Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

Good work, Mr Mere.

[TightEnd]

The last day of June produced an £86 profit

- Nigeria were joint winners of the Top African team, as both they and Algeria lost in the last sixteen. Paid out as a dead heat to half stakes +£63

Click to see full-size image.

- Lisicki beat Ivanovic in the last sixteen at Wimbledon, 6-1 in the final set +£66

Click to see full-size image.

losers

- Dan Smith in the one drop -£2

- Wozniacki lost to the bellicose Strycova, overpowered and out-matched -£20 as the Women's draw at Wimbledon continued to open up

Click to see full-size image.

- Chardy was beaten in straight sets by Cilic bang -£20



long term

- overnight our last position in the WSOP one drop Greg Merson exited, which will be accounted for tomorrow. Two Brits in the final 14, Tom Hall and Paul Newey

- France advanced to the quarter-finals of the World Cup, prompted by the excellent Pogba. We have a £50 free bet at 12/1, now 8/1 5th favourites and Germany in the quarters....

Click to see full-size image.

- At Wimbledon Federer and Nadal play today, trying to catch the schedule up for the rain delays

- In baseball a good night. The Orioles beat the Rangers 7-1 and the Rays beat the Yankees 4-3 in 12 innings

Click to see full-size image.

- In the AL Central the Royals beat the Twins 6-1, and now have won 3 of their last 4 again as they continue to press the Tigers at the top of the division

Click to see full-size image.

today Argentina, Switzerland, Belgium and the USA in the world cup. We have positions on all four teams, so losers to take tomorrow, and two positions will come closer to fruition

[tikay]

Good morning.

I'm trying to find our "WSOP Main Event Number of Runners" Bets, but can't seem to find them on the Spready.

Can someone remind me of Fred's positions on this, please?

[TightEnd]

Good morning.

I'm trying to find our "WSOP Main Event Number of Runners" Bets, but can't seem to find them on the Spready.

Can someone remind me of Fred's positions on this, please?

WSOP Main event entrants   Over 6300   5/6   60
WSOP Main event entrants   Over 6350   5/6   100
WSOP Main event entrants   over 6350   5/6   40

[Chompy]

arbboy, you have a PM sir.

[tikay]

Good morning.

I'm trying to find our "WSOP Main Event Number of Runners" Bets, but can't seem to find them on the Spready.

Can someone remind me of Fred's positions on this, please?

WSOP Main event entrants   Over 6300   5/6   60
WSOP Main event entrants   Over 6350   5/6   100
WSOP Main event entrants   over 6350   5/6   40

Thanks Rich. I searched for ages, but could not find them on the Spready for some reason.

[sonour]

Morning Tikay,

Welcome back

[tikay]

Morning Tikay,

Welcome back

Thanks Lisa, it's good to be home.

[Mark_Porter]

Good morning.

I'm trying to find our "WSOP Main Event Number of Runners" Bets, but can't seem to find them on the Spready.

Can someone remind me of Fred's positions on this, please?

WSOP Main event entrants   Over 6300   5/6   60
WSOP Main event entrants   Over 6350   5/6   100
WSOP Main event entrants   over 6350   5/6   40

Thanks Rich. I searched for ages, but could not find them on the Spready for some reason.

WSOP has tweeted that pre reg for the main event looks strong.

General numbers for the WSOP are up this year albeit somewhat skewed by the amazing numbers in the monster stack and millionaire maker.

All eyes on day 1a, usually the quietest day. Should give us a good indicator. Last year drew 943 runners on 1a.

[Tal]

I assume Chompy is entering 1A in case we need him to reenter twice?

[Ironside]

Are they allowing re entries tal?

[TightEnd]

Rick Salomon leads and the $ bubble looms after a long Day 2 in the one drop

http://www.wsop.com/news/2014/Jul/4923/RICK-SALOMON-LEADS-AND-MONEY-BUBBLE-LOOMS-AFTER-TWO-DAYS-OF-BIG-ONE-PLAY.html

Here are the chip counts and seat assignments for the start of Day 3:

Seat 1: Cary Katz – 9,125,000
Seat 2: Rick Salomon – 23,575,00
Seat 3: Christoph Vogelsang – 7,075,000
Seat 4: Daniel Colman – 22,625,000
Seat 5: Tom Hall – 7,775,000
Seat 6: Tobias Reinkemeier – 22,825,000
Seat 7: Daniel Negreanu – 20,700,000
Seat 8: Paul Newey – 4,050,000
Seat 9: Scott Seiver – 8,250,000

arbboy asks

"http://www.oddschecker.com/poker/all-poker/wsop-the-big-one-for-one-drop/winner

Any value in here?"


blinds are 200-400k and the chip leader is two points bigger than the three other big stacks with ladbrokes. Presumably negreanu, reinkemeier are understandable favourites but with 50xbb or less the field, is there anyone to punt here?

[TightEnd]

Since 2002, 10 teams have progressed via pens/extra-time at the World Cup.

9 of those 10 were eliminated in their next game.

So far in this round this would apply to Brazil, Germany, Costa Rica

Presumably

a) the teams that need extra-time or pens to win the game are not as good as teams that win the team (logically?)
b) there may be a fatigue factor. 30mins plus of extra play, late into a tournament, and therefore not as fresh for the subsequent game

the schedule/recovery times for this world cup are identical to 2002-10

Yes, small sample sizes...but can you think of reasons why this wouldn't apply in this world cup?



i like colombia in the quarters anyway, no one is going to be surprised if the dutch beat costa rica and germany/france feels "pick em" and france are 5/2 ish underdogs.

thoughts?

[Omm]

Paul won $200,000 on Keno while having breakfast yesterday. Have played with him quite a lot, would not take 200/1 (sorry Paul).

There is obviously only one person to bet in the one drop ( sorry Neil) 

[arbboy]

Ocean should be a 16/1 shot just on chip stack % alone so he must be close to a true 40/1 shot in this line up given his stack.  Was thinking backing Salomon 6/1 and Negr/REink 9/2 both to have the front 3 in the market (they got 54% of the chips between them).  At those prices coupled we are getting a shade under evens when given the quality of at least 2 of the players it should probably be much shorter.  Don't know anything about Salomon but like Tighty said his chip stack is so large relative to his price and the play is relatively short stacked going forward.  Thoughts welcome as always