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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16534886 times)
hector62
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« Reply #20865 on: November 19, 2012, 04:38:21 PM »

Test match prices India Evs  England 5's   Draw 7/4. What's your plan Mr T ?
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« Reply #20866 on: November 19, 2012, 04:48:34 PM »

Test match prices India Evs  England 5's   Draw 7/4. What's your plan Mr T ?

You should be able to get 11/10 less commission on Betfair for India and I got 6.6 (decimal) earlier on England there.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #20867 on: November 19, 2012, 04:59:02 PM »

One for the NFLers please

Chicago +7 at the 49ers

This should be a low scorer. Two good defenses, particularly against the run

Chicago minus Cutler, which is obviously a blow but much like Leftwich for Pitt, Jason Campbell is perfectly servicable

The Chicago defense creates turnovers, and scores points


After success last night on various threads with Cleveland, Arizona, Pittsburgh (just beat the spread), there is a reasonable case to be made for Chicago to cover on Monday night football is there not?

Interestingly on this website, commentators representing both teams, who preview the game well, expect Chicago to cover +7

http://ninernoise.com/2012/11/18/chicago-bears-vs-san-francisco-49ers-preview-qa-with-fan-website-bear-goggles-on/

+7 Chicago at 10/11 is available in various places

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/chicago-bears-at-san-francisco-49ers/point-spread

Is Alex Smith playing?


Alex Smith reportedly out for San Francisco 49ers

After a week of encouraging signs for Alex Smith, the San Francisco 49ers quarterback needs more time to heal from the concussion he suffered eight days ago and will not start against the Chicago Bears on Monday night.

ESPN's Chris Mortensen reported Monday morning that Smith was unable to gain clearance from a neurologist, according to sources, meaning Colin Kaepernick will start against Bears backup Jason Campbell, filling in for a concussed Jay Cutler.


from NFL site.
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millidonk
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« Reply #20868 on: November 19, 2012, 04:59:30 PM »



I am even happy to steal bets from other threads and other websites if they look good.


ahhh, that's why I always catch you snooping around in the N!T thread.
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« Reply #20869 on: November 19, 2012, 05:01:31 PM »

Abs no idea what the bet is in the game. +7 is long gone with Smith out too, +4 best now.

Bit torn tbh, we're on San Fran for Superbowl at 20s and Bears for NFC at 20s. I guess we want a Bears victory..

Not ideal with both QBs inj atm tho.
« Last Edit: November 19, 2012, 05:06:30 PM by ChipRich » Logged

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« Reply #20870 on: November 19, 2012, 05:10:20 PM »

Abs no idea what the bet is in the game.

Bit torn tbh, we're on San Fran for Superbowl at 20s and Bears for NFC at 20s. I guess we want a Bears victory..

Not ideal with both QBs inj atm tho.

+7 is long gone with Smith out too, +4 best now.

Tough game to call indeed.

I think Jason Campbell is a really decent backup, and one of the premier non starting QBs in the league. Kapaernick has unlimited potential but has it to prove in primetime.

If this game was at the hostile atmosphere of Soldier Field I'd really like the Bears, as it is, I'll keep money in pocket and bet in running.
« Last Edit: November 19, 2012, 05:20:54 PM by The Camel » Logged

Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #20871 on: November 19, 2012, 05:21:34 PM »

+4 really is "no bet" territory

The Chicago defense could really confuse Kapaernick, but I'd want a touchdown start to be backing them and the price has moved a long way now

Of course when I asked the Smith news had not come out
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« Reply #20872 on: November 19, 2012, 05:26:29 PM »

Can I ask what the trouble behind the scenes at Stevenage is Chompy?

In the top ten, been steady enough since Westley left. Nothing to indicate they are massively on the slide

I can see Bournemouth at 4/5 with their huge pick up on form since Howe re-arrived but the tone of Chompy's posts on Stevenage suggests there's more to it.
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tikay
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« Reply #20873 on: November 19, 2012, 06:42:21 PM »

Abs no idea what the bet is in the game.

Bit torn tbh, we're on San Fran for Superbowl at 20s and Bears for NFC at 20s. I guess we want a Bears victory..

Not ideal with both QBs inj atm tho.

+7 is long gone with Smith out too, +4 best now.

Tough game to call indeed.

I think Jason Campbell is a really decent backup, and one of the premier non starting QBs in the league. Kapaernick has unlimited potential but has it to prove in primetime.

If this game was at the hostile atmosphere of Soldier Field I'd really like the Bears, as it is, I'll keep money in pocket and bet in running.

Drawing upon all my reserves of NFL & punting knowledge Keith, accumulated over several supereons, I disagree.

I have always held the default view of never back a team Quarterbacked by Jason Campbell

Just my opinion, like.

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« Reply #20874 on: November 19, 2012, 06:46:10 PM »



Tikay, did you just drop this?
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« Reply #20875 on: November 19, 2012, 06:46:57 PM »


Shush Tal, I think I may have got it through.
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« Reply #20876 on: November 19, 2012, 06:47:39 PM »

To be fair, Jason Campbell hasn't been the same since he left UB40.
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« Reply #20877 on: November 19, 2012, 06:47:51 PM »

I think that San Fran line has fallen a long way now, it was a no bet game for me but Corals are minus 3 and that tempted me in for a small bet.

San Fran have held some poor to average qb's to small points totals in the last few weeks and imo Campbell is no better than some of those. Kasper the friendly qb might not be very good either but I know one of them is shit, the other might not be.

obv the Chicago D has been in great form and could carry them again but San Fran away with a bad qb is not high on the list of match ups you want to have and it's not as tho the San Fran D is poor.

  
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tikay
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« Reply #20878 on: November 19, 2012, 06:51:52 PM »


SPAM ALERT


Tonight, at 8pm, the Tal RSQ reveal takes place.

Should be typical, tipocal, & epical, as well as having entries which the sum of two squares.


Don't be late, doors close sharp at 8pm.



http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=59485.0
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« Reply #20879 on: November 19, 2012, 06:57:28 PM »

To be fair, Jason Campbell hasn't been the same since he left UB40.

I think you have your Campbells mixed up there Tal, which can be very painful.

tho Ali Campbell of UB40 will be absolutely gutted, because Jason Campbell is actually black**

** I know I know

Jason Campbell is lucky to have a job in the NFL so in a Kevin Bacon kinda way it could be said he is linked to UB40. .
 
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