Tips for Tikay

[Jamier-Host]

I guess people are beginning to look towards the euros now.

What do people think of the top English scorer market?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/england-euro-2016-specials/top-goalscorer

Kane  5/2
Rooney 9/2 Bway and sporting bet (not listed on oddschecker here)
Vardy 6/1
Sturridge 9/1
Alli 16/1 WH

Rooney on pens and looks certain to play every game. I don't mind him that this price. Anyone got any thoughts?

66/1 no goalscorer tempting?

If you fancy no goals prob better to back them @ 150/1 for lowest scoring team? I guess you could get a multiway chop for that though.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/lowest-scoring-team

[Jamier-Host]

On a similar topic i've had a few quid already on Poland for top scoring team @ 50/1. Any thoughts on that list? Just spotted 365 have moved first to offer place terms too.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/highest-scoring-team

[arbboy]

I guess people are beginning to look towards the euros now.

What do people think of the top English scorer market?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/england-euro-2016-specials/top-goalscorer

Kane  5/2
Rooney 9/2 Bway and sporting bet (not listed on oddschecker here)
Vardy 6/1
Sturridge 9/1
Alli 16/1 WH

Rooney on pens and looks certain to play every game. I don't mind him that this price. Anyone got any thoughts?

66/1 no goalscorer tempting?

If you fancy no goals prob better to back them @ 150/1 for lowest scoring team? I guess you could get a multiway chop for that though.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/lowest-scoring-team

You could also get a chop potentially with 1 goal as well.  Def think this is a better bet than the 66/1.

[Jamier-Host]

Expected zero to be favourite here?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/total-hattricks

[POWWWWWWWW]

Expected zero to be favourite here?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/total-hattricks

Maybe France's soft group tipping the balance?

[DungBeetle]

Expected zero to be favourite here?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/total-hattricks

The 3 historical tournaments with exact format were Mexico 86, Italy 90, USA 94.

No idea if this is relevant for current era but hat tricks in those were 3, 2, 2.

24 teams is a long tournament.

[fatcatstu]

Do we have any bets on for the first test yet?

Just started looking through, and I really fancy Cook for top run scorer. He has been on fire in the county championship, and while I appreciate that Root has too, I think Cook's mental strength is more suited to early season conditions in England.

You can't get 7/2 on him at Coral, I'm on my phone and the odds checker site is being annoying so I can't post a link.

Recommend £20 Alistair Cook to be top English batsman in the first test v Sri Lanka.

[tikay]

Now we have hit 11k, I think it must be about time for peak banzai.

It is generally accepted in formula 1 that the engine has been letting down the McLaren over the last couple of years.  This year it has definitely improved so that they are genuine mid-tablers.  Over the last few days, I have heard it mentioned that they think they have the 3rd best chassis a couple of times.  Here is Alonso earlier   

http://www.crash.net/f1/news/230415/1/alonso-mclaren-has-stronger-chassis-than-ferrari.html


“We are behind Mercedes and Red Bull but they are very strong so we need to show in the next few races that we can improve our efficiency and mechanically grip,” Alonso said. “Maybe it is a surprise we are in front of many of our competitors but it is not for us. Good to be in front of Williams, Force India, Ferrari in terms of chassis.

I am fairly sure I read somewhere they were 3rd quickest in the tricky sector at the Spanish Grand Prix.

There is some testing going on in Barcelona today and Button is topping the charts, with a time a second quicker that in qualifying for the Spanish Grand Prix.  Of course they could have put something illegal on the car, but I think it is a sign they are still getting quicker.

http://www.motorsport.com/f1/news/barcelona-f1-test-button-leads-first-morning-for-mclaren-737589/

A week on Sunday we have the Monaco grand prix.  This is likely the grand prix where the engine makes least difference and the chassis is all important.  It is also the grand prix that has produced a number of shocks over the years.  Senna "won" here in the terrible Toleman; Trulli and Panis managed their only wins here;  and an inferior Rosberg has managed to beat Hamilton here 3 years running!

So I think we have a perfect combination here for a very good McLaren performance.  We could easily see a McLaren or 2 in the first 3 rows of the grid.

After that we have realistic hopes for a coming together of some Mercedes or Red Bulls, and there has been many a careless driver clipped a wall or hit a backmarker here.

There probably doesn't need to be much more justifcation for backing a 200/1 chance.

Button is 200/1 in several spots, and 250/1 with Shy.  Alonso is 200/1 in several spots.  It really is a shame we don't get 3 spots on each way now, but I think we can manage with 2.

Can we try and get as much as we can on Alonso (150 up) and Button (200 up) each way.  I guess you can stop once we get to £40 each way, not that we will get that far.  I managed to get a little more than that.  Choral is probably a good place to start.

If you fail you can have a fiver e/w Alonso at 150/1 and Button at 200/1 with me (I guess the prices aren't going to hold for long).

These are bets which will almost always lose, but I'm pretty sure we are the correct side of value with them, & I thought they were a great spot. Be handy if Nico & Lewis bang heads again on the first lap, too.

Love the Monaco GP, always a viewing highlight.

[TightEnd]

Yesterday

Profit +£235

Month to date +£1241

Overall +£11,198

Lnk to bets https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=24

Winners

Martial top United scorer +£110

King top bournemouth scorer +£160


Losers

Wilson and Cook goalscorer bets last night -£20

Young in the tennis -£15


RPS beat DD in the IPL

We have £20 at 11/2 KXIP to finish bottom

RPS play KXIP last game, but KXIP have another game to play (away at RCB today). If they lose we have the final game sweat

[TightEnd]

Do we have any bets on for the first test yet?

Just started looking through, and I really fancy Cook for top run scorer. He has been on fire in the county championship, and while I appreciate that Root has too, I think Cook's mental strength is more suited to early season conditions in England.

You can't get 7/2 on him at Coral, I'm on my phone and the odds checker site is being annoying so I can't post a link.

Recommend £20 Alistair Cook to be top English batsman in the first test v Sri Lanka.

Alastair Cook England v Sri Lanka [1st Test] Top England Batsman
7/2
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £90.00

[MereNovice]

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/french-open/womens/winner

Jelena Ostapenko 250/1 (Ladbrokes and BetVictor)
Recommend £10 e/w.

With the withdrawals, I think she will get seeded (ranked 36) so could get a run for tikay's money. Can look to green out if things go according to plan.

[TightEnd]

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/french-open/womens/winner

Jelena Ostapenko 250/1 (Ladbrokes and BetVictor)
Recommend £10 e/w.

With the withdrawals, I think she will get seeded (ranked 36) so could get a run for tikay's money. Can look to green out if things go according to plan.

Jelena Ostapenko Womens French Open Winner
250/1 Each Way (2 Places at 1/2 Odds)
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £3,770.00

[tikay]

Winners

Martial top United scorer +£110

King top bournemouth scorer +£160


Very nice work, 2 more cracking bets.

We are blessed with some really astute football bettors here.

[BigAdz]

Might I remind contributors the competition is over and the time for madness is over...

[Actonbeech3]

One of my horses to follow from last season makes its seasonal debut tonight at Kempton. Fallen for a star in the 1925 available at 7/1 generally.

Ran for Gosden last year and was widely expected to make a better 4 year old as it was a late starter on the track. All weather and handicap debut, expected to be a good horse this year for the Cumani stable. Think it's well worth a few points win at a general 7/1 in a weak but open handicap.

Good luck if having a nibble.