfer window given how little response this French guy has got.

[TightEnd]

I'm surprised to see Julius Thomas as big as 6/4 to score a touchdown today for Jacksonville against Indy. Only seven teams have allowed more touchdowns through the air and they are 18th in yards against tight ends. Thomas has found the endzone in the last three weeks and it should be a game where the ball is airborne a lot.

This price is with Ceefax Page 888 or Unique Bet (which I seem to recall Fred can bet with)

Any use for £20?

7/5 best for us at the moment if you want to do it