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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16449877 times)
MereNovice
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« Reply #10905 on: July 22, 2012, 10:32:13 AM »

With regard to Mr. Channing's prolonged tease can we assume that he is making the rounds of the betting shops himself rather than sending a lackey?
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tikay
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« Reply #10906 on: July 22, 2012, 10:44:42 AM »

With regard to Mr. Channing's prolonged tease can we assume that he is making the rounds of the betting shops himself rather than sending a lackey?

Lol.

He told me how he works these little coups work once.

Lips sealed, sorry. Wink
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« Reply #10907 on: July 22, 2012, 10:45:08 AM »


I think we'd need to see how Paddy Power plan to settle this, have they put up the parameters?

No.

No?

In which case, I'd be a bit suspicious of the market. How can we bet if we cannot verify the result, or even know how they plan to measure it?

BARB figures most likey.
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tikay
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« Reply #10908 on: July 22, 2012, 10:49:18 AM »


I think we'd need to see how Paddy Power plan to settle this, have they put up the parameters?

No.

No?

In which case, I'd be a bit suspicious of the market. How can we bet if we cannot verify the result, or even know how they plan to measure it?

BARB figures most likey.

Probably, yes, but even they can be "interpreted".

As a side issue, not connected with Kevilfish's suggestion, note how miniscule Sports viewing audiences are.....

http://www.barb.co.uk/report/weekly-viewing
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« Reply #10909 on: July 22, 2012, 10:58:59 AM »

Something to watch for the F1 bet, if this happens the podium bet would be odds on, as Hamilton would start 6th not 8th

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/18943608
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« Reply #10910 on: July 22, 2012, 11:10:59 AM »

We might be getting Sunday lunch value

cars 1 and 2 are the redbulls


Of all people I'd think you would be one who could get it the right way up.

Props for the Amla bet. Would gave been nice in the spread betting thread
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« Reply #10911 on: July 22, 2012, 11:12:38 AM »

Hamilton>Webber in a match bet @ 4/6 given opinion and info?
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« Reply #10912 on: July 22, 2012, 11:14:46 AM »

We might be getting Sunday lunch value

cars 1 and 2 are the redbulls

 Click to see full-size image.

Of all people I'd think you would be one who could get it the right way up.

Props for the Amla bet. Would gave been nice in the spread betting thread


Mere Novice was the Amla bet. Mere Novice.
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« Reply #10913 on: July 22, 2012, 11:15:56 AM »

Hamilton>Webber in a match bet @ 4/6 given opinion and info?

Hamilton starts just ahead, currently

Think 4/6 a touch skinny though
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MereNovice
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« Reply #10914 on: July 22, 2012, 11:17:39 AM »

Hamilton>Webber in a match bet @ 4/6 given opinion and info?

Hamilton starts just ahead, currently

Think 4/6 a touch skinny though

Presumably the penalty is a double whammy for Red Bull though?
They lose places on the grid plus their engines won't perform as well as (previously) expected in the race?
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« Reply #10915 on: July 22, 2012, 11:18:21 AM »

hello blonde, long time lurker, first time poster.
Paddy power has priced up the average number of people to watch the opening ceremony of the olympics as follows;
less than 22mil - 7/4
22-26m - 11/4
26-30m - 11/4
30-34m - 7/2
over 34m - 4/1
 
This seems disproportionally weighted towards the higher figures, for example the England v Italy had  average viewing figures of just over 20m and a peak high of just under 25m. The royal wedding had peak figures (not average) of 25m across two channels. I'd put over 34m at 100/1. The opening ceremony lasts for 3 hours and finishes at midnight i think it incredibly unlikely to average over 26m. Therefore I've bet £100 on less than 22m and £75 on 22-26m which will profit £100ish providing average figures are less than 26m. Thoughts?   

That looks one profitable market for Paddy Power.  5 outcomes top price 4/1.  Close to 1/2 the top 2 alone?  Looks an easy avoid to me.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #10916 on: July 22, 2012, 11:18:34 AM »

We might be getting Sunday lunch value

cars 1 and 2 are the redbulls

 Click to see full-size image.

Of all people I'd think you would be one who could get it the right way up.

Props for the Amla bet. Would gave been nice in the spread betting thread


Mere Novice was the Amla bet. Mere Novice.
Of all people I'd think I would be one who could get it wrong Smiley
« Last Edit: July 22, 2012, 11:21:27 AM by smashedagain » Logged

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TightEnd
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« Reply #10917 on: July 22, 2012, 11:19:15 AM »

Hamilton>Webber in a match bet @ 4/6 given opinion and info?

Hamilton starts just ahead, currently

Think 4/6 a touch skinny though

Presumably the penalty is a double whammy for Red Bull though?
They lose places on the grid plus their engines won't perform as well as (previously) expected in the race?

If the penalty is confirmed, yes. Has it been?

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« Reply #10918 on: July 22, 2012, 11:21:46 AM »

The betting makes it look as though something is amiss for sure.
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« Reply #10919 on: July 22, 2012, 11:24:16 AM »

The betting makes it look as though something is amiss for sure.

if the redbulls are excluded, not allowed to race, is the 4/6 taken now valid?
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