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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13441588 times)
tonytats
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« Reply #126840 on: April 01, 2017, 03:53:54 PM »

Meh.

Mutarakez no good. Costello couldnt decide which way to go, horse had strange head carriage, all rather poor. Apols.

I think a few noticed this one mate no need to apologise I had a bit ew
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tikay
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« Reply #126841 on: April 01, 2017, 03:54:28 PM »

Meh.

Mutarakez no good. Costello couldnt decide which way to go, horse had strange head carriage, all rather poor. Apols.

Think the split turned out bad for us, the far side seemed to be favoured. As drawn, we could have chosen either side, but as you say, we chose the wrong group.
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« Reply #126842 on: April 01, 2017, 04:00:34 PM »

Piss off back to Vegas Wink
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tikay
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« Reply #126843 on: April 01, 2017, 04:29:13 PM »

I think Palace are too big away to Chelsea tomorrow. I don't hold out much hope of the Palace win, but an edge I think can be had is by going for the near evens Palace +1.5 on the asian handicap.

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/chelsea-v-crystal-palace/asian-handicap

Palace haven't conceded in 3 games which coincides with the introduction of Sakho from Liverpool, to the back line. He probably is a class above any centre back I have seen at Palace in the prem. Definitely has a mistake in him, but his general composure and want, to pass it out from the back, is refreshing. I am not sure whether it is his presence or lack of presence from hoof-ball Delaney that has been so beneficial at the back, but it has been solid. Tomkins has also been allowed to partner him at CB rather than be deployed as a LB or RB, which I think has served Palace well. When Dann is stuggling to get back into the line up you know Palace are in a pretty fortunate position.

Milivojevic is another that has been impressive. He was plucked away from captaining Olympiacos and is an out and out CDM with a very good range of passing. He links up well with Sakho playing it out of the back and he seems to lay the template for Townsend, Cabaye, Zaha, Benteke, Puncheon to express themselves. It's weird being exposed to watching him play when I have memories of Dikagcoi and Jedinak trying to pass the ball. Jedinak though was colossal in the tackle but seeing Milivojevic with a more balanced game is great.

Benteke doesn't look like he knows how to score a goal from the deck in open play to save his life. That sort of threat you want to see in a striker that might see him go one-on-one with a defender, slide the ball to one side and hammer an effort in at goal. He hasn't looked like scoring in these situations at all, and has overrun many a good through ball, or finished off with lame efforts. All he has scored are tap ins, goals from melees and headers, which is great, but don't expect him to do anything with a ball that has been slipped into him on the deck where he needs to take it upon himself a little bit more to get a goal. He has however been instrumental in recent games of dropping in deep to link up play and let Zaha and Townsend express themselves more which is a joy to watch.

It is just weird to see one of the more bread and butter aspects of a striker's game be so lost on him, but im hoping that venom comes back. If it sounds like i'm harshing on him, i am a little, but don't think i'm foolish enough not to appreciate everything else aforementioned he brings to the table. It just is very worrying that he looks lost in certain situations and we lose a lot of threat with him being so out of confidence, and I think no-one in the team backs him to score in the previously explained situations which may be a reason why the chance creation from Palace has been a little low in games.

Zaha has been on fire recently and should pose a threat to Chelsea. Took his goal very well against Russia for IC and against WBA, and looks like he is adding more of a final ball to his game that is already clearly benefited by his outrageous flair. He can go missing in bigger games though against tougher opposition. Mainly because he often gets marked out of a game. But i'm hopeful that with Townsend perking up after a huge lull in his Palace career, it would be a lot tougher for Chelsea to manage both wingers.

Allardyce seems to have his style better imprinted on the players and we look tough to beat. I can't recall a decent chance by any of the three last opposition where you thought that had to be a goal, or glaring opportunities aside from maybe one OK chance for Middlesborough. We went to WBA and reduced them to basically not having a highlight on match of the day for a chance of their own.

Saying that Palace have been a little disjointed in the solid chance creation area as well. It has been okay and we have been perky, but in the last three games, aside from the WBA one, we have edged the affairs. In the last game I don't believe there was a shot on target against Watford with Deeney helping us out, but there were some near misses regardless.

I think Chelsea have a tendency not to obliterate teams that like to sit and aggravate them and feel that if Palace were to go 1-0 down tomorrow, they would still sit back and look to break on the counter up until the last 15 mins, which should see a cagey game. I think on the break we would have the opportunity to really cause Chelsea problems. I also think that Sakho and Milivojevic are possibly the two missing pieces to make the more attack minded players have the opportunity to play and with them looking settled we are a bigger threat than our league position would suggest. I just hope that Benteke can liven the team up with some attacking on the deck brilliance, because if he does then Palace could really be a tasty looking team. Tasty as in assuring mid table anonymity moving forward Smiley. I would take that!

Costa and Moses also look like doubts. Hazard is only just coming back from injury too, as is Courtois.

I guess the way to look at it is i think the result could be closer to being a draw than it teetering around the Chelsea to be up by two or more mark, thus I like the near coinflip with the Palace handicap here. And for a team that has won 3 in a row without conceding to be 12/1 away from home against anyone in the Prem, probably isn't right, even against the Champions elect. So this bet hopefully is a way to extract value.  

Suggest £60 at over 9/10 (wherever best you can get on) Palace + 1.5 Asian Handicap.


Good start, Ant.
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« Reply #126844 on: April 01, 2017, 05:22:35 PM »

Piss off back to Vegas Wink


Missed you bud. x
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
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« Reply #126845 on: April 01, 2017, 06:07:24 PM »

Last minute Burton goal Sad
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« Reply #126846 on: April 01, 2017, 07:19:27 PM »

I think Palace are too big away to Chelsea tomorrow. I don't hold out much hope of the Palace win, but an edge I think can be had is by going for the near evens Palace +1.5 on the asian handicap.

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/chelsea-v-crystal-palace/asian-handicap

Palace haven't conceded in 3 games which coincides with the introduction of Sakho from Liverpool, to the back line. He probably is a class above any centre back I have seen at Palace in the prem. Definitely has a mistake in him, but his general composure and want, to pass it out from the back, is refreshing. I am not sure whether it is his presence or lack of presence from hoof-ball Delaney that has been so beneficial at the back, but it has been solid. Tomkins has also been allowed to partner him at CB rather than be deployed as a LB or RB, which I think has served Palace well. When Dann is stuggling to get back into the line up you know Palace are in a pretty fortunate position.

Milivojevic is another that has been impressive. He was plucked away from captaining Olympiacos and is an out and out CDM with a very good range of passing. He links up well with Sakho playing it out of the back and he seems to lay the template for Townsend, Cabaye, Zaha, Benteke, Puncheon to express themselves. It's weird being exposed to watching him play when I have memories of Dikagcoi and Jedinak trying to pass the ball. Jedinak though was colossal in the tackle but seeing Milivojevic with a more balanced game is great.

Benteke doesn't look like he knows how to score a goal from the deck in open play to save his life. That sort of threat you want to see in a striker that might see him go one-on-one with a defender, slide the ball to one side and hammer an effort in at goal. He hasn't looked like scoring in these situations at all, and has overrun many a good through ball, or finished off with lame efforts. All he has scored are tap ins, goals from melees and headers, which is great, but don't expect him to do anything with a ball that has been slipped into him on the deck where he needs to take it upon himself a little bit more to get a goal. He has however been instrumental in recent games of dropping in deep to link up play and let Zaha and Townsend express themselves more which is a joy to watch.

It is just weird to see one of the more bread and butter aspects of a striker's game be so lost on him, but im hoping that venom comes back. If it sounds like i'm harshing on him, i am a little, but don't think i'm foolish enough not to appreciate everything else aforementioned he brings to the table. It just is very worrying that he looks lost in certain situations and we lose a lot of threat with him being so out of confidence, and I think no-one in the team backs him to score in the previously explained situations which may be a reason why the chance creation from Palace has been a little low in games.

Zaha has been on fire recently and should pose a threat to Chelsea. Took his goal very well against Russia for IC and against WBA, and looks like he is adding more of a final ball to his game that is already clearly benefited by his outrageous flair. He can go missing in bigger games though against tougher opposition. Mainly because he often gets marked out of a game. But i'm hopeful that with Townsend perking up after a huge lull in his Palace career, it would be a lot tougher for Chelsea to manage both wingers.

Allardyce seems to have his style better imprinted on the players and we look tough to beat. I can't recall a decent chance by any of the three last opposition where you thought that had to be a goal, or glaring opportunities aside from maybe one OK chance for Middlesborough. We went to WBA and reduced them to basically not having a highlight on match of the day for a chance of their own.

Saying that Palace have been a little disjointed in the solid chance creation area as well. It has been okay and we have been perky, but in the last three games, aside from the WBA one, we have edged the affairs. In the last game I don't believe there was a shot on target against Watford with Deeney helping us out, but there were some near misses regardless.

I think Chelsea have a tendency not to obliterate teams that like to sit and aggravate them and feel that if Palace were to go 1-0 down tomorrow, they would still sit back and look to break on the counter up until the last 15 mins, which should see a cagey game. I think on the break we would have the opportunity to really cause Chelsea problems. I also think that Sakho and Milivojevic are possibly the two missing pieces to make the more attack minded players have the opportunity to play and with them looking settled we are a bigger threat than our league position would suggest. I just hope that Benteke can liven the team up with some attacking on the deck brilliance, because if he does then Palace could really be a tasty looking team. Tasty as in assuring mid table anonymity moving forward Smiley. I would take that!

Costa and Moses also look like doubts. Hazard is only just coming back from injury too, as is Courtois.

I guess the way to look at it is i think the result could be closer to being a draw than it teetering around the Chelsea to be up by two or more mark, thus I like the near coinflip with the Palace handicap here. And for a team that has won 3 in a row without conceding to be 12/1 away from home against anyone in the Prem, probably isn't right, even against the Champions elect. So this bet hopefully is a way to extract value.  

Suggest £60 at over 9/10 (wherever best you can get on) Palace + 1.5 Asian Handicap.


Nice 1!
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tikay
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« Reply #126847 on: April 01, 2017, 07:35:40 PM »

I think Palace are too big away to Chelsea tomorrow. I don't hold out much hope of the Palace win, but an edge I think can be had is by going for the near evens Palace +1.5 on the asian handicap.

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/chelsea-v-crystal-palace/asian-handicap

Palace haven't conceded in 3 games which coincides with the introduction of Sakho from Liverpool, to the back line. He probably is a class above any centre back I have seen at Palace in the prem. Definitely has a mistake in him, but his general composure and want, to pass it out from the back, is refreshing. I am not sure whether it is his presence or lack of presence from hoof-ball Delaney that has been so beneficial at the back, but it has been solid. Tomkins has also been allowed to partner him at CB rather than be deployed as a LB or RB, which I think has served Palace well. When Dann is stuggling to get back into the line up you know Palace are in a pretty fortunate position.

Milivojevic is another that has been impressive. He was plucked away from captaining Olympiacos and is an out and out CDM with a very good range of passing. He links up well with Sakho playing it out of the back and he seems to lay the template for Townsend, Cabaye, Zaha, Benteke, Puncheon to express themselves. It's weird being exposed to watching him play when I have memories of Dikagcoi and Jedinak trying to pass the ball. Jedinak though was colossal in the tackle but seeing Milivojevic with a more balanced game is great.

Benteke doesn't look like he knows how to score a goal from the deck in open play to save his life. That sort of threat you want to see in a striker that might see him go one-on-one with a defender, slide the ball to one side and hammer an effort in at goal. He hasn't looked like scoring in these situations at all, and has overrun many a good through ball, or finished off with lame efforts. All he has scored are tap ins, goals from melees and headers, which is great, but don't expect him to do anything with a ball that has been slipped into him on the deck where he needs to take it upon himself a little bit more to get a goal. He has however been instrumental in recent games of dropping in deep to link up play and let Zaha and Townsend express themselves more which is a joy to watch.

It is just weird to see one of the more bread and butter aspects of a striker's game be so lost on him, but im hoping that venom comes back. If it sounds like i'm harshing on him, i am a little, but don't think i'm foolish enough not to appreciate everything else aforementioned he brings to the table. It just is very worrying that he looks lost in certain situations and we lose a lot of threat with him being so out of confidence, and I think no-one in the team backs him to score in the previously explained situations which may be a reason why the chance creation from Palace has been a little low in games.

Zaha has been on fire recently and should pose a threat to Chelsea. Took his goal very well against Russia for IC and against WBA, and looks like he is adding more of a final ball to his game that is already clearly benefited by his outrageous flair. He can go missing in bigger games though against tougher opposition. Mainly because he often gets marked out of a game. But i'm hopeful that with Townsend perking up after a huge lull in his Palace career, it would be a lot tougher for Chelsea to manage both wingers.

Allardyce seems to have his style better imprinted on the players and we look tough to beat. I can't recall a decent chance by any of the three last opposition where you thought that had to be a goal, or glaring opportunities aside from maybe one OK chance for Middlesborough. We went to WBA and reduced them to basically not having a highlight on match of the day for a chance of their own.

Saying that Palace have been a little disjointed in the solid chance creation area as well. It has been okay and we have been perky, but in the last three games, aside from the WBA one, we have edged the affairs. In the last game I don't believe there was a shot on target against Watford with Deeney helping us out, but there were some near misses regardless.

I think Chelsea have a tendency not to obliterate teams that like to sit and aggravate them and feel that if Palace were to go 1-0 down tomorrow, they would still sit back and look to break on the counter up until the last 15 mins, which should see a cagey game. I think on the break we would have the opportunity to really cause Chelsea problems. I also think that Sakho and Milivojevic are possibly the two missing pieces to make the more attack minded players have the opportunity to play and with them looking settled we are a bigger threat than our league position would suggest. I just hope that Benteke can liven the team up with some attacking on the deck brilliance, because if he does then Palace could really be a tasty looking team. Tasty as in assuring mid table anonymity moving forward Smiley. I would take that!

Costa and Moses also look like doubts. Hazard is only just coming back from injury too, as is Courtois.

I guess the way to look at it is i think the result could be closer to being a draw than it teetering around the Chelsea to be up by two or more mark, thus I like the near coinflip with the Palace handicap here. And for a team that has won 3 in a row without conceding to be 12/1 away from home against anyone in the Prem, probably isn't right, even against the Champions elect. So this bet hopefully is a way to extract value.  

Suggest £60 at over 9/10 (wherever best you can get on) Palace + 1.5 Asian Handicap.


Lovely work, Ant, well done.

A handy 3 points for Palace, too. Everyone's a winner.

After a poor start, Sam seems to have got them ticking along well now. They gonna stay up?
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« Reply #126848 on: April 01, 2017, 07:58:00 PM »

Good shout Ant.
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« Reply #126849 on: April 01, 2017, 09:14:14 PM »

Johanna Konta is in the final of the big WTA event in Miami.  This is despite a tough looking draw from the quarters.  If she can beat Wozniaki, and she is favourite, she moves to number 7 in the rankings going in to the clay court season (she will be number 2 in the race).   She really hasn't many clay court ranking points to defend, so hopefully will be on target for a top 8, or even top 4 seed, at Wimbledon.

We have her at 66/1 for Wimbledon and 33/1 for the US Open.  She is currently 22/1 for Wimbledon, which still looks generous considering how well she is playing.  50/1 for the French Open for those feeling punty and owning obscure betting accounts.


Konta won in straight sets in the final.   She is flying at the minute.  Hope she can hold it through the clay court season.

Rahm, Konta and Cause of Causes would be some treble. 

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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #126850 on: April 01, 2017, 09:23:52 PM »

Nice one with Palace, Ant.


Johanna Konta is in the final of the big WTA event in Miami.  This is despite a tough looking draw from the quarters.  If she can beat Wozniaki, and she is favourite, she moves to number 7 in the rankings going in to the clay court season (she will be number 2 in the race).   She really hasn't many clay court ranking points to defend, so hopefully will be on target for a top 8, or even top 4 seed, at Wimbledon.

We have her at 66/1 for Wimbledon and 33/1 for the US Open.  She is currently 22/1 for Wimbledon, which still looks generous considering how well she is playing.  50/1 for the French Open for those feeling punty and owning obscure betting accounts.


Konta won in straight sets in the final.   She is flying at the minute.  Hope she can hold it through the clay court season.

Rahm, Konta and Cause of Causes would be some treble. 



Cheesy
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Peter-27
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« Reply #126851 on: April 01, 2017, 10:19:56 PM »

So the Formula E qualifying session was utterly bonkers; one of the most enjoyable qualifying sessions motorsport has seen in many years. The track has zero grip and the session became about who could make the least mistakes. There was also drastic lap-by-lap improvement which skewed things with Formula E's qualifying format.

The two tips I put up didn't do so great; Rosenqvist will start 10th, di Grassi 17th.

There's value in the market somewhere, but honestly, I don't know where. This race is going to be utterly bonkers, and all a bit random really. It's going to come down to who can string together a series of consistent laps. I could put up five or six drivers who represent value, but given the nature of this event, I'm going to refrain from making a suggestion. Should make for a brilliant race from a fan perspective though Smiley

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-e/mexico-city-eprix/winner
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« Reply #126852 on: April 01, 2017, 11:01:05 PM »

When's it on Peter, and what channel?
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« Reply #126853 on: April 01, 2017, 11:13:26 PM »

When's it on Peter, and what channel?

In the UK, channel five. Coverage starts in about 20 minutes from the time of this post Smiley
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« Reply #126854 on: April 02, 2017, 12:01:01 AM »

Cheers!
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