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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16401894 times)
tikay
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« Reply #6300 on: May 17, 2012, 10:39:03 AM »

OK, no bimbling or bombling, time for a ESC punt.

I'm not convinced Sweden is right for the Euro weirdos and not surprised the word is that rehearsals aren't going great.

It can be laid at 1.17 to be out of the top ten. France were shorter last year and that crashed.

It pays to be aggressive on ESC markets so...

Top ten market - lay £300 at 1.17, risking £51.

Also, lay £200 @ 3 in the outright market, risking £400. This is for a trade further down the line. Be surprised if it doesn't hit 5+ before the night. Sigh, I miss being able to get in on this action.

If you don't like this one or don't want to tie up four hundo, just go with the top ten lay @ 1.17.


Euro weirdos...



Jeez, are you sure?

Current prices are......

Top Ten (lay) 1.17

Outright (lay) 2.92.

Seriously, how strong are you on this? Seems a huge risk for very small upside to me?

I know you are a TV addict & ESC buff, so I'll get on, but I just need a little nudge first.

I guess if you are right, & we also have the winner (Russia) backed alrerady, we'd be in clover. All seems a bit iffy to me. What happened to Fixed Odds Football Coupons & all that stuff we used to have, back in the day. Was so simple to do my bollox then.

Bring back Littlewoods Football Pools, I say.

Seems to be a bit of confusion here. You're not risking £300, you're risking £51. You're laying at 1.17. Which is effectively the same as backing at 5/1.

Go to the ESC top ten market on Betunfair. That's special bets - general - ESC - top ten, then click lay next to Sweden. Enter 1.17 as your price and type 300 into the amount box. Your liability will be £51. That's all your risking. £51 to win £300.

Unf most of the 1.17 has now disappeared.

The other bet, the outright lay of Sweden at 3, is a trade. Leave that one if you like.

A bit of confusion?

Sigh @ this.

We are on, or some of it. That's a very little some of it, if I read this correctly.

Sweden, Top 10, LAY.

Here's the Betfair receipt.

ON

Eurovision Song Contest 2012
SwedenTop 10    1.17 £262.13 £44.56
Partially Matched
Bet Ref: 19967653321 Bet submitted: 2012-05-17T09:36:09.000Z
At In-Play  Cancel  Keep 
Placed (matched)Lay (Bet Against) Backer's odds Backer's stake Your liability
Eurovision Song Contest 2012
SwedenTop 10    1.17 £37.87 £6.44
Partially Matched
Bet Ref: 19967653321M Bet matched: 2012-05-17T09:36:09.000Z
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tikay
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« Reply #6301 on: May 17, 2012, 10:39:54 AM »

Eng win the toss and bowl

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-west-indies/england-v-west-indies-tests/england-v-west-indies-%5B1st-test%5D/west-indies-opening-partnership

22.5 is too skinny for me, I am afraid
Nice conditions for our 3-0 series bet though.


You are the Official Cricket Corry, so "no bet" I'm afraid.
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« Reply #6302 on: May 17, 2012, 10:40:12 AM »

regardless of whether the pitch is flat or not these overhead conditions look ideal for england


i would not want to have day 4 or day 5 tickets

i have played small at under 22.5 runs slightly to high still

Good luck horsey.
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« Reply #6303 on: May 17, 2012, 10:44:30 AM »

Wpwp, you've left the other £262 there waiting to be matched. That's fine, fingers crossed it will be matched before 8pm Tuesday, but just keep an eye on it. If it's not matched by Tuesday, take it down imo.
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« Reply #6304 on: May 17, 2012, 10:44:46 AM »


Sigh @ this.


 Roll Eyes
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tikay
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« Reply #6305 on: May 17, 2012, 10:48:53 AM »

Wpwp, you've left the other £262 there waiting to be matched. That's fine, fingers crossed it will be matched before 8pm Tuesday, but just keep an eye on it. If it's not matched by Tuesday, take it down imo.

What happens at 8pm Tuesday, then?
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« Reply #6306 on: May 17, 2012, 10:50:25 AM »

the line now appears to be 20.5 everywere

just win now please
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« Reply #6307 on: May 17, 2012, 10:51:27 AM »

3/1 for Chanderpaul top 1st innings Windies looks big to me.

Can't find his stats quickly but he is class and has played well in England before.


Sandy
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« Reply #6308 on: May 17, 2012, 10:52:25 AM »

Darts tonight - Hamilton looks a big price to me at 15/8 with Sporting Bet.  He is in form after a very strong finish to the Premier League and despite being bottom at one stage was unbeaten in his last 5 to finish 3rd and qualify for the playoffs.  Also in recent h2h Hamilton has had the edge.  He beat him in the World Matchplay and World Chmpionships (he was the dog in both of those matches as well) and in the group stages he drew 7-7 and won 8-4.  

Recommend £80 @ 15/8
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« Reply #6309 on: May 17, 2012, 10:53:48 AM »

Wpwp, you've left the other £262 there waiting to be matched. That's fine, fingers crossed it will be matched before 8pm Tuesday, but just keep an eye on it. If it's not matched by Tuesday, take it down imo.

What happens at 8pm Tuesday, then?

That's when ESC Semi-final number one appears on BBC3. Hopefully with no Claudia Wankleman this year. The market will probably be taken down and re-opened but remove your remaining lay then just in case.
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tikay
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« Reply #6310 on: May 17, 2012, 11:04:27 AM »

3/1 for Chanderpaul top 1st innings Windies looks big to me.

Can't find his stats quickly but he is class and has played well in England before.


Sandy

Got it!

Thanks Sandy, even though we don't have your usual stats.

£25 with BetVictor, Chanderpaul, top WI Batsmener, 1st innings.

ON

England v West Indies
Shivnarine Chanderpaul
(West Indies Top Batsman - 1st Innings)
Odds:  3/1
Stake:  25.00
Possible Return:  100.00
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tikay
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« Reply #6311 on: May 17, 2012, 11:08:08 AM »

Darts tonight - Hamilton looks a big price to me at 15/8 with Sporting Bet.  He is in form after a very strong finish to the Premier League and despite being bottom at one stage was unbeaten in his last 5 to finish 3rd and qualify for the playoffs.  Also in recent h2h Hamilton has had the edge.  He beat him in the World Matchplay and World Chmpionships (he was the dog in both of those matches as well) and in the group stages he drew 7-7 and won 8-4.  

Recommend £80 @ 15/8

Thanks Bazza.

Missed the 15/8, but had £80 @ 7/4. Hamilton to beat Whitlock.

ON


Selection7/4 - A Hamilton

EventS Whitlock v A Hamilton PDC Premier League

MarketMatch betting
 Your bets (1) Single - A Hamilton
1 line at £80.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £80.00
Potential Return: £220.00
Time: 17/05/12 11:06
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000031
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« Reply #6312 on: May 17, 2012, 11:08:13 AM »

1st stat i heard when i switched on sky, Chanderpaul scored 46% of all the Windies runs in Australia.

Sandy
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« Reply #6313 on: May 17, 2012, 11:27:51 AM »

Darts tonight - Hamilton looks a big price to me at 15/8 with Sporting Bet.  He is in form after a very strong finish to the Premier League and despite being bottom at one stage was unbeaten in his last 5 to finish 3rd and qualify for the playoffs.  Also in recent h2h Hamilton has had the edge.  He beat him in the World Matchplay and World Chmpionships (he was the dog in both of those matches as well) and in the group stages he drew 7-7 and won 8-4.  

Recommend £80 @ 15/8

Thanks Bazza.

Missed the 15/8, but had £80 @ 7/4. Hamilton to beat Whitlock.

ON


Selection7/4 - A Hamilton

EventS Whitlock v A Hamilton PDC Premier League

MarketMatch betting
 Your bets (1) Single - A Hamilton
1 line at £80.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £80.00
Potential Return: £220.00
Time: 17/05/12 11:06
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000031


like this bet.
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« Reply #6314 on: May 17, 2012, 11:35:45 AM »

Well done sellers at 22

13-1.
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