Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

fair play like i say its certainly not a sure thing far from it but 6-1 is certainly to big

good luck

Well if it is normally "around" 13 winners, & nothing has changed for the worse, then yes, 6/1 would be way too fat.

[MereNovice]

fair play like i say its certainly not a sure thing far from it but 6-1 is certainly to big

good luck

Well if it is normally "around" 13 winners, & nothing has changed for the worse, then yes, 6/1 would be way too fat.

Not "normally".

http://cheltenham-festival.betting-directory.com/irish-runners.php

I don't know the number of years for which there have been 28 (?) races in the festival, though.

[tikay]

fair play like i say its certainly not a sure thing far from it but 6-1 is certainly to big

good luck

Well if it is normally "around" 13 winners, & nothing has changed for the worse, then yes, 6/1 would be way too fat.

Not "normally".

http://cheltenham-festival.betting-directory.com/irish-runners.php

I don't know the number of years for which there have been 28 (?) races in the festival, though.

Nice find, Vince.

For those that cba to open the link, the number of Irish trained runners for the last 10 years, most recent at the top, have been......

13

7

8

7

5

10

9

4

6

5

[gatso]

fair play like i say its certainly not a sure thing far from it but 6-1 is certainly to big

good luck

Well if it is normally "around" 13 winners, & nothing has changed for the worse, then yes, 6/1 would be way too fat.

Not "normally".

http://cheltenham-festival.betting-directory.com/irish-runners.php

I don't know the number of years for which there have been 28 (?) races in the festival, though.

Nice find, Vince.

For those that cba to open the link, the number of Irish trained runners for the last 10 years, most recent at the top, have been......

13

7

8

7

5

10

9

4

6

5

bottom 3 numbers can be ignored as they were only 3 day festivals but the point stands

[horseplayer]

fair points

how many of those festivals has an irish trainer been clear favourite to be top trainer at the festival?

anyway obviously upto you just my thoughts

[tikay]

fair points

how many of those festivals has an irish trainer been clear favourite to be top trainer at the festival?

anyway obviously upto you just my thoughts

Appreciated they are, too, but it's good to chew the cud on these things. Keep the ideas coming, please. Any other fancies for Prestbury?

[Simon Galloway]

Out of interest, when was the last time the "Cheltenham Banker" obliged?

[bobby1]

last year with with Big Bucks

[dreenie]

Put everything you own on LONG RUN to win the gold cup this coming Friday, I think u will get a better price than what it is atm, I think it will go out to 9/4 max 5/2, great bet, and can't see anything else beating it, unless the jockey rides it like a donkey...

[Simon Galloway]

last year with with Big Bucks

Sorry, badly worded question.  I meant there are usually 3 or 4 even money (or shorter) shots packaged as the 'bankers' acca - can't ever remember it going in.

[bobby1]

last year with with Big Bucks

Sorry, badly worded question.  I meant there are usually 3 or 4 even money (or shorter) shots packaged as the 'bankers' acca - can't ever remember it going in.

ah I see, yes there is usually at least one that gets beaten.

[bobby1]

not sure if i am allowed to post in here but i think this is a little bit of value

"Cheltenham special bet

There to be 13 or more irish winners at the cheltenham festival 6-1 2PTS WIN (totesport or betfred)

i have been looking at this all day after somebody i respect pointed it out to me, last season the irish hit 13 winners and presumably the two bookies offering 6-1 for a repeat are thinking it was a fluke. I am not so sure mullins is clear fav to be champion trainer and not unusually they have lots of chances in all races with cheltenham become more and more the target for all trainers i happen to think last years numbers might become the norm rather than not.
"

thats from my thread not sure how your staking works.

It is quite hard to quantify what i think this price should be however my instinct and research suggests something around 3-1/7-2 is a more correct price based on the irish chances pre cheltenham last year to this year, this is of course subjective but is based on the ante post prices e.t.c

I do think there is something to wager on here but my gut feeling is that 11/4 for 11 or more Irish winners is better value than the 6/1 for 13 or more. What do you think about betting that at 11/4 for say £50?

[dreenie]

Put everything you own on LONG RUN to win the gold cup this coming Friday, I think u will get a better price than what it is atm, I think it will go out to 9/4 max 5/2, great bet, and can't see anything else beating it, unless the jockey rides it like a donkey...

Sorry my head has gone, Friday the 12th (next week) lool

[MereNovice]

Put everything you own on LONG RUN to win the gold cup this coming Friday, I think u will get a better price than what it is atm, I think it will go out to 9/4 max 5/2, great bet, and can't see anything else beating it, unless the jockey rides it like a donkey...

Sorry my head has gone, Friday the 12th (next week) lool

Friday the 16th, perhaps?

[dreenie]

Put everything you own on LONG RUN to win the gold cup this coming Friday, I think u will get a better price than what it is atm, I think it will go out to 9/4 max 5/2, great bet, and can't see anything else beating it, unless the jockey rides it like a donkey...

Sorry my head has gone, Friday the 12th (next week) lool

Friday the 16th, perhaps?

LOL sorry, I've been awake for over 24 hrs, bad insomnia - Friday 16th!! LONG RUN ALL THE WAY :-) :-)