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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16431091 times)
Kmac84
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« Reply #91425 on: November 29, 2014, 12:06:32 PM »

Scottish Cup this weekend, this is a competition that always throws up a few surprises in the early rounds.  I think there are a few spots we could take advantage of. 

First up in the early kick off today Dundee face Aberdeen.  Both sides have struggled for consistency lately Aberdeen slowly look to be turning the corner and their cup record under McInnes has improved on recent seasons.  For me though the draw is overpriced in this one as two spl teams go against each other, I think the draw is a big player and I'd have gone 9/4 the draw we can get 12/5 on betfair.  Rec £10

Alloa v Hibs - Hibs are probably the most inconsistent team in the Championship and they do their best to throw games away week in week out.  That said it's been a whle since they losts after a stuttering start to the season.  I couldn't back them with stolen money and I think the game has been priced up as a Championship side v SPL side.  Rec £10 Alloa 4/1

Berwick v Albion - Last year albion done Fred a turn when we suggested laying Rangers against them at Ibrox.  This season they have been far more consistant than normal and they sit ahead of Berwick in the league with 11 points separating 2nd and 4th.  I have watched The Wee Rovers twice this season and if the game was at Cliftonhill would probably have went through for this.  15/8 on the away side here seems to be woth a smal outlay.  Rec £15

Lets see how those games go today, tomorow I want to be against both Celtic and Rangers.  I'm thinking the best option is to lay both so we have the draw in play for us or maybe look at the Asian Handicap. 

I wouldn't put anyone off perming all the above in doubles/trebles. 

There are a few other games in the cup today that I think the draw is a big player in and for anyone looking for a busmans mug coupon then perming the draws across the card for a 10 pences could be  good fun. 
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Tonji
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« Reply #91426 on: November 29, 2014, 12:09:39 PM »



Viktoria Rebensburg drew bib 14, not the best draw. Still, conditions should keep the slope in reasonable shape.

In the Men's Downhill, two days heavy snow meant training cancelled, so not a lot to go on. Big job to clear the hill. A late starter could surprise.

Jansrud should still be the one to beat.

 Click to see full-size image.
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« Reply #91427 on: November 29, 2014, 01:46:00 PM »

I must be missing something here.  I was genuinely surprised to see Luton at 5/6 to beat Mansfield.

I expected them to be something like 1/2 when I picked up my coupon this morning.  Mansfield are not good this season.

Obviously the bookies know something I don't, but would reccommend a cheeky £20 on Luton to win.
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« Reply #91428 on: November 29, 2014, 02:26:45 PM »

Irving in the next looks fine for a Hills 25 mobile bet at 13/8.  Guess Tighty and Tikay are busy.  Likely an even better bet in the 2.25. 
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« Reply #91429 on: November 29, 2014, 02:50:04 PM »

Irving in the next looks fine for a Hills 25 mobile bet at 13/8.  Guess Tighty and Tikay are busy.  Likely an even better bet in the 2.25. 

Probably a bit too dirty, but Cole Harden each way in the next on hills mobile.  Money back and free bet if 2nd.  Was hoping for 4/1 but 7/2 is ok.  Favourite very good though. 
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« Reply #91430 on: November 29, 2014, 03:02:01 PM »

Irving in the next looks fine for a Hills 25 mobile bet at 13/8.  Guess Tighty and Tikay are busy.  Likely an even better bet in the 2.25. 

Probably a bit too dirty, but Cole Harden each way in the next on hills mobile.  Money back and free bet if 2nd.  Was hoping for 4/1 but 7/2 is ok.  Favourite very good though. 

Well half right, burned the favourite off Sad
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tikay
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« Reply #91431 on: November 29, 2014, 03:22:12 PM »

Irving in the next looks fine for a Hills 25 mobile bet at 13/8.  Guess Tighty and Tikay are busy.  Likely an even better bet in the 2.25. 

Sorry, fell asleep on the sofa, seems like I'm a bit late.

Will try and het the footie bets on, but may not have time.

Good luck all those who got on, anyway.
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« Reply #91432 on: November 29, 2014, 03:29:09 PM »

Circumstances have conspired against your SCD cashpoint correspondent this week. I have had difficulty finding much training footage and there was no Waite's Wednesday Warm-up on It Takes Two to get a good look at (this helps give an indication on the Friday show as to how much the dancers have improved over the week). I'm also down in the Big Smoke this weekend, trying to weave my way to winning a poker comp in Kensington. It's "Around the World" week at Elstree, whatever that is. Apparently, that means we have dances representing different countries and not the logical one you'd think of, because that would make sense. Before I start a full scale rant about it having gone right downhill since Sir Brucie left and alienate everyone, let's get on with business:

From what I have been able to see, I am interested in the fact Mr Will Mill and Mr Joke O'Ral have formed different views on who the second favourite for top score should be. They agree on Pixie being favourite, which is fine, but no one wants to back a 2/1 shot when there's got to be an even money chance two or more tie for top score on the night.

Jake danced a Tango in his first dance of the series and he got the highest score on the opening Friday with 28 (7,7,7,7). His technique was good and Craig commented on his staccato (that's the quick, sharp movements in the head and neck that give the tango that unique feel), while Len was delighted with his body contact (really important to get very close in the tango). This week, he's dancing an Argentine Tango, which is a version of the original tango, where the story is a man dancing with a lady of the night in an establishment of lascivious virtue. So, it has a story, which is good for Jake, he has form for doing well in this type of dance and he's coming into form. now that he's got some of those uncomfortable/self-conscious dances out of the way. Would you believe he's dancing to Zorba the Greek? No idea why they've done that. If only there were a country they could set an Argentine Tango in... 7/2 with Choral is attractive.

I'm not enamoured with anything particularly, but that's probably the best of the bets I can see. I am not expecting a 40 tomorrow. None of the training footage suggests it is coming this week, so it'll be someone absolutely nailing the dance to get that kind of score. Simon is doing a Waltz but seems to be sitting a little in the pivots, which is going to be picked up on. He's the main male rival in dance terms to Jake, but I'd not be backing him this week. Mark hasn't been training much again because he's on the Isle of Nolikeynolitey, which is apparently in Tenerife. Salsa looks flat and cumbersome by the standards of his peers. He'll do ok, but he's not finishing top. Caroline has been overmarked for the past two weeks but I'm still opposing her. This could be madness, but there has to come a point where the judges decide to mark what they actually see. Hard to assess how good her Charleston is when I've only seen her dance in trainers (can't get that all important swivel action in trainers). Sunetra dancing a rumba is going to have to pull it out of the bag to be fifth on the leaderboard. Her latin isn't really strong enough (weight not forward enough and not as comfortable on her own as in hold).

It's a tough week for a winner, but I don't think Jake is a bad bet at 7/2. Recommend £20 for interest but no more.

I keep forgetting this monthly comp at The Mint....dont forget the great value (for london!) buffet  Smiley

Good luck!
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« Reply #91433 on: November 29, 2014, 03:46:47 PM »

Circumstances have conspired against your SCD cashpoint correspondent this week. I have had difficulty finding much training footage and there was no Waite's Wednesday Warm-up on It Takes Two to get a good look at (this helps give an indication on the Friday show as to how much the dancers have improved over the week). I'm also down in the Big Smoke this weekend, trying to weave my way to winning a poker comp in Kensington. It's "Around the World" week at Elstree, whatever that is. Apparently, that means we have dances representing different countries and not the logical one you'd think of, because that would make sense. Before I start a full scale rant about it having gone right downhill since Sir Brucie left and alienate everyone, let's get on with business:

From what I have been able to see, I am interested in the fact Mr Will Mill and Mr Joke O'Ral have formed different views on who the second favourite for top score should be. They agree on Pixie being favourite, which is fine, but no one wants to back a 2/1 shot when there's got to be an even money chance two or more tie for top score on the night.

Jake danced a Tango in his first dance of the series and he got the highest score on the opening Friday with 28 (7,7,7,7). His technique was good and Craig commented on his staccato (that's the quick, sharp movements in the head and neck that give the tango that unique feel), while Len was delighted with his body contact (really important to get very close in the tango). This week, he's dancing an Argentine Tango, which is a version of the original tango, where the story is a man dancing with a lady of the night in an establishment of lascivious virtue. So, it has a story, which is good for Jake, he has form for doing well in this type of dance and he's coming into form. now that he's got some of those uncomfortable/self-conscious dances out of the way. Would you believe he's dancing to Zorba the Greek? No idea why they've done that. If only there were a country they could set an Argentine Tango in... 7/2 with Choral is attractive.

I'm not enamoured with anything particularly, but that's probably the best of the bets I can see. I am not expecting a 40 tomorrow. None of the training footage suggests it is coming this week, so it'll be someone absolutely nailing the dance to get that kind of score. Simon is doing a Waltz but seems to be sitting a little in the pivots, which is going to be picked up on. He's the main male rival in dance terms to Jake, but I'd not be backing him this week. Mark hasn't been training much again because he's on the Isle of Nolikeynolitey, which is apparently in Tenerife. Salsa looks flat and cumbersome by the standards of his peers. He'll do ok, but he's not finishing top. Caroline has been overmarked for the past two weeks but I'm still opposing her. This could be madness, but there has to come a point where the judges decide to mark what they actually see. Hard to assess how good her Charleston is when I've only seen her dance in trainers (can't get that all important swivel action in trainers). Sunetra dancing a rumba is going to have to pull it out of the bag to be fifth on the leaderboard. Her latin isn't really strong enough (weight not forward enough and not as comfortable on her own as in hold).

It's a tough week for a winner, but I don't think Jake is a bad bet at 7/2. Recommend £20 for interest but no more.

I keep forgetting this monthly comp at The Mint....dont forget the great value (for london!) buffet  Smiley

Good luck!

Great buffet and comp.  Played it once and won it earlier in the year!  thin i know. 
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« Reply #91434 on: November 29, 2014, 03:51:32 PM »

Thanks, Mr Ripple.

I've just managed to free up my afternoon, so I should be able to watch Strictly in the hotel room. Excellent. Ish.

#sticktonoveltymarkets

Looking at 15k or so atm total prize pool, which is a shame.

If anyone has any interesting evening bets, I'm all ears.
« Last Edit: November 29, 2014, 04:08:16 PM by Tal » Logged

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Tonji
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« Reply #91435 on: November 29, 2014, 06:05:14 PM »



Viktoria Rebensburg drew bib 14, not the best draw. Still, conditions should keep the slope in reasonable shape.

In the Men's Downhill, two days heavy snow meant training cancelled, so not a lot to go on. Big job to clear the hill. A late starter could surprise.

Jansrud should still be the one to beat.

 Click to see full-size image.


Rebensburg in 7th after first run, good top section, lost time on flats bashing a gate. Within reach, but needs a real charge in the second run.

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« Reply #91436 on: November 29, 2014, 08:17:35 PM »

You know that thing I said about Caroline being overmarked..?
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« Reply #91437 on: November 29, 2014, 08:17:47 PM »

Tal fuming at that marking.  

Edit.  Ha must have almost done that one simultaneously. 
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« Reply #91438 on: November 29, 2014, 08:22:33 PM »

Tal fuming at that marking.  

Edit.  Ha must have almost done that one simultaneously. 

Ha!

Getting ridiculous now. I should probably start backing her...
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« Reply #91439 on: November 29, 2014, 08:32:29 PM »

39 for a chop, Jakey boy. One more for Beast Mode.
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