Tips for Tikay

[Acidmouse]

the game last week meant nothing, hudds are not a rival of leeds and it was a dead rubber in terms of league placing. Also rhinos have 1-2 key injuries so i am certain they were told not to be silly with things looking forward to the playoffs.

all that said the players hate the coach..but it didnt stop them last year.

[ripple11]

Rugby League Saturday 15th Leeds Rhinos v Wakefield Trinity

I am not sure if I am either an outstandingly good odds compiler for rugby league or the betting  industry employs complete bozos to price up this market. Leeds should be favourites for this match as they have home advantage, which is a huge plus in this sport, and a larger squad with the better players. They also have a reputation for winning crucial matches, hence they are the super league and world champions. But Sky go 1-8 for Leeds. Sheer lunacy. I decided on Sunday that I would be happy to back Wakefield at 2-1 or bigger and we can certainly get that.

As we saw last week with their capitulation to Huddersfield, there is something wrong in the Leeds camp. To lose a local derby in that manner with a man advantage would have me as the coach reaching for the cattle prod in training. I advised you to back Wakefield @ 5-1 to beat Leeds at Headingly last time when they lost 44-40. I  backed Wakefield last time they played Leeds at home when they beat them 38-18 at odds of 4-1.

I recommend you  back Wakefield Trinity £20 @ 4-1 with Paddy Power. For those of you stealing Fred's price before he has finished his nap could you please use Sky Bet and take the 9-2. You should also have a £5 saver on the draw on this occasion @ 25-1.

A word of caution to you all though. I am aware of the recent success I have had tipping rugby league games but Wakefield winning this will be more of a shock than any of the previous results, so do not go throwing all your profits away. Keep the stakes the same as before.

7/2 sky bet....Dubai's up early this morning 

[tikay]

Rugby League Saturday 15th Leeds Rhinos v Wakefield Trinity

I am not sure if I am either an outstandingly good odds compiler for rugby league or the betting  industry employs complete bozos to price up this market. Leeds should be favourites for this match as they have home advantage, which is a huge plus in this sport, and a larger squad with the better players. They also have a reputation for winning crucial matches, hence they are the super league and world champions. But Sky go 1-8 for Leeds. Sheer lunacy. I decided on Sunday that I would be happy to back Wakefield at 2-1 or bigger and we can certainly get that.

As we saw last week with their capitulation to Huddersfield, there is something wrong in the Leeds camp. To lose a local derby in that manner with a man advantage would have me as the coach reaching for the cattle prod in training. I advised you to back Wakefield @ 5-1 to beat Leeds at Headingly last time when they lost 44-40. I  backed Wakefield last time they played Leeds at home when they beat them 38-18 at odds of 4-1.

I recommend you  back Wakefield Trinity £20 @ 4-1 with Paddy Power. For those of you stealing Fred's price before he has finished his nap could you please use Sky Bet and take the 9-2. You should also have a £5 saver on the draw on this occasion @ 25-1.

A word of caution to you all though. I am aware of the recent success I have had tipping rugby league games but Wakefield winning this will be more of a shock than any of the previous results, so do not go throwing all your profits away. Keep the stakes the same as before.

Thanks hector.

We have exactly that.

£20 Wakefield @ 4/1, & £5 the draw @ 25/1, both with Paddy Power. 

ON

12/09/2012 Single To Win Draw @ 25/1
Match Betting
Leeds Rhinos v Wakefield Wildcats Pending £5.00   
12/09/2012 Single To Win Wakefield Wildcats @ 4/1
Match Betting
Leeds Rhinos v Wakefield Wildcats Pending £20.00 

[hector62]

the game last week meant nothing, hudds are not a rival of leeds and it was a dead rubber in terms of league placing. Also rhinos have 1-2 key injuries so i am certain they were told not to be silly with things looking forward to the playoffs.

all that said the players hate the coach..but it didnt stop them last year.


So just out of interest, how much will you be investing on Leeds at 1-6?

[Acidmouse]

I don't bet so nowt.

Just letting people know the game last week meant nothing apart from professional pride. There is no rivalry from Leeds and that being the case its natural for the players to play their B game. I would not say their is something wrong in the camp, more so than has been the case when the coach took over 2 years ago. The players dislike him in general and his coaching (i know this first hand I talk to a few players) and they believe it was because of the players that they won the grand final last year and not the coach.

Wakey are on a good run, but lets be honest they are the 9th best team over the season, if they won at the weekend it would be the biggest win for them in the last 10 years+ so plenty of incentive, wakey hate Leeds as they are jealous as can be.. an upset not unlikely and lots of points but for me Leeds will have A game / playoff mentality and edge it.  I would bet points in the game being high, but that's not to say 4/1+ aint value.

Hope not coming on to shout down the tips, they are excellent. Just some more background into Leeds thinking.

[DungBeetle]

Imagine that the footie chat will be on Friday, but just noticed that the Brighton match is on Friday night for some reason.

[tikay]

Football recommends for this weekend. I'll Update this as we go along.

Brighton to beat Sheff W, Friday. (Dung, posted 11th September).


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/brighton-v-sheffield-wednesday/winner

[edgascoigne]

I'm a regular at Wimbledon dogs, owing largely to (a) its proximity to my gaff and (b) the fact I own a dog with a chap I used to work with. I love it there.

So disappointing to see it struggle. I think the greatest shame comes in the predictability and hopelessness of it all. It'll be gone soon and replaced by a(nother) multiplex cinema and affordable housing. Marvelous.

Hopefully you are wrong - AFC Wimbledon are bidding to return home with a stadium on the site. My fingers are well and truly crossed...

Yeah have seen these. We actually contacted a number included within the plans to inquire as to whether there was any intention to including any sort of track at the stadium. We were rather curtly dealt with if truth be told so whilst I wish AFC Wimbledon all the best I'd still rather the location could remain greyhound-centric as it were!

Tikay - I'd be astounded if it washes its face (no pun intended) at the moment. I could write an essay on my view as to where the track should be going and what British Greyhound Racing should be doing but I'll save that for another time/a proposal for the land...

[Karabiner]

Just out of idle curiosity what is fred's ROI thus far?

[scotty2hatty]

Nothing from me as a recommendation at Romford tonight. Having two bets, T1 in the 8:50 hurdles and T1 in the 9:45 final.

Anyone else backing anything? Or have a view on my two?

[tikay]

Just out of idle curiosity what is fred's ROI thus far?

According to the spready, it is currently + 3.80%.

£25,779 staked, current profit £980.75.

The "sport-by-sport" breakdown is quite interesting. We've wasted a bit.


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4

[The Camel]

Just out of idle curiosity what is fred's ROI thus far?

According to the spready, it is currently + 3.80%.

£25,779 staked, current profit £980.75.

The "sport-by-sport" breakdown is quite interesting. We've wasted a bit.


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4

11% ROI on 204 football bets is mighty impressive.

[The Camel]

Did you ever look at ROI per bookmaker?

[tikay]

Just out of idle curiosity what is fred's ROI thus far?

According to the spready, it is currently + 3.80%.

£25,779 staked, current profit £980.75.

The "sport-by-sport" breakdown is quite interesting. We've wasted a bit.


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4

11% ROI on 204 football bets is mighty impressive.

Pleased to hear that - I would not know what a reasonable ROI should be.

I think my "learning curve" has cost us a goodly bit. I'm pretty sure we've wasted far too much on some sports, & if we apply those lessons, we could maybe do a lot better.*

* Usual "sample size" caveats apply.   

[typhoon13]

Just out of idle curiosity what is fred's ROI thus far?

According to the spready, it is currently + 3.80%.

£25,779 staked, current profit £980.75.

The "sport-by-sport" breakdown is quite interesting. We've wasted a bit.


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4

Interesting reading sir

Does it want you to concentrate your efforts more on your profitable sports and possibly cut back a little on the losers

Stands Back!