Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

To be fair, Jason Campbell hasn't been the same since he left UB40.

I think you have your Campbells mixed up there Tal, which can be very painful.

tho Ali Campbell of UB40 will be absolutely gutted, because Jason Campbell is actually black**

** I know I know

Jason Campbell is lucky to have a job in the NFL so in a Kevin Bacon kinda way it could be said he is linked to UB40. .
 

Rejected Campbells for this joke included:

http://www.whosdatedwho.com/sections/celebrities/last-name/Campbell

Plus the sprinter Darren.


I oddly (I was going to say 'interestingly' but decided that I couldn't stand a raise there) know a member of UB40. He has played sax with the band for about 15 years. He's seen the world and more, playing music and entertaining what must have been many millions.

MBFN

[The Camel]

Abs no idea what the bet is in the game.

Bit torn tbh, we're on San Fran for Superbowl at 20s and Bears for NFC at 20s. I guess we want a Bears victory..

Not ideal with both QBs inj atm tho.

+7 is long gone with Smith out too, +4 best now.

Tough game to call indeed.

I think Jason Campbell is a really decent backup, and one of the premier non starting QBs in the league. Kapaernick has unlimited potential but has it to prove in primetime.

If this game was at the hostile atmosphere of Soldier Field I'd really like the Bears, as it is, I'll keep money in pocket and bet in running.

Drawing upon all my reserves of NFL & punting knowledge Keith, accumulated over several supereons, I disagree.

I have always held the default view of never back a team Quarterbacked by Jason Campbell

Just my opinion, like.

Never had any decent receivers to throw to.

Never had a decent Offensive Line to protect him.

Never had a decent running back to share the load. (apart from Clinton Portis whose best days, I would contend, were behind him at Mile High)

He's got a great arm and has shown poise under pressure.

i think he's never had the chance to flourish. Just a shame his contract came to end when Shanahan took over at Washington. Think he could have prospered there.

[kukushkin88]

I think that San Fran line has fallen a long way now, it was a no bet game for me but Corals are minus 3 and that tempted me in for a small bet.

San Fran have held some poor to average qb's to small points totals in the last few weeks and imo Campbell is no better than some of those. Kasper the friendly qb might not be very good either but I know one of them is shit, the other might not be.

obv the Chicago D has been in great form and could carry them again but San Fran away with a bad qb is not high on the list of match ups you want to have and it's not as tho the San Fran D is poor.

  

I think Fred should have a small bet on San Fran -3. I think they´ll have the better of things running it and Campbell will really struggle against this defence. It´s enough for me to justify a small bet.

[tikay]

I think that San Fran line has fallen a long way now, it was a no bet game for me but Corals are minus 3 and that tempted me in for a small bet.

San Fran have held some poor to average qb's to small points totals in the last few weeks and imo Campbell is no better than some of those. Kasper the friendly qb might not be very good either but I know one of them is shit, the other might not be.

obv the Chicago D has been in great form and could carry them again but San Fran away with a bad qb is not high on the list of match ups you want to have and it's not as tho the San Fran D is poor.

  

I think Fred should have a small bet on San Fran -3. I think they´ll have the better of things running it and Campbell will really struggle against this defence. It´s enough for me to justify a small bet.

Kuku going for the 4-timer I think, 3-timer certainly.

I've already had a lot of info from wise counsel that 49-ers -3 is a reasonable bet tonight, & in fact I have had a small wager off-thread already.

I think Fred will very probably invest, unless we get strong views to the contrary.

What did you have in mind, as in "how much"? Your usual, £25 - £30, that area?

[kukushkin88]

I think that San Fran line has fallen a long way now, it was a no bet game for me but Corals are minus 3 and that tempted me in for a small bet.

San Fran have held some poor to average qb's to small points totals in the last few weeks and imo Campbell is no better than some of those. Kasper the friendly qb might not be very good either but I know one of them is shit, the other might not be.

obv the Chicago D has been in great form and could carry them again but San Fran away with a bad qb is not high on the list of match ups you want to have and it's not as tho the San Fran D is poor.

  

I think Fred should have a small bet on San Fran -3. I think they´ll have the better of things running it and Campbell will really struggle against this defence. It´s enough for me to justify a small bet.

Kuku going for the 4-timer I think, 3-timer certainly.

I've already had a lot of info from wise counsel that 49-ers -3 is a reasonable bet tonight, & in fact I have had a small wager off-thread already.

I think Fred will very probably invest, unless we get strong views to the contrary.

What did you have in mind, as in "how much"? Your usual, £25 - £30, that area?

Lets go for £22 at 10/11. Definitely been running good on Fred handicap nfl bets, been a great start to the season in general. Long may it continue :-)

[tikay]

From "The Game" today......

Across all the English leagues, from Premier Leagues to the Bet Square Premier, and all four Scottish divisions, for the first time ever, there was not a single goalless draw this weekend.

Also.....

Top flight games (Premier League) with fewer than three goals this weekend - one.

[tikay]

I think that San Fran line has fallen a long way now, it was a no bet game for me but Corals are minus 3 and that tempted me in for a small bet.

San Fran have held some poor to average qb's to small points totals in the last few weeks and imo Campbell is no better than some of those. Kasper the friendly qb might not be very good either but I know one of them is shit, the other might not be.

obv the Chicago D has been in great form and could carry them again but San Fran away with a bad qb is not high on the list of match ups you want to have and it's not as tho the San Fran D is poor.

  

I think Fred should have a small bet on San Fran -3. I think they´ll have the better of things running it and Campbell will really struggle against this defence. It´s enough for me to justify a small bet.

Kuku going for the 4-timer I think, 3-timer certainly.

I've already had a lot of info from wise counsel that 49-ers -3 is a reasonable bet tonight, & in fact I have had a small wager off-thread already.

I think Fred will very probably invest, unless we get strong views to the contrary.

What did you have in mind, as in "how much"? Your usual, £25 - £30, that area?

Lets go for £22 at 10/11. Definitely been running good on Fred handicap nfl bets, been a great start to the season in general. Long may it continue :-)

Excellent. Deep down, you are a nit like me.

Thanks.

We have £22 @ 10/11, Corals, San Francisco 49'ers -3 v Chicago Bears.

ON


SingleID:O/1597594/0000010San Francisco 49ers -3.010/11Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers - 20/11/2012Stake £22.00
Estimated Return:£42.00

[TightEnd]

Hughes out, being announced tonight

Redknapp has had the phone call.....

[TightEnd]

oh and can San Fran win by 4,5 or 6 please?

One of the biggest line moves I can remember in recent years!

[tikay]

Hughes out, being announced tonight

Redknapp has had the phone call.....

That would be bad for our bet, I fear.

[Tal]

Hughes out, being announced tonight

Redknapp has had the phone call.....

That would be bad for our bet, I fear.

First thing he'll do is get rid of Taraabt, who got zero games for us while he was in charge, as they fell out. That might be good for Fred.

[TightEnd]

Hughes out, being announced tonight

Redknapp has had the phone call.....

That would be bad for our bet, I fear.

He can't do much until January, apart from motivational stuff/team spirit 

Then he's got a lot of overpriced, overpaid mercenaries to get rid of, but of course can get his players in then.

All from 5 points back from Safety, with Old Trafford next

So I think it will be a good sweat for quite a while


G Nev described them on his giant Ipad tonight as "worse than a pub team", so the only way is up I suppose!

[tikay]

But G Nev also held the strong view that they would not go down.

[tikay]

I am even happy to steal bets from other threads and other websites if they look good.

ahhh, that's why I always catch you snooping around in the N!T thread.

Scouting duties Milli, standard stuff. Proper professional, like.

[claypole]

Hope this isn't too late, however I have waited for the team news tonight and the fact Matt Jarvis is out makes this a bet for me.

West Ham v Stoke - under 11 corners, 11/10 Bet 365 £25

From a stats basis, although sample size is small this year, Stoke, as you would expect are bottom of the scoring charts, averaging 3,64 total and 2.67 away. They are woefully uncreative as we know - Etherington is having spoor season which impacts the corner stat more v 2011/12

West Ham are better, averaging just over 6 - although a couple of positive points, they are less successful at home - maybe skewed by some tough fixtures and having seen them play a couple of times Jarvis creates a lot of problems down the left.

I'm not a big fan of fixed odds corner betting, personally I have sold.  Not massive value, I have looked at under options like 28.5 multis at 5/6 which gets 7x4 and 8x3 on your side, however keeping it simple with £25 recommendation.

Like to break a duck....