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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16361045 times)
MereNovice
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« Reply #2235 on: March 29, 2012, 10:30:28 AM »

but, that being said, and in before Dubai

With 2 wickets left, England need Monty's drops and Broad's no ball to win.

I have to admit when you wrote "monty drops ... are unforecastable", it made me smile.
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Dubai
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« Reply #2236 on: March 29, 2012, 10:35:43 AM »

Thing is soon as back to English conditions will be unbeatable again, 6 batsmen, Bresnan back in at 7 and
Monty banished to playing cash games with Flushy in brighton
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tikay
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« Reply #2237 on: March 29, 2012, 10:36:54 AM »

me neither happy if england win as well so no lose really (well)


anyway tikay heres another attempt by me for a punt tonight

SERGEANT TROY 8.55 KEMPTON 7-1 (still available just totesport, betfred if you can get on)

This horse is with a big gambling yard and all weather gambling owners. In 3 starts for the yard the handicapper has very kindly dropped the animal from 70 to 56, this seems very generous the kempton run on debut for the yard was by no means a bad one (horse didnt get a gap 2 out and was pushed back in the wreckage) since then horse has had two "runs" at southwell with the horse either not handling the surface or not trying to hard. On the first of these runs the horse actually travelled fairly well but wasnt given a hard time when beaten.
This looks a more than fair eway punt based on last years decentish turf form of the high 60's



We bring you this brief interruption to blonde TMS to say that "Sergeant Troy" is a non-runner.

We now return you to more pressing matters.
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« Reply #2238 on: March 29, 2012, 10:37:04 AM »

^^^^

correct

tms has a snooty journo on from the telegraph at tea who suggested changing most of the batting line up, when it was put to him who to drop he didnt no.

enough said
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« Reply #2239 on: March 29, 2012, 10:37:23 AM »

terrible capitulation!

WP all on SL
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« Reply #2240 on: March 29, 2012, 10:37:50 AM »

"We bring you this brief interruption to blonde TMS to say that "Sergeant Troy" is a non-runner.

We now return you to more pressing matters.
"

the khan brothers must have missed the price imo or found out the butler favourite still has 10lbs in hand

another day for this one
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tikay
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« Reply #2241 on: March 29, 2012, 10:39:14 AM »



Wow, what a great sweat that cricket bet was, & we got a winner, so very well done Tighty, & thanks.

Next up? Premier League Darts, we hope.
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« Reply #2242 on: March 29, 2012, 10:41:35 AM »

Thing is soon as back to English conditions will be unbeatable again, 6 batsmen, Bresnan back in at 7 and
Monty banished to playing cash games with Flushy in brighton

Will be an interesting summer. It should be a terrific series against South Africa.
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Dubai
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« Reply #2243 on: March 29, 2012, 10:48:28 AM »

One for the value seekers and arbers alike- Kentucky to win NCAA basketball championship £330@10-11 with ladbrokes, lay £240 @1.80 on betfair. Works out you have £96 or so to win £108 or thereabouts depending on your commission rate, so you get 11/10 about a 4/5 shot

If your lay doesn't get taken which I'm 90% sure it will, il take 220 of the bet and the account can have 110 to win 100 as its plus ev at 10-11 anyway

Sorry wrote the numbers down slightly wrong as was copying from phone to iPad. Will edit in a min
« Last Edit: March 29, 2012, 10:53:16 AM by Dubai » Logged
tikay
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« Reply #2244 on: March 29, 2012, 10:50:49 AM »

One for the value seekers and arbers alike- Kentucky to win NCAA basketball championship £330@10-11 with ladbrokes, lay £240 @1.80 on betfair. Works out you have £96 or so to win £108 or thereabouts depending on your commission rate, so you get 11/10 about a 4/5 shot

If your lay doesn't get taken which I'm 90% sure it will, il take 220 of the bet and the account can have 110 to win 100 as its plus ev at 10-11 anyway

Had to read that 8 or 9 times to fathom it out.

Incredible how you spot these things.

Not one for the Thread Fund, but interesting.
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« Reply #2245 on: March 29, 2012, 02:39:36 PM »

Not one for the Thread Fund, but interesting.

why not? looks a really good coup.
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« Reply #2246 on: March 29, 2012, 02:50:14 PM »

Painter got Taylor in darts tonight and it aint as good as last weeks bet. He averages 89.92 in non Taylor matches, he threw well against Phil when averaging 97 and probably was more a true average than getting carried, problem is the market is 94.5, he hasnt averaged higher than that in a single game other than Taylor. With the Taylor effect worth around 7.68 or so it would make Painter averaging 97.6 or so, which is inline with what he averaged against Taylor last time. Problem is we need Taylor to carry on averaging 109 for the effect to stay as high- he dont need to average 109 to beat Painter and might be the week where he averages 100 flat and wins comfortably, so even tho it suggests Painter should be carried enough, I might swerve. Fancy couple other bets tho, doing them now and will post
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« Reply #2247 on: March 29, 2012, 03:01:43 PM »

1st post itt and I am selling my wares!!

Roll up Roll up
Degens required

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=57256.0
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tikay
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« Reply #2248 on: March 29, 2012, 03:34:12 PM »

Not one for the Thread Fund, but interesting.

why not? looks a really good coup.

It looks incredible, no argument, we are buying ten bob notes for 9/-.

My problem (for  the thread) is two-fold......

1) Scale - our roll is a bit thin, though I guess we could invest accordingly.

2) The actual placing of the bet might be beyond me, I still have my fairy wheels on when messing around on Betfair, and I'll almost certainly bugger it up.

I have some free time this evening, I'll see if I can work it out and do something with it.
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« Reply #2249 on: March 29, 2012, 03:35:57 PM »

Dubai, possible darts bet - thanks, and understood.

Fingers will be poised to click buttons post afternoon meditation session.
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