Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Chompy for daily reporter (temporarily)

Very temporarily. He could ruin the place inside a week.

Booked.

We are doomed.

[redarmi]

Everyone else is worse and whilst I think it is value how about you just have it with me because I hate betting below best and I will just top up with Pinny.

Very kind, thank you, booked.

£50, yes?

Settle up before, or after? Don't mind either way.

I reckon you are good for it.  After.

[redarmi]

Its booked btw.

[tikay]

Its booked btw.

Confirmed.

I will formalise it for the Spready later. Don't want Chompy to miss it in his Daily Report, do we?

ON

[tikay]

Rugby League - Bet Suggestion

One for Hector to consider - as the bet includes Hull KR versus Wigan.

Tonight Wigan host Hull KR, and there's zero chance that there'll be a one-sided demolition that Wigan dished out earlier in the season at Craven Park - ending in a score of 6-84.

I still expect a strong(ish) Wigan side to win, but the question is how close will it be?


Wigan Warriors 19 Man Squad
Joe Burgess, Josh Charnley, Dom Crosby, Ben Flower, Anthony Gelling, Darrell Goulding, Blake Green, Harrison Hansen, Jack Hughes, Epalahame Lauaki, Michael McIlorum, Lee Mossop, Sean O'Loughlin, Sam Powell, Matty Smith, Scott Taylor, Logan Tomkins, Sam Tomkins, Chris Tuson.

Hull KR 19 man squad
Liam Salter, Jason Netherton, Adam Walker, Sean Gleeson, Evarn Tuimavave, Jordan Cox, Con Mika, Travis Burns, Keal Carlile, Rich Beaumont, Craig Hall, Mickey Paea, David Hodgson, Rhys Lovegrove, Michael Dobson, Lincoln Withers, Greg Eden, Tyla Hepi, Josh Hodgson.


No Pat Richards in the Wigan squad, and no Liam Farrell - both being rested (and quite rightly).  This does mean that there's no recognised goal-kicker in the side, and so these duties will fall to Charnley, Smith or Sam Tomkins.  None of them are exactly prolific at goal-kicking, and this could restrict the points tally - even if Wigan are dominant and scoring tries.  Rovers have Dobson in their side, who is pivotal to them doing well, and also will score points.

The odds are evens for Hull KR +20, and 2/1 for Hull KR +12 points.  The evens bet at +20 seems like a more sensible bet?  Wigan, like Warrington, are 'flat-track bullies' and will put up a cricket score against sides that are poor.  But against a decent side, they tend to struggle a bit and they usually end up close affairs. 

Hull KR have won 5 out of their last 6 matches, and were on a good run of form until they lost 34-6 at Warrington.  It was 12-6 at half-time, but then Hull KR fell to pieces and were given a lesson by Warrington. 
Wigan on the other hand have seen a dip in form (with absences of key players such as O'Loughlin and Sam Tomkins, who are both back in the side and play tonight) in the league, and the games they've won recently have been very close - and were lucky to come away with the points against Bradford.

Wigan need to win their remaining games in the league to be assured of top spot (the match next week against Huddersfield being crucial, obviously) and also have the small distraction of the Challenge Cup final on the 24th.  So the players will be keen to shine before then, but Wane will also be looking to keep his players out of trouble and if Wigan are going well in the game I think we'll see them step off the gas a little rather than try to drill Rovers into the ground.

Thoughts on the evens bet for Rovers to shade it with a 20pt start?

Half-Time, 10-10.

A try from Tuson in the 2nd half would be handy.

[Tal]

Remember, Chompy. Kalmar. You need to find a suitable picture. No stewie griffin t-shirts will be accepted

[tikay]

In the RL, Wigan won 21-16, but no try from Tuson.

[tikay]

Just realised, tonight is eviction night in Big Brother.

No wonder bug a lugs wanted to do the Daily Report.

It'll be all novelty TV stuff.

[TightEnd]

Could you put the bet confirmations up please, so I can do the spreadsheet for the reporter formerly known as Racing PostSpotlight?

ty

[tikay]

Could you put the bet confirmations up please, so I can do the spreadsheet for the reporter formerly known as Racing PostSpotlight?

ty

OK, give me 10 minutes please.

[tikay]

What's the current super max bet amount please?

For day to day stuff, £150.

For "Specials" we have no upper limit as such, we have had as much as £600 I think, we just need to be sensible on a case by case basis. Our Super Max bets tend to be the long term things.

£1,000 on Sheffield Utd was it?

haha that was last year.


Dung Beetle has his finger bang on the pulse of what is happening at Watford and was telling us on the Championship thread that they were re signing/signing players long before they were officially announced. At that stage they were around 14/1 to win the Div and 1/3-2/7 to finish in the top half.

Since then the  signings have become common knowledge and the outright price has shortened to 10/1 and the top half finish has shortened to around 1/6 with a few firms , good old Hills tho are still the same price at 2/7 than they were 4 weeks ago. This just looks a really good bet at that price. Stan have also left the price the same at 1/4 in their top 12 market, which is the same thing.

Think it's worth having a cash to cash bet of £350 at 2/7 Watford to finish in the top half of the Championship with Hills

We have, gulp, £350 @ 2/7, Wm Hill, Watford to finish TOP HALF of the Sky Bet Championship.

ON

02 Aug 13 / 16:05  Single 1   English Championship - Top Half Finish  –  Top Half Finish Watford @ 2/7 – £350.00 O/0457483/0000496/F 

[tikay]

Evening Mr T.

Tonight's super league sees Wigan entertaining Hull KR. Wigan should win comfortably and so I have been looking at the Wigan players for a decent try scorer bet. The main players are too short for me but with Liam Farrell being rested it gives an opportunity for Chris Tuson to play a bigger role. Tuson has scored 8 tries in 16 appearances this season, a lot of them as substitute. That number makes him break even at Evens, however a number of other factors need to be factored in. Wigan are at home, and playing the team with the 5th worst defence both of which mean Wigan should score more tries than average. If we then add the fact that Tuson is going to get a lot more minutes on the field then the 9/4 we can get make him an attractive bet.

Suggest Tuson to score a try at anytime £20 @ 9/4 with Paddy Power.

CONFIRMATION ONLY

£15 (Maxed) @ 9/4, Paddy Power, Tuson to score ANYTIME, Wigan v Hull KR

ON

02/08/2013
18:00 Bet Stake Wigan Warriors v Hull Kingston Rovers - Chris Tuson @ 9/4  -£15.00

[tikay]

Get ready...

£100 on J Wonder, 11-4 Lads, 2.55 Newmarket tomorrow.

Reasoning to follow.

NOT backed, we missed the price.  (Now 7/4 generally).

[tikay]

Think there is a good bet in the Swedish League tomorrow.  Kalmar are a decent team still vaguely in the hunt for the European places.  They are a solid home team that play to their form level.  Tomorrow they play Syrianska who are bottom and, frankly, pretty awful.  They also seem to play to their level in so far as they they tend to have a chance of a result against the poor teams but they lose against the decent teams.  They have lost 8/11 with the three draws versus bottom 6 teams  The last three times these two teams have played Kalmar have won 2-0 and 3-0 at home and 3-0 at Syrianska earlier this season.  On the basis of that form Kalmar look a little underpriced to me but the kicker is Syrianskas injury list.  They are going to be without Elia, Sleyman and Demirtas who have formed the backbone of their back four this year and their top scorer (albeit with only 3 goals) and apparently best player Touma is also out.  There are also doubts about Felic and Sow their only two strikers that have scored this year.

I think the handicap is the way to go with Pinnacle and -1 1.97 seems great value to me.  Recommend a nifty.

ON, with Redarmi. (Book as Pinnacle).

£50, Kalmer over Syrianski, -1, @ 1.97.

[tikay]

All done.

Tomorrow's Daily Report will be a complex affair, with tons of photos.

Swedish Football

County Championship Cricket (several) including Div 1, & Div 2 Updates, & the Rogers bet.

Test Cricket, Top Aussie Batter, Top England Bowler, Series Whitewash, etc.

Baseball, Rays, Red Sox, Kansas City Royals

Goodwood Top Jockey

Goodwood Offers

RL, Wigan v Hull KR

Sky Bet Championship, Watford Update.

Novelty TV, Dexter Top Bloke, Gina Top Top.