Tips for Tikay

[The Camel]

Follow the Harbaugh brothers to the superbowl.

San Fran v Baltimore. It probably should have been that last season, they will be even stronger this season. (Baltimore more so when Suggs is back).

 

you knew!!

He's not a shrewdie for nothing.

[Horneris]

It seems I forgot to place a double on the Championship winners though. Need San Fran, no laying off, cmon!!!

[bobby1]

All of that means they are a bet at the current evs with Betfair and definitely not a lay.

 77% of the time you have bet a 10/11 chance at evs and 23 % of the time you bet a 70% chance at evs.

 Nice work. If anyone wants to green I can help.

worked abs perfectly, great call Neil.

[LeKnave]

hell of a day guys.

one more hurdle.

2 brothers coaching for 1 of the greatest prizes in sport, you couldn't make it up.

[The Camel]

hell of a day guys.

one more hurdle.

2 brothers coaching for 1 of the greatest prizes in sport, you couldn't make it up.

Chris Kluwe ‏@ChrisWarcraft

Seriously, if this were me and my brother, we'd already be sharpening the knives. We wouldn't make it two weeks.

[tikay]

hell of a day guys.

one more hurdle.

2 brothers coaching for 1 of the greatest prizes in sport, you couldn't make it up.

Absolutely love that.

Mum & Dad must be well proud, too.

[tikay]

Daily Summary, as @ 0740, Monday January 21st                      

PROFIT on Month = £364.10

Unsettled Bets  - £1,206.00


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=18

[tikay]

Daily Report as @ 0755, Monday January 21st

We turned a most pleasing profit of £187.60 yesterday.

FWIW, our ROI over 11.5 months is now 1.93%, which is almost respectable, & pretty damn good for an ice-cream.  

Our NFL ROI is +16% over a sample size of 70 bets, & in Rugby Union we are +12% over 64 bets. Small, sample size, but that's all we have to go on.

In addition, the 9ers made Superbowl, & are generally a 1/2 shot, & we have £250 on them at close to 7/1.

It was one of those days where not only did we run good throughout, but our small bets all lost, & our big bets all won. Such days don't come around so often.  

The stuff that went south?

We had £5 on Gonzales, MVP, Superbowl, but he won't be at the party.

A £5 draw "saver" on Treviso lost, but we had the win seperately.

We had two x £5 Banzais on Leicester - Toulouse, no good.

We had a £4 @ 100/1 Banzai on Mongongu in the ACN, he nearly scored but the bookies don't pay on nearly.  

Finally, we had £22 on Colin Kap to have over 18.5 completions, he had 16, but we can forgive him that.

The Roll of Honour?

Longest Field Goal, Falcons, £50 @ Evens = +£50. Tighty.

Ravens - Patriots Under 51.5 points, £44 @ 10/11 = +£40. Kuku.

Treviso to beat Ospreys, £20 @ 13/8, = +£32.50. hector.

Turner, Under 50.5 rush yards, £55 @ 10/11 = +£50. Neil Channing.

Turner, Under 57.5 rush yards, £60 @ 5/6 = +£50. Neil Channing.

[tikay]

Run Good Sunday.

Longest Field Goal, Falcons.

The 49ers surprisingly missed a longer attempt, hitting the top of the upright.

Treviso beating Ospreys

We were dead & buried with 4 minutes to go, but two very late tries got us up right on the line.

Turner Rushing Yards

Our man had 30 yards on the board just after half-time, it was nip & tuck, but he then went off injured.

Our 49-ers bet cut it a bit fine, too.

Some days we get unlucky or just plain run bad, yesterday was the day our Kings beat Aces. Hopefully we take both sides of that coin with good grace.

[Tal]

Colin, Frank and Vernon. What an odd triumvirate.

In anticipation of there being a debate over going green, I placed a bet on a Ravens/49ers Superbowl such that victory would get me my stake back on the Niners outright bet.

In one sense, probably a terrible idea, but I'm feeling results-oriented this morning.

I believe our noisy neighbours across the pond have an expression:

Good hustle, team.

[tikay]

Colin, Frank and Vernon. What an odd triumvirate.

In anticipation of there being a debate over going green, I placed a bet on a Ravens/49ers Superbowl such that victory would get me my stake back on the Niners outright bet.

In one sense, probably a terrible idea, but I'm feeling results-oriented this morning.

I believe our noisy neighbours across the pond have an expression:

Good hustle, team.

Nice one Tal, so you are freerolling now.

Everyone will have their own view on whether to green or save, & I expect we'll see a myriad of suggestions.

I know many have saved already.

February 3rd it is then, which coincides with the final day of the DTD £300 Deepstack. Pretty sure DTD will show the game.

[millidonk]

I am letting it ride; 1 - I like our chances. 2 - I can handle the loss if needs be. 3 - I have enjoyed the sweat so far. 4 - if I let it ride and win I can get the MilliDonk household a nice shiny iPad or maybe even a 'his & hers' tablet of the cheaper variety. (I did try to get a Nexus7 in the N!T thread, but it didn't quite go to plan..) Roll on February 3rd or whenever it is.

[tikay]

I am letting it ride; 1 - I like our chances. 2 - I can handle the loss if needs be. 3 - I have enjoyed the sweat so far. 4 - if I let it ride and win I can get the MilliDonk household a nice shiny iPad or maybe even a 'his & hers' tablet of the cheaper variety. (I did try to get a Nexus7 in the N!T thread, but it didn't quite go to plan..) Roll on February 3rd or whenever it is.

Great stuff Milli, i-Pad incoming.

[tikay]

Current Superbowl prices......

Outright, around 1/2.....

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/baltimore-ravens-at-san-francisco-49ers/winner


Point spread -4......

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/baltimore-ravens-at-san-francisco-49ers/point-spread

[Tal]

Colin, Frank and Vernon. What an odd triumvirate.

In anticipation of there being a debate over going green, I placed a bet on a Ravens/49ers Superbowl such that victory would get me my stake back on the Niners outright bet.

In one sense, probably a terrible idea, but I'm feeling results-oriented this morning.

I believe our noisy neighbours across the pond have an expression:

Good hustle, team.

Nice one Tal, so you are freerolling now.

Everyone will have their own view on whether to green or save, & I expect we'll see a myriad of suggestions.

I know many have saved already.

February 3rd it is then, which coincides with the final day of the DTD £300 Deepstack. Pretty sure DTD will show the game.

Yes, I have the freeroll booked now, so we shall see it through.