Tips for Tikay

[superwomble]

Thanks Camel!

[MANTIS01]

Thanks Camel!

[Sighmuns]

I'd recommend a bet on Norwich to beat Blackburn today, currently 3.95/4 with Betfair, http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/blackburn-v-norwich/winner/best-odds/.

I believe that the odds are the way they are due to it being a 'must-win' game for Blackburn, but based on their last effort against Swansea, and the seemingly well-informed suggestions posted on here about discord in the Blackburn camp, I personally am not convinced Blackburn will be able to pick their game up sufficiently to beat a good Norwich side.

Positive points about opposing Blackburn:

- Suggestions of disunity in the team
- Shambolic defence vs impressive Norwich attack
- What I think is an unrealistic price; I think that the recent results of Norwich are deceptive- there are a few losses there, but all tough games (1-0 loss to Newc, Stoke, 2-1 to fulham), with the excellent win at Spurs and the awful loss to a resergent City. Blackburn are not as good as any of the teams I just mentioned.

Negative points:

- It's a fact that Blackburn are desperate for the points, they'll have identified it as the easiest game of their run-in-fixtures so should be going all-out for the win, Norwich are safe, so could be taking it easy.
- Perhaps Blackburn could be spurred along by the home-crowd in this crucial match (though I suspect that the crowd is just as likely to get on the team/manager's back should things start badly).


I'm super-busy at work, so had hoped to analyse this more (taken me over an hour to find time just to write this!). Blackburn looked seriously lackluster last week at Swansea, and I have the feeling that there is a collapse on the cards.

I should stress that as I've analysed this bet i'm less happy with it, I don't think it's a sure-thing by any means, but I still think there's value in the price being offered on Norwich, I've personally only invested a small amount.

An alternative bet in this match would be goals- my favourite way to bet on this would be to get involved should it be 0-0 after 15-20 mins, then bet on over 2.5 or 3.5's at the inflated price.

[tikay]

Greg, after all that effort, and an hour of writing, how can I refuse?

Not sure I fancy it enough for a decent bet, but have had £25 @ exactly 4 on Betfair.

Cannot copy or "proof" at mo, am on the ippy.

ON!

[the sicilian]

Bremen just missed an open goal..sigh

[JaffaCake]

After another great win over the Lakers last night ( with Kobe back ) watched the game..Spurs different class..   the San Antonio Spurs are my team and my pick for the Championship..price is coming in all the time..

So San Antonio about 7.4..

I backed the Spurs at 16s but I don't like them at this price. A history of good regular seasons before being dumped out of the playoffs in the first/early rounds makes it too short. I quite like opposing Miami at around 2/1, they're probably just about the best team, but it's so close between 3 or 4 teams that 2/1 is too short. This group has never won it, have been losing plenty of games recently and other teams have more experience and as good a teams near enough. If you lay Miami u get San Antonio and all the others, perfect compromise!

[Sighmuns]

Greg, after all that effort, and an hour of writing, how can I refuse?

Not sure I fancy it enough for a decent bet, but have had £25 @ exactly 4 on Betfair.

Cannot copy or "proof" at mo, am on the ippy.

ON!

Haha, the notes themselves certainly didn't warrant an hour's writing, was far more of a case of getting interrupted 3 or 4 times for each sentence written.

First time you've followed me, gl us.

[the sicilian]

Bremen are one up

[tikay]

Both Hereford and Maccy are drawing 0-0.

Norwich are not......

Fulham Wigan is a no-goal fest.

Bingham Ia losing.

Who wrote this script?

Go Bremen, get us out of it.

[the sicilian]

After another great win over the Lakers last night ( with Kobe back ) watched the game..Spurs different class..   the San Antonio Spurs are my team and my pick for the Championship..price is coming in all the time..

So San Antonio about 7.4..

I backed the Spurs at 16s but I don't like them at this price. A history of good regular seasons before being dumped out of the playoffs in the first/early rounds makes it too short. I quite like opposing Miami at around 2/1, they're probably just about the best team, but it's so close between 3 or 4 teams that 2/1 is too short. This group has never won it, have been losing plenty of games recently and other teams have more experience and as good a teams near enough. If you lay Miami u get San Antonio and all the others, perfect compromise!

Yeah got on late at 9's..... Parker Ginobli Duncan won it all before so they know how to get it done...strong bench too..Neal at pg looks a star in e making..agree on Miami can't see them doing it

[tikay]

Then again, maybe not.

[the sicilian]

Noooooooo!! Bayern equalise

[MereNovice]

Looking on the bright side, Bingham just won a frame.

[tikay]

Looking on the bright side, Bingham just won a frame.

Glad there is a bright side somewhere!

[OverTheBorder]

Wigan though....they cant be stopped!