Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

For the record......

Sporting Bet have now clarified the position on those last 4 games.

I attempted a Lucky 15, & this came up.....

Sorry, you cannot place a multiple including these related events.

skybet allowed a lucky 15 on them. In what way are they deemed related?

No idea, it's hard to interrogate an internet page at the same time as eagerly awaiting a Red Card in the game at the City Ground. Which duly arrived.

[redarmi]

For the record......

Sporting Bet have now clarified the position on those last 4 games.

I attempted a Lucky 15, & this came up.....

Sorry, you cannot place a multiple including these related events.

skybet allowed a lucky 15 on them. In what way are they deemed related?

On the basis that if the Ryder Cup is already decided they may decide together to call the rest of the games ties.....more subtly 8 foot putts will be conceded etc.  The fact that relates them all is the fact that once the cup is won they won't matter as ties.

[tikay]

Mr Tikay. Yesterday I gave you 3 losing bets and much woe has set in. You also appear to have banned me from cake so my ennui is overwhelming. Only another good performance from our Australian smitters has kept me going. I will update the scores when the afternoon match is complete.

Bozo

No woe needed from our Dr Noh & 3G man. You were in VERY good company yesterday, & you must be well proud of 3G.

Bozo? Nah, no Bozo stuff.  We have long memories here, a bad day changes nothing.

Keep those lovely tips coming. Cake will soon be back on the menu.

[Chompy]

Viztoria, far and away the most impressive 2yo I've seen this year.

Bit of 25-1 around for next year's 1000 Guineas. She might not want the ground too quick but I'm happy to take the chance.

[TightEnd]

Neil

"Pregame before today's Dolphins game at Arizona will be interesting because the decision whether to play running back Reggie Bush will truly be made then, I'm told by a source."

http://miamiherald.typepad.com/dolphins_in_depth/2012/09/bush-decision-could-put-spotlight-on-thomas.html#storylink=cpy"

[bobby1]

On the Zona game it deffo stems from Bush having a chance to play when he was considered doubtful but on top of that Zona have placed Beanie Wells on IR too which means they have lost their most experienced rb in the two back tandem with RYan WIliams not having a deal of experience.

I would think another reason is the  ZOna O hasn't put up that many points in their games too so a combo of the two injury situations and taking a td start against a team that hasn't looked prolific before losing their rb.

It looks a messy game to me.

 

[Doobs]

2008 Ryder cup singles

Anthony Kim    5 & 4   Sergio García
Hunter Mahan   halved   Paul Casey
Justin Leonard    5 & 3   Robert Karlsson
Phil Mickelson    3 & 2   Justin Rose
Kenny Perry    3 & 2   Henrik Stenson
Boo Weekley    4 & 2   Oliver Wilson
J. B. Holmes    2 & 1   Søren Hansen
Jim Furyk    2 & 1   Miguel Ángel Jiménez Game finished here i believe.
Stewart Cink    2 & 1   Graeme McDowell
Steve Stricker    3 & 2   Ian Poulter
Ben Curtis    2 & 1   Lee Westwood
Chad Campbell    2 & 1   Pádraig Harrington
7½   Session   4½
16½   Overall   11½

2006 Ryder cup.
Colin Montgomerie    1 Up   David Toms
Sergio García    4 & 3   Stewart Cink
Paul Casey    2 & 1   Jim Furyk
Robert Karlsson    3 & 2   Tiger Woods
Luke Donald    2 & 1   Chad Campbell
Paul McGinley   halved [3]   J. J. Henry
Darren Clarke    3 & 2   Zach Johnson
Henrik Stenson    4 & 3   Vaughn Taylor Winning point here ?
David Howell    5 & 4   Brett Wetterich
José María Olazábal    2 & 1   Phil Mickelson
Lee Westwood    2 Up   Chris DiMarco
Pádraig Harrington    4 & 3   Scott Verplank
8½   Session   3½
18½   Overall   9½

2004 Ryder cup
Tiger Woods    3 & 2   Paul Casey
Phil Mickelson    3 & 2   Sergio García
Davis Love III   halved   Darren Clarke
Jim Furyk    6 & 4   David Howell
Kenny Perry    1 Up   Lee Westwood
David Toms    1 Up   Colin Montgomerie Winning point here ?
Chad Campbell    5 & 3   Luke Donald
Chris DiMarco    1 Up   Miguel Ángel Jiménez
Fred Funk    1 Up   Thomas Levet
Chris Riley    3 & 2   Ian Poulter
Jay Haas    1 Up   Pádraig Harrington
Stewart Cink    3 & 2   Paul McGinley
4½   Session   7½
9½   Overall   18½



Sadly i'm not optimistic on easy halves here.

Sandy

There were 2 ties on the last day in 2010, and 5 in 2002 (4 in last 5 matches).  Not going to make overs the favourite, but drags the mean up from one tie on the last day to two.

Current best prices on the last 4 matches,

Dufner/Hanson 11/2
Kuchar/Westwood 5/1
Stricker/Kaymer 5/1
Woods/Molinari 11/2

So at least we have got a decent price today.  Weirdly Ladbrokes are still very short though the 3/1 has become 100/30!  

Am also on Colsearts, but don't think 2.4 is great value, so not a thread tip.
 

[bobby1]

General distrust of Arizona, "false record", not a lot of offense. Expecting them to mean revert, essentially, and the public isn't focussed on the game so there's no punter wedge driving the price higher.


Neil, I want to recommend a big play on Oakland +7 versus Denver. Can't quite bring myself to do it

(divisional game, big rivals, Denver missing some pieces on defense, McFadden can run all day, Manning generally over-bet and a huge household name that will be backed)

thoughts?

That's one of the two bets I have had plus 7 RIch and mainly for the same reasons as you.

[Junior Senior]

For the record......

Sporting Bet have now clarified the position on those last 4 games.

I attempted a Lucky 15, & this came up.....

Sorry, you cannot place a multiple including these related events.

I am on with laddies lucky 15 on last 4 matches to be ties

[hector62]

Latest scores in the 6's market at the 3B cricket. This is after the 2nd round of the group stages.

Australia           24
England           24
West Indies      23
New Zealand    22
Pakistan           19
Sri Lanka          10
India                 9
South Africa       8

[TightEnd]

T20WC Report

Australia thrash South Africa

India thrash Pakistan

As we can see from Hector's post above, Australia still in good shape for our Team Sixes bet

Kohli got a big score today and is 3rd on the leading run scorers list

Watson 234
McCullum 190
Kohli 183

We need Watson to fail, and India to go through by beating South Africa

Shane Watson is the leading scorer, wicket-taker, six hitter and has three MOTM awards (so far) in the T20WC


Tomorrow the Pallakelle group comes to its conclusion

West Indies play New Zealand

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/international/twenty20-world-cup/west-indies-v-new-zealand/winner

Sri Lanka play England

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/international/twenty20-world-cup/sri-lanka-v-england/winner


Lots of permutations here

Sri Lanka clearly through with a win but England can still go through with a loss if NZ win, depending on net run rate

England win, and they may not go through if WI win, again depending on net run rate

So a tense day ahead

Its tricky to see beyond WI and Sri Lanka wins to be frank, but we will see

Thread needs Malinga wickets and Dilshan sixes. Both have been in short supply

 

[TightEnd]

That European win was the thread's most unlikely winner, from where we were entering the latter stages, I would contend

[Tal]

That European win was the thread's most unlikely winner, from where we were entering the latter stages, I would contend

I assume it's a result for the bookies, although maybe not for 2-1 Betfred.

[tikay]

That European win was the thread's most unlikely winner, from where we were entering the latter stages, I would contend

Just a bit - that final hole gave us a huge swing.

We were on Europe to WIN (not retain) and we had Doobsy's "halves" bet.

We did not get out of it, but great damage limitation.

[Doobs]

That European win was the thread's most unlikely winner, from where we were entering the latter stages, I would contend

Just a bit - that final hole gave us a huge swing.

Think mine must have been the bigger sweat.  Boooooom