Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

Now we have hit 11k, I think it must be about time for peak banzai.

It is generally accepted in formula 1 that the engine has been letting down the McLaren over the last couple of years.  This year it has definitely improved so that they are genuine mid-tablers.  Over the last few days, I have heard it mentioned that they think they have the 3rd best chassis a couple of times.  Here is Alonso earlier   

http://www.crash.net/f1/news/230415/1/alonso-mclaren-has-stronger-chassis-than-ferrari.html


“We are behind Mercedes and Red Bull but they are very strong so we need to show in the next few races that we can improve our efficiency and mechanically grip,” Alonso said. “Maybe it is a surprise we are in front of many of our competitors but it is not for us. Good to be in front of Williams, Force India, Ferrari in terms of chassis.

I am fairly sure I read somewhere they were 3rd quickest in the tricky sector at the Spanish Grand Prix.

There is some testing going on in Barcelona today and Button is topping the charts, with a time a second quicker that in qualifying for the Spanish Grand Prix.  Of course they could have put something illegal on the car, but I think it is a sign they are still getting quicker.

http://www.motorsport.com/f1/news/barcelona-f1-test-button-leads-first-morning-for-mclaren-737589/

A week on Sunday we have the Monaco grand prix.  This is likely the grand prix where the engine makes least difference and the chassis is all important.  It is also the grand prix that has produced a number of shocks over the years.  Senna "won" here in the terrible Toleman; Trulli and Panis managed their only wins here;  and an inferior Rosberg has managed to beat Hamilton here 3 years running!

So I think we have a perfect combination here for a very good McLaren performance.  We could easily see a McLaren or 2 in the first 3 rows of the grid.

After that we have realistic hopes for a coming together of some Mercedes or Red Bulls, and there has been many a careless driver clipped a wall or hit a backmarker here.

There probably doesn't need to be much more justifcation for backing a 200/1 chance.

Button is 200/1 in several spots, and 250/1 with Shy.  Alonso is 200/1 in several spots.  It really is a shame we don't get 3 spots on each way now, but I think we can manage with 2.

Can we try and get as much as we can on Alonso (150 up) and Button (200 up) each way.  I guess you can stop once we get to £40 each way, not that we will get that far.  I managed to get a little more than that.  Choral is probably a good place to start.

If you fail you can have a fiver e/w Alonso at 150/1 and Button at 200/1 with me (I guess the prices aren't going to hold for long).

i had the banzai recommendation for the red bulls for monaco ready. 3rd last year in monaco, great in slow corners....

then the Spanish grand prix happened. banzai no more

I can see that.  I was definitely a bit disappointed with the Red Bull prices.  FWIW Shy offered me a pound each way on teh mcLarens,  Paddy Shower wouldn't even go that far.

[TightEnd]

last year i put up the red bulls at 20 or 25-1 e/w for monaco

this year its 10-1 the pair, with both priced shorter than Raikkonen

meh.


anyway, i suppose we have done dafter bets

        Bet Type: Single
            Monaco GP - Race Winner Outright Winner
                Jenson Button 200/1
                Each Way: 1/3 1 - 2
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 2,686.67 GBP
    2 bets @
    10.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 20.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 2,686.67 GBP


        Bet Type: Single
            Monaco GP - Race Winner Outright Winner
                Fernando Alonso 150/1
                Each Way: 1/3 1 - 2
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 2,020.00 GBP
    2 bets @
    10.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 20.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 2,020.00 GBP


Coral would only lay a pound each way Alonso at 200s so i went where i knew we could get on

[Rod Paradise]

I got a fiver EW on each on 365 - could try more if wanted.

[TightEnd]

I got a fiver EW on each on 365 - could try more if wanted.

thanks but there is no need

think 10 e/w is fine for a huge banzai.

[Rod Paradise]

I got a fiver EW on each on 365 - could try more if wanted.

thanks but there is no need

think 10 e/w is fine for a huge banzai.

 

[bergeroo]

I guess people are beginning to look towards the euros now.

What do people think of the top English scorer market?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/england-euro-2016-specials/top-goalscorer

Kane  5/2
Rooney 9/2 Bway and sporting bet (not listed on oddschecker here)
Vardy 6/1
Sturridge 9/1
Alli 16/1 WH

Rooney on pens and looks certain to play every game. I don't mind him that this price. Anyone got any thoughts?

[arbboy]

I guess people are beginning to look towards the euros now.

What do people think of the top English scorer market?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/england-euro-2016-specials/top-goalscorer

Kane  5/2
Rooney 9/2 Bway and sporting bet (not listed on oddschecker here)
Vardy 6/1
Sturridge 9/1
Alli 16/1 WH

Rooney on pens and looks certain to play every game. I don't mind him that this price. Anyone got any thoughts?

66/1 no goalscorer tempting?

[tikay]

I guess people are beginning to look towards the euros now.

What do people think of the top English scorer market?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/england-euro-2016-specials/top-goalscorer

Kane  5/2
Rooney 9/2 Bway and sporting bet (not listed on oddschecker here)
Vardy 6/1
Sturridge 9/1
Alli 16/1 WH

Rooney on pens and looks certain to play every game. I don't mind him that this price. Anyone got any thoughts?

How would we rate 66/1 "No Goalscorer".

Is that a stupid price, "can't happen", or reasonable value?

[tikay]

I guess people are beginning to look towards the euros now.

What do people think of the top English scorer market?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/england-euro-2016-specials/top-goalscorer

Kane  5/2
Rooney 9/2 Bway and sporting bet (not listed on oddschecker here)
Vardy 6/1
Sturridge 9/1
Alli 16/1 WH

Rooney on pens and looks certain to play every game. I don't mind him that this price. Anyone got any thoughts?

66/1 no goalscorer tempting?

Ha, lolzz minds think alike.

[Tal]

Maybe the angle is to work out how Wales, Slovakia and Russia concede goals and take it from there. For an outsider to win, you're looking at 2 goals and the team failing to get through the group (or losing to nil on the next round).

Slovakia have Skrtl and play 4-2-3-1, I think. Wales are decent in the air. Not sure about Russia.

Alli at 16/1 appeals - plays every game and a genuine threat. I would say that, though, wouldn't I?

Also have to take into account the chop if we don't get many goals.

[Karabiner]

It cannot be disputed that Alli is a key player.

[The Camel]

Has there ever been a price swing more wildly pre match in a Premier League game than Man Utd's tonight?

1.32 to 1.9 to 1.49

[Marky147]

Has there ever been a price swing more wildly pre match in a Premier League game than Man Utd's tonight?

1.32 to 1.9 to 1.49

Anyone got Blatch's number?

[TheDazzler]

Has there ever been a price swing more wildly pre match in a Premier League game than Man Utd's tonight?

1.32 to 1.9 to 1.49

Anyone got Blatch's number?

Arbboy had his number

[arbboy]

Has there ever been a price swing more wildly pre match in a Premier League game than Man Utd's tonight?

1.32 to 1.9 to 1.49

Anyone got Blatch's number?

Arbboy had his number

Solid .

Just realised the other day I have been paying his wages since he went busto via my car insurance policy.  Need to change providers now after the car insurance debate on the other thread incase he outs me for not being a private equity investment fund manager as pay back!!