Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

What's the current score on the JC?

[horseplayer]

BRITISH FLAT JOCKEYS CHAMPIONSHIP 2014
The Flat Jockeys Championship is decided on ridden winners of both Flat and All Weather races taking place from Saturday 29 March 2014 to the last race at the Doncaster turf meeting on Saturday 8 November 2014.

Jockey   Min Weight   Wins   Rides   Strike Rate   Level Stake   Win Prize   Total Prize
Ryan Moore   8-5   130   594   22%   82.01   £2,266,693   3,655,593
Richard Hughes   8-6   120   651   18%   164.91   £1,606,864   2,769,917
Graham Lee   8-8   93   618   15%   57.80   £487,973   769,679
William Buick   8-6   91   473   19%   12.48   £1,323,364   2,110,544
Joe Fanning   8-0   89   567   16%   +32.88   £873,454   1,279,003
Adam Kirby   8-12   86   529   16%   60.68   £851,040   1,110,727
James Doyle   8-7   84   479   18%   40.34   £1,149,745   1,684,762
Paul Mulrennan   8-7   78   486   16%   +9.75   £369,258   553,184
George Baker   9-0   77   387   20%   +48.07   £571,940   781,091
Andrea Atzeni   8-1   77   446   17%   +94.24   £1,038,149   1,922,281
Daniel Tudhope   8-10   75   425   18%   60.10   £569,684   895,563

[arbboy]

From the Hughes' column in RP last weekend i assume he will be busting a gut anywhere and everywhere to win it in the next 2 months?  Is that still the case?

[horseplayer]

Would imagine so

Someone wants £600 on Hughes at 8/13 on betfair which by itself tells you the 5/6 with fred is a must and even the 4/5 still about is fine

[Marky147]

Hughesy on the handicap is pretty much drawing dead thanks to the early injury, but he's a cracking bet at 10-11 for the JC.

Also, while Coral are still holding the 5/2, Madeed 5.20 Haydock tomorrow is a bet.

He was ridic unlucky last time and this is easier off the same mark. I wouldn't want to lay anything above 7/4.

I know he was giving Moore 15, but couldn't remember any of the others...

[arbboy]

Would imagine so

Someone wants £600 on Hughes at 8/13 on betfair which by itself tells you the 5/6 with fred is a must and even the 4/5 still about is fine

Make that £1200 at 4/7 now and lumps done at 1/2 as well on bf already.

[doubleup]

http://www.racingpost.com/news/live.sd?event_id=3031024&category=0

[arbboy]

great spot horsey.  Awesome work.

[horseplayer]

somebody made a few quid tax free!

a lucky friend who has a spoils account got some nice risk free money there

hope some others took advantage

fwiw the current betfair price looks crazy short on Hughes but job done

[Peter-27]

Hey guys, haven't really been around much recently. In the last few weeks I've changed job (now working for Jaguar Land Rover rather than Williams), moved house and bought a new car! Busy busy! Nevertheless, here are my bets for the Italian GP this weekend:

Betfair
Race Winner: Nico Rosberg @ 23/10 - recommend £5. I stick to what I said ahead of the Belgian GP, any price above evens on either Hamilton or Rosberg is value, 23/10 is madness - get on it!

Bet Victor
W/O Mercedes: Valtteri Bottas @ 9/4 - recommend £5. Williams will be strong and 9/4 represents value, just. The threat to this bet is Red Bull, but the Monza circuit has long straights and will favour the Mercedes powered cars in a big way, probably more than at any other point during the entire season. Massa would also be a concern, but Valtteri does appear to just have the edge on his team mate consistently this season.

PaddyPower
Group B (VET/MAS/ALO/RAI): Felipe Massa @ 9/4 - recommend £5. As above really, Williams will be strong and Felipe has a great chance of beating Red Bull/Ferrari this weekend. It's Monza so a better chance for him than at any other stage this season.

I know Tighty likes the minimum bet size here to be £5, but I would like to recommend the following £1 stabs also:

Race Winner: Daniel Ricciardo @ 17/1 with Betfair
Race Winner: Valtteri Bottas @ 16/1 with Betfair
Fastest Lap: Nico Hulkenberg @ 40/1 with Bwin
Fastest Lap: Sergio Perez @ 40/1 with Bwin

Will probably make more suggestions as the weekend progresses :-)

[Peter-27]

Double post, sorry!

Prices are fluctuating though,

Race Winner: Valtteri Bottas @ 16/1 with Betfair is now available at 20/1 with Betway!

[arbboy]

bwin are still 3/10 the No vote.  Recommend you get the max on (which should be £81).  If you don't want it all then lay some shorter at 1.25 on bf to enhance the price of the amount you do want.

[Tal]

Pleased to see Mr Hodgson making his point so fiercely.

http://www.theguardian.com/football/2014/sep/04/roy-hodgson-criticism-england-players-norway

[redarmi]

Think Ladbrokes are making a rick with their in running prices on the NFL next TD scorer prices....in fact I knwo they are but I dont really want to post it in case they read it and adjust but if any regular posters wants it then pm me.

[simonnatur]

 Let's just preface this by saying I know nothing about Golf, but it seemed to me there was some decent e/w value about in the BMW with Rory being such a short priced fav.
I looked through the leaderboard and really liked Horschel 33-1. As I understand it nearly all players are unfamiliar with the course yet he has shot very decent amount of birdies and may improve on the holes that caused him difficulty in the first round. He has decent all round stats and recent form. He also has a good strokes gained putting stat which may be significant due to the way the greens are playing. We get great place terms and don't give up anything against Betfair on the win part.
Have also punted Fred fav Spieth @ 16-1 who is one of the few with decent previous experience of the course, and Matt Every, who seems to be exceptional in strokes gained putting in his first round,as my banzai @ 100-1
Hope this make some sense, if not blame insomnia.