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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13445546 times)
BigAdz
Hero Member
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Posts: 8152
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #117990 on:
June 02, 2016, 12:26:39 PM »
Quote from: Marky147 on June 01, 2016, 10:46:30 PM
Quote from: JohnCharver on June 01, 2016, 10:41:18 PM
The corsican died after an accident on the gallops today, we had backed for the coronation cup. Sad day, with steps also suffering the same fate aswell.
Adz's bokking operates on a different level to that of us mere mortals.
Yes apologies all.
I am told Spencer strangled him to death on the gallops...............
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
Chompy
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Posts: 11852
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #117991 on:
June 02, 2016, 12:50:05 PM »
Honestly don't think anyone is riding better than Jamie this season. And that includes the big two.
He's a thinking jockey and sometimes it doesn't pay off, but he gets it wrong way less than the likes of Shane Kelly and Georgey B.
Tommy Seagull raves about him and there's plenty of stats to back up the theory that he's the nuts in straight-course handicaps. The rest go too fast too often and Jamie usually gets his fractions spot on.
Easy target for betting shop and pub punters.
Logged
"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
BigAdz
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Posts: 8152
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #117992 on:
June 02, 2016, 01:01:28 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on June 02, 2016, 12:50:05 PM
Honestly don't think anyone is riding better than Jamie this season. And that includes the big two.
He's a thinking jockey and sometimes it doesn't pay off, but he gets it wrong way less than the likes of Shane Kelly and Georgey B.
Tommy Seagull raves about him and there's plenty of stats to back up the theory that he's the nuts in straight-course handicaps. The rest go too fast too often and Jamie usually gets his fractions spot on.
Easy target for betting shop and pub punters.
I'm guessing that's another snide dig, with a get out clause...
You don't bare grudges for long do you.lol
Oh well.
Logged
Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
atdc21
Hero Member
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Posts: 1431
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #117993 on:
June 02, 2016, 01:16:54 PM »
Do you think Shane has 'got it wrong ' half the time hes beat, or job done ?
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No point feeding a pig Truffles if he's happy eating shit.
doubleup
Hero Member
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Posts: 7057
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #117994 on:
June 02, 2016, 01:22:38 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on June 02, 2016, 12:50:05 PM
Honestly don't think anyone is riding better than Jamie this season. And that includes the big two.
He's a thinking jockey and sometimes it doesn't pay off, but he gets it wrong way less than the likes of Shane Kelly and Georgey B.
Tommy Seagull raves about him and there's plenty of stats to back up the theory that he's the nuts in straight-course handicaps. The rest go too fast too often and Jamie usually gets his fractions spot on.
Easy target for betting shop and pub punters.
He once said after a race that he would have won if he had given the horse a crack of the whip - he's a scumbag imo and holds punters in contempt (as do some other jockeys).
Logged
Doobs
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Posts: 16577
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #117995 on:
June 02, 2016, 01:30:24 PM »
Quote from: doubleup on June 02, 2016, 01:22:38 PM
Quote from: Chompy on June 02, 2016, 12:50:05 PM
Honestly don't think anyone is riding better than Jamie this season. And that includes the big two.
He's a thinking jockey and sometimes it doesn't pay off, but he gets it wrong way less than the likes of Shane Kelly and Georgey B.
Tommy Seagull raves about him and there's plenty of stats to back up the theory that he's the nuts in straight-course handicaps. The rest go too fast too often and Jamie usually gets his fractions spot on.
Easy target for betting shop and pub punters.
He once said after a race that he would have won if he had given the horse a crack of the whip - he's a scumbag imo and holds punters in contempt (as do some other jockeys).
I think it was Neil Channing who posted something which included an analysis of waiting tactics vs front running in jockeys. I am pretty sure the conclusion was thar waiting tactics were more successful due to the more even pace.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Chompy
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Posts: 11852
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #117996 on:
June 02, 2016, 01:47:06 PM »
Quote from: BigAdz on June 02, 2016, 01:01:28 PM
Quote from: Chompy on June 02, 2016, 12:50:05 PM
Honestly don't think anyone is riding better than Jamie this season. And that includes the big two.
He's a thinking jockey and sometimes it doesn't pay off, but he gets it wrong way less than the likes of Shane Kelly and Georgey B.
Tommy Seagull raves about him and there's plenty of stats to back up the theory that he's the nuts in straight-course handicaps. The rest go too fast too often and Jamie usually gets his fractions spot on.
Easy target for betting shop and pub punters.
I'm guessing that's another snide dig, with a get out clause...
You don't bare grudges for long do you.lol
Oh well.
??
Re: Shane Kelly, a lot of jockeys will always tell you that they're riding for the owners. In his case I wouldn't doubt it.
Logged
"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
doubleup
Hero Member
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Posts: 7057
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #117997 on:
June 02, 2016, 01:59:13 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on June 02, 2016, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: doubleup on June 02, 2016, 01:22:38 PM
Quote from: Chompy on June 02, 2016, 12:50:05 PM
Honestly don't think anyone is riding better than Jamie this season. And that includes the big two.
He's a thinking jockey and sometimes it doesn't pay off, but he gets it wrong way less than the likes of Shane Kelly and Georgey B.
Tommy Seagull raves about him and there's plenty of stats to back up the theory that he's the nuts in straight-course handicaps. The rest go too fast too often and Jamie usually gets his fractions spot on.
Easy target for betting shop and pub punters.
He once said after a race that he would have won if he had given the horse a crack of the whip - he's a scumbag imo and holds punters in contempt (as do some other jockeys).
I think it was Neil Channing who posted something which included an analysis of waiting tactics vs front running in jockeys. I am pretty sure the conclusion was thar waiting tactics were more successful due to the more even pace.
Don't know about that. It's my observation/theory that the hold-up horses merely have better stamina and if the pace is fast in the initial stages this gives their stamina the chance to manifest itself. A slow steady pace whether even or not allows the horses at the front to maintain their position relative to the rest of the field. So there is no horsemanship in holding a horse up, it is the horses making the pace that will ultimately decide whether they are going to get a winning chance.
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Chompy
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Posts: 11852
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #117998 on:
June 02, 2016, 02:09:33 PM »
Surely if horses had more stamina than required for the trip, they'd have plenty of use made of them rather than being held up?
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
atdc21
Hero Member
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Posts: 1431
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #117999 on:
June 02, 2016, 02:18:36 PM »
Most hold up horses have stamina doubts, thats why they are held up.
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No point feeding a pig Truffles if he's happy eating shit.
doubleup
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Posts: 7057
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118000 on:
June 02, 2016, 02:34:39 PM »
As far as I know it is fast paced races that generally lead to hold-up horses coming through ie the last furlong is considerably slower than eg the middle furlong. The pace making horses have simply gone too fast - if these were the horses with stamina that wouldn't happen. There really is a minimal difference in the per furlong time of the horse at the front and the horse at the rear, so the "even pace" argument doesn't make much sense. If you look at any race over a mile or more the horses tend to maintain their positions for most of the race.
Also the perfect tactic for a front running horse is to go slowly and get the others behind pulling and not settled rather than drain their stamina.
The even pace argument might somewhat apply in sprints as they go almost flat out and a lot of thoughts on this come from the usa where there are lots of sprints. But this might also be a bit of an illusion and simply that the pace horse is going too fast.
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doubleup
Hero Member
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Posts: 7057
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118001 on:
June 02, 2016, 02:35:46 PM »
Quote from: atdc21 on June 02, 2016, 02:18:36 PM
Most hold up horses have stamina doubts, thats why they are held up.
They say that but I think that's pish.
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kukushkin88
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Posts: 3892
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118002 on:
June 02, 2016, 02:41:31 PM »
Quote from: atdc21 on June 02, 2016, 02:18:36 PM
Most hold up horses have stamina doubts, thats why they are held up.
I don't really think this is true. All of the analysis says the most energy efficient and fastest way to run any distance is a completely even output of energy throughout, with nothing left at the line. Holding up a doubtful stayer is only of benefit if they go slow in front, your energy output to finish in front isn't less because you're held up. James Willoughby wrote stacks of good stuff on this.
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hector62
Hero Member
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Posts: 2359
Homo doctus is se semper divitias habet
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118003 on:
June 02, 2016, 06:15:44 PM »
Evening Tighty.
I have in the past supported Wakefield in superleague, but always when thy have been underdogs. Tonight they are a fairly big favourite to beat Hull KR and I think Hull KR are worth backing at 6/4. Wakefield have had a great run since sacking their manager, and their new manager was himself sacked by Hull KR earlier in the season. Wakefield have a number of players missing, most importantly is their captain Danny Kirmond. Hull KR seem to have targeted this match as they rested their Australian playmaker from last weeks trip to Catalans, with the hope that this is a winnable game.
Suggest £20 Hull KR @ 6/4 with betfred.
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Puristville, Arizona. Population (1)
MereNovice
Gamesmaster
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Posts: 9901
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #118004 on:
June 02, 2016, 06:37:16 PM »
Ms Bacsinszky fell at the final hurdle.
She lost 7-5, 6-2 to Kiki Bertens in the quarter-final.
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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