Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Tighty,

I got part way though the account funding exercise yesterday, then I got a bit knocked off course by this & that.

Think I stuck....

£150 on Bwin

£100 on BMU (we had a few bob left)

Not done Ladbrokes yet.

Since I deposited on any of those sites, my card details have changed, so it must have been a good while back, but I've had the bank on my case this morning. They were OK once I'd answered their questions, so I'll do Ladbrokes in a bit. 

sorry, but betvictor is now empty

things move quickly in this game

[tikay]

Thanks for support all head not been on betting for obvious reasons but....

Just want to echo the Garner bet should be a max single at 6/4

He would be well clear if he had not missed 3 months of this season, his ratio of goals per game this season is 0.73 Williams is 0.56.

He is a proven goalscorer at this level certainly not a flash in the pan, also to add to the bet he will start all the games bar further injury. Andy Williams is far from certain to start 50% of Swindons remaining games.

With Williams one ahead of Garner i would have Garner nearer 4/7 than 6/4. Shame its vc but at least fred can get on

Good to see you back, John, hope things are a bit better at home now. Must be a bad day today, mind.

[tikay]

Tighty,

I got part way though the account funding exercise yesterday, then I got a bit knocked off course by this & that.

Think I stuck....

£150 on Bwin

£100 on BMU (we had a few bob left)

Not done Ladbrokes yet.

Since I deposited on any of those sites, my card details have changed, so it must have been a good while back, but I've had the bank on my case this morning. They were OK once I'd answered their questions, so I'll do Ladbrokes in a bit. 

sorry, but betvictor is now empty

things move quickly in this game

Good Lord.

Punting going great, send money.

I'll sort it shortly, another £150. Not used to this depositing lark.

PS - Good to see Chomps back, too. Up to a point.

[Chompy]

Williams had a crazy run of form, much like Iggsy for Watford, but has dried up spectacularly.

Swindon will be doing well to compete with Preston for second and, as horsey sayed, there's every chance Williams gets limited game time from here on in.

Obv Garner won't score on Tuesday, with watertight Poshies coming to town, but he'll wind up on around 25 imo, which would be enough. Should defo be odds on.

Tex picks himself as does Bammers. Like this bet a lot.

[DungBeetle]

Guys, take a look at this:

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points

You can still sell McLaren at 130 points?

Just to clarify in my own mind, if I sold at £1 - and McLaren only scored 10 points all season, my profit would be £120?

Pretty sure your understanding is correct Peter.... Out of interest, to my untrained eye, the line has moved seemingly significantly since  last week (Joe's bet was a sell @ 153).... Do you think 130 is still value or are they more in line now?

I can't see McLaren getting more than 50 points absolute maximum this season. Wouldn't be surprised if they score under 10 to be honest.

This is not an over-reaction to this weekend. They will develop their car, but it's their powertrain that is limiting their performance relative to others. Powertrain development is massively restricted under regulation. Put it this way, the gap between the Ferrari and Mercedes engines last season was closer than McLaren to Renault now .. Mercedes still had a massive gap at the end of the season, likewise Renault will have a massive gap this season.

It's a long season.  Wasn't the Honda engine running at only 55 percent today to stop it going kaput?

[DungBeetle]

Sporting Insects 132-140 McLaren. Should this be a max flick in please? Tenner a point job?

Only ever had one spread bet, which was buying Norwich points when they narrowly avoided dropping to the third tier, but this seems a good spot?

Think we're over reacting here.  They've had garbage cars out of the box before that have been competitive by mid season.  If spread goes down to under 100 by the time they get back to Europe I reckon I'd be a buyer.  I think at current level it's a wait and see personally.

[tikay]

Guys, take a look at this:

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points

You can still sell McLaren at 130 points?

Just to clarify in my own mind, if I sold at £1 - and McLaren only scored 10 points all season, my profit would be £120?

Pretty sure your understanding is correct Peter.... Out of interest, to my untrained eye, the line has moved seemingly significantly since  last week (Joe's bet was a sell @ 153).... Do you think 130 is still value or are they more in line now?

I can't see McLaren getting more than 50 points absolute maximum this season. Wouldn't be surprised if they score under 10 to be honest.

This is not an over-reaction to this weekend. They will develop their car, but it's their powertrain that is limiting their performance relative to others. Powertrain development is massively restricted under regulation. Put it this way, the gap between the Ferrari and Mercedes engines last season was closer than McLaren to Renault now .. Mercedes still had a massive gap at the end of the season, likewise Renault will have a massive gap this season.

It's a long season.  Wasn't the Honda engine running at only 55 percent today to stop it going kaput?

Not sure about that, but if so, it never stopped one of them going kaput on the way to the starting grid this morning.

I think they are only allowed 4 per season, too. Not sure what happens if they break all 4?

[hector62]

I think I have a preference for Italy outright rather than on the handicap.

Suggest £20 Italy @ 5/2 with Hills.

[Chompy]

Bwin seem to take their 'next Man City manager' market down and then stick it up again frequently. Either way, they never seem to change the prices and it's back up at the moment.

Fastest fingers first time...

Diego Simeone 7-1, Carlo Ancelotti 14-1.

[DungBeetle]

I assume it's grid penalties if you use a 5th engine?  McLaren chat aside I was surprised to see sauber still available to buy at 66.  They have 14 on the board already and car looked nippy.  They will fade as season goes on but they could make that quote look silly early on if red bull and mclaren continue to struggle.  This looks a fairly low risk trade.

[TightEnd]

I think I have a preference for Italy outright rather than on the handicap.

Suggest £20 Italy @ 5/2 with Hills.

Interesting

15 Mar 2015 - Italy v France - Match Betting

Italy @ 5/2

Stake : £20.00
Estimated Returns : £
70.00

[DungBeetle]

Just a word of warning these F1 spread markets are volatile things.  I did a few modest trades around £8 a point on average (bought Ferrari, sold Williams, bought Lotus, bought McLaren).  On the face of it the result of the first race was a disaster - I choked on my coffee when both Lotae were out on the first lap and the dire pace of the McLaren.  However, due the spreads reflecting more expectation rather than garnered points I was pleasantly surprised to see myself up £300 when the spreads updated.   Just trying to warn us off going bonkers on the McLaren sell.  One weekend of promise and it could go up 100 points.  If you do it I'd recommend you don't go over £5 a point or it could dwarf the normal size stakes for Fred.

[TightEnd]

Bwin seem to take their 'next Man City manager' market down and then stick it up again frequently. Either way, they never seem to change the prices and it's back up at the moment.

Fastest fingers first time...

Diego Simeone 7-1, Carlo Ancelotti 14-1.

so Pellegrini doesn't survive for next season and Simeone is nailed on for a big job...whichever comes clear next i suppose

Arsene's going to win the cup and come 2nd in the league, so its not there.

and the competition is Koeman (headed for a top job, i expect we'd all agree), who else?

guardiola, no
klopp, no
conte?
blanc?

i was going to ask you for more flesh on the bones then i went to check the market

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/man-city/next-permanent-manager

i saw benitez in the top 5. patrick vieira too

and saw simeone in at 5/2


then i went to bwin, did a double check and


    3/15/2015 1:33 PM    Single bet    

    open Who will be Manchester City's next permanent manager? (Who will be the next permanent manager of Manchester City? (Others on request))
    Carlo Ancelotti
    ?

   20.00    15.00       
   3/15/2015 1:33 PM    Single bet    

    open Who will be Manchester City's next permanent manager? (Who will be the next permanent manager of Manchester City? (Others on request))
    Diego Simeone
    ?

   20.00    8.00


our gloriuus record in next maanger markets is set to continue

[Bazzaboy]

Bwin seem to take their 'next Man City manager' market down and then stick it up again frequently. Either way, they never seem to change the prices and it's back up at the moment.

Fastest fingers first time...

Diego Simeone 7-1, Carlo Ancelotti 14-1.

Like it a lot. Looks like I got on in the nick of time as market has gone now.

[Larry David]

PP best price on Sri Lanka if you want a shot at the free £100 bet.