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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13438367 times)
Tal
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« Reply #123915 on: December 09, 2016, 08:07:33 PM »

Cincinnati v Cleveland this weekend. How about this for a set of stats?

Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Good luck, bookies!

Currently Cleveland +5.5 best.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Weetabix
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« Reply #123916 on: December 09, 2016, 08:31:52 PM »

Is that 'the camel' who is on course for 'grab a grand'?

5/5     On fire!
« Last Edit: December 09, 2016, 08:40:24 PM by Weetabix » Logged
Tal
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« Reply #123917 on: December 09, 2016, 08:57:08 PM »

Is that 'the camel' who is on course for 'grab a grand'?

5/5     On fire!

OK...I'll ask...

Eh?
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« Reply #123918 on: December 09, 2016, 09:01:17 PM »

The camel is Keith Hawkins?  On course for 'grab a grand ' ATR comp 415 sky. If his next selection wins the next at Dundalk he scoops a grand, assuming it's him.  Good luck if it's him.  Would be interesting if he has the selections in an Acca also.

26000/1 5 timer so far.   Bottom weight in the last. 
« Last Edit: December 09, 2016, 09:04:37 PM by Weetabix » Logged
Tal
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« Reply #123919 on: December 09, 2016, 09:06:09 PM »

The camel is Keith Hawkins?  On course for 'grab a grand ' ATR comp 415 sky. If his next selection wins the next at Dundalk he scoops a grand, assuming it's him.  Good luck if it's him.  Would be interesting if he has the selections in an Acca also.

26000/1 5 timer so far.   Bottom weight in the last. 

For some reason, my mind went here:



Good luck!
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« Reply #123920 on: December 09, 2016, 09:08:02 PM »

Nice shirt Noel.   it was called 'get in there'' comp.

7th and never close, great effort with 5/6.   A lucky 63 would have been a nice consolation prize if he had one.
« Last Edit: December 09, 2016, 09:12:26 PM by Weetabix » Logged
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« Reply #123921 on: December 09, 2016, 09:48:16 PM »

Depending on the weather and no horses being withdrawn I think I have an interesting proposition for tomorrow's Caspian Caviar Gold Cup.

Rain is forecast to fall upon Cheltenham in increasing intensity from ~11am and there are sixteen runners currently declared.

20/1 would be a tremendous EW bet should the rain arrive and all of the runners stand their ground for a horse currently running off a mark of 149(a stone+ below it's highest)which narrowly missed getting 2nd place in the QM 'Chase two years ago on similar good ground as today's and has already had a pipe-opener. It's best runs have been on soft so rain would be a boon but it still has a decent chance on good.

It is speculative though which is reflected in the price as there must be a chance that it "bounces", it was off the track for almost two years until that run last month.

Recommend £10EW 1/4 1-2-3-4 Module @20/1 in the 1.50pm Cheltenham tomorrow.
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« Reply #123922 on: December 09, 2016, 10:05:24 PM »

Still with having bouveril on karabiner?
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« Reply #123923 on: December 09, 2016, 10:08:04 PM »

Cincinnati v Cleveland this weekend. How about this for a set of stats?

Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Good luck, bookies!

Currently Cleveland +5.5 best.

I'm a Bengals fan. So generally pessimistic over this match. Managed to get the Bengals -4.5 earlier in the week. However this is the Browns best chance of a win. Coming off a bye week with RG3 in there for at least a play before he gets smashed by Geno and falls apart again. Hue was nearly in tears at his kast press conference at the thought of going without a win and he obviously knows the Bengals pretty well. I'm expecting a small breakout from Cody Core alongside Boyd and LaFell. also Rex Burkhead looked good last week.

The Bengals should cover the spread because the Browns have been shocking. However I wouldn't be putting any large sum on either way
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« Reply #123924 on: December 09, 2016, 10:14:41 PM »

Still with having bouveril on karabiner?

I don't remember recommending Bouvreuil.

I do enjoy the occasional Bovril at half-time on a cold day though.
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« Reply #123925 on: December 09, 2016, 10:37:32 PM »

Lol
Doobs put it up a few days ago
Just wondering it makes sense to do both
Serious question
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« Reply #123926 on: December 09, 2016, 10:59:34 PM »

Lol
Doobs put it up a few days ago
Just wondering it makes sense to do both
Serious question

Definitely if the place terms permit, a good bet is a good bet.
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« Reply #123927 on: December 09, 2016, 11:44:23 PM »

Lol
Doobs put it up a few days ago
Just wondering it makes sense to do both
Serious question

Definitely if the place terms permit, a good bet is a good bet.

The presence of my horse makes no difference.

I think your problem is that you either get the price or the certain place terms.   If you leave it until you see if it rains and 16 stand their ground then 20/1 will be gone.  If you bet it now, you are going to get stuck with 3 places more frequently than is comfortable.

I'd be tempted to just back it win only to make sure I got the 20/1 without the downside of frequently getting lumbered with 3 places.  That is what I just did anyway
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #123928 on: December 10, 2016, 12:42:39 AM »

Ladbrokes have a Friday night treble of Marseille Brighton and Celtic to win
MArseille postponed till tomorrow according to betfair
5/1
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« Reply #123929 on: December 10, 2016, 07:54:25 AM »

In a bit of a rush and hopefully will get back on later before the kick off but does anyone else see value in Palace top 10 at 6/1 (suggest 50 quid with batfair sportsbook) and Sunderland top 10 at 33/1 (sky and other places for a tenner).

Palace are 5th joint top goalscorers, seemingly sorting out lax defensive issues, are a fumbling sort of team going forward but still scoring goals. Still have Townsend off form which can explode well soon. Pardew has enjoyed peak and trough runs in his career possible a great spell ahead.

Also pressure off against Hull considering if they lose this he will be under pressure but still be ok after the Man United and Chelsea games as he wasn't expected to win those. But at home against the big sides anyway we have been a good adversary. It can be argued that mostly on our losses generally this season we have been in them and in at least some not had the rub of the green.

Sunderlands form for that suggestion would say they give the top 10 a decent shot and it probably shouldn't be 33/1, I dunno? Moyes could be getting the respect back from players he had at Everton and could have something going there to make a run at casual mid table safety and run the top ten close? At least close enough to make 33/1 value? I see them against Swansea today too and I have not been impressed by their defence and think they could secure a win to put this bet into a better place quickly.

I would think 3/1 is more like the right price for Palace and something in the teens for Sunderland.

But I'm a punter. I don't claim to be any good at this lark and the fact that I can still get on with sky is probably saying something 😄
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