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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16416413 times)
DungBeetle
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« Reply #18240 on: October 14, 2012, 11:45:37 AM »

Reminder.  Think this kicks off around 1pm = can still get 9/5 Skybet according to oddschecker.  Preston favs most other places.


"Away from the glamour of the Internationals, Preston must surely be backed at home to MKD at 9/5 on Sunday.

MKD are ranked very highly in this division, and probably rightly so, but their away results are hit and miss XWWLX.

Preston have had some really poor recent results on the road (losing at Walsall and Oldham recently) but at home they have a much better win rate XWLWW.  Westley has built an entirely new team there, and there have been teething problems bedding them in, but despite that they sit just outside the play offs and will see this as a good opportunity to make a statement of intent in front of the cameras.

This game reminds me of the last time they faced a fancied team at home in Swindon, and seemed to really go out to make a point winning 4-1.

I respect MKD for sure, but I expected this to be a take your pick match, and the 9/5 seems way too big for me on the home win.  This price is with B365, Blue , 888 and Boyle.  Other bookies have them as low as 13/8 which is more what I was expecting."

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youthnkzR
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« Reply #18241 on: October 14, 2012, 12:29:11 PM »

"Backed Kye at 33s and he's now 14's, am even tempted to top up, problem is if he's bottom 2 v chris he won't go. Would need to be v someone else".

True - I think he would need to be against MK1 for him to get the boot.  They'd save him over District 3 I think.

I agree District 3 are starting to look a good price for tonight at 5-1.  I actually think they are better than Union J but it isn't what I think.

Shame in the outright it is a one horse race this year. I agree with you on Melanie.  Also tempted to have a small play at 55 in the outright with a view to trade our later.  I can see her in final 4.  The scottish vote has done wonders in the past.

First things first - let's see if Chris gets the boot.  A small hedge on District 3 is in order.



district 3 @ 5's for me is the bet of the week - realistically if they are in the bottom two, who are they going to get saved over - other then christopher - but again this could go to a deadlock and christopher would stay due to # of votes imo.
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tikay
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« Reply #18242 on: October 14, 2012, 12:54:46 PM »

Reminder.  Think this kicks off around 1pm = can still get 9/5 Skybet according to oddschecker.  Preston favs most other places.


"Away from the glamour of the Internationals, Preston must surely be backed at home to MKD at 9/5 on Sunday.

MKD are ranked very highly in this division, and probably rightly so, but their away results are hit and miss XWWLX.

Preston have had some really poor recent results on the road (losing at Walsall and Oldham recently) but at home they have a much better win rate XWLWW.  Westley has built an entirely new team there, and there have been teething problems bedding them in, but despite that they sit just outside the play offs and will see this as a good opportunity to make a statement of intent in front of the cameras.

This game reminds me of the last time they faced a fancied team at home in Swindon, and seemed to really go out to make a point winning 4-1.

I respect MKD for sure, but I expected this to be a take your pick match, and the 9/5 seems way too big for me on the home win.  This price is with B365, Blue , 888 and Boyle.  Other bookies have them as low as 13/8 which is more what I was expecting."



Thanks Dung.

We will have a small interest in that, especially as we can marginally beat your price, & it gives us a Sunday lunch sweat.

We have £20 @ 19/10 with Bet Victor, Preston to beat MK Dons.

ON

Preston North End v MK Dons
Preston North End
(Match Betting)
Odds:  19/10
Stake:  20.00
Possible Return:  58.00
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tikay
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« Reply #18243 on: October 14, 2012, 01:03:44 PM »


There will not a a Daily Report or Summary today, due to time issues & oversleptness.

I have no idea how we got on yesterday without searching, I believe Scotty gave us a UFC winner, our Vanderbilt game went wrong, & our Darts bet, which went to something like 29 legs, (so should have crushed) still failed to achieve sufficient 180's.  I imagine a small overall loss ensued. 

Several F1 bets were put up, but I believe they all failed.

Nick Colsaerts is struggling badly in our Top European (Frys.com Golf), but you never know with him, so fingers crossed.

We have some NFL action tonight, Baltimore +3.5 to beat Dallas, hopefully some more NFL suggestions will come in.  I am "working again", but Bets will be actioned today if they go up in time.

We have just backed Preston to win today, too.

Enjoy your Sunday afternoon.

Normal Fred action will resume tomorrow.
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tikay
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« Reply #18244 on: October 14, 2012, 01:08:33 PM »


Ooh, forgot to mention......

Danny Kedwell (sp) scored for Gillingham yesterday. Think we have him as top scorer.

Ven Gerwen, the darts chap, is now best price 25/1 (generally 20/1) for the big thingie, we have him at 50/1 (tipped at 100/1) thanks to Bazza.   
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« Reply #18245 on: October 14, 2012, 01:31:25 PM »

Yuh, also keen on District 3 to get booted off this week.

Ordinary, forgettable, zero charisma, will never be as popular with the girlies as Union J. If they're in the bottom two, very strong chance they'll be kicked.

  Rec £20 @ 5-1 with Spoilsports or Sid James
« Last Edit: October 14, 2012, 01:33:46 PM by Chompy » Logged

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« Reply #18246 on: October 14, 2012, 01:32:10 PM »


Ooh, forgot to mention......

Danny Kedwell (sp) scored for Gillingham yesterday. Think we have him as top scorer.

Ven Gerwen, the darts chap, is now best price 25/1 (generally 20/1) for the big thingie, we have him at 50/1 (tipped at 100/1) thanks to Bazza.   

Hope he comes good for ya fella..
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Satellite King
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« Reply #18247 on: October 14, 2012, 02:09:23 PM »

Although fingers got burnt yesterday with Kings 180's I fancy him to win the hth against Van Gerwen @4/5, i got on at 5/6 but that's just gone.
Dolan seems to bring Players down a level or 2 and King didn't seem to be in any rythme but playing MvG should see a fast flowing match.
In this tournament King is averaging 1 max per 4.23 Compared to MvG 1 every 9.75
Their last match at the worlds saw King hit 9 to Mvg's 5 in a match in which Van Gerwen won 4-1.
King doesn't cover shoot all that often while MvG goes down to 19s quite a bit.
I'd have King closer to 4/7 for this
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #18248 on: October 14, 2012, 02:15:30 PM »

I have no idea how we got on yesterday without searching, I believe Scotty gave us a UFC winner

Confirmed winner. Got too drunk to give the other selection properly, apologies.
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« Reply #18249 on: October 14, 2012, 02:16:08 PM »

Although fingers got burnt yesterday with Kings 180's I fancy him to win the hth against Van Gerwen @4/5, i got on at 5/6 but that's just gone.
Dolan seems to bring Players down a level or 2 and King didn't seem to be in any rythme but playing MvG should see a fast flowing match.
In this tournament King is averaging 1 max per 4.23 Compared to MvG 1 every 9.75
Their last match at the worlds saw King hit 9 to Mvg's 5 in a match in which Van Gerwen won 4-1.
King doesn't cover shoot all that often while MvG goes down to 19s quite a bit.
I'd have King closer to 4/7 for this

Looks a great shout to me
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« Reply #18250 on: October 14, 2012, 03:43:11 PM »

Although fingers got burnt yesterday with Kings 180's I fancy him to win the hth against Van Gerwen @4/5, i got on at 5/6 but that's just gone.
Dolan seems to bring Players down a level or 2 and King didn't seem to be in any rythme but playing MvG should see a fast flowing match.
In this tournament King is averaging 1 max per 4.23 Compared to MvG 1 every 9.75
Their last match at the worlds saw King hit 9 to Mvg's 5 in a match in which Van Gerwen won 4-1.
King doesn't cover shoot all that often while MvG goes down to 19s quite a bit.
I'd have King closer to 4/7 for this

Looks a great shout to me
Did you smash it??Now best price 3/4, Freds going to have to get on quick as I can see this going 4/7 across the board.
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tikay
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« Reply #18251 on: October 14, 2012, 06:36:59 PM »

Been otherwise engaged, so missed that darts bet until now. The price is now exactly what Snowy predicted it would be, 4/7, so I have to pass I think.

Bleurgh.

Good luck lads, and well spotted Snowy.
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Bazzaboy
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« Reply #18252 on: October 14, 2012, 09:11:02 PM »

MVG is a little bit special.

Just hope he doesn't "bounce" after winning that.
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« Reply #18253 on: October 14, 2012, 09:12:23 PM »

looks a different beast these days

never would have come from 4-1 down previously

whichever you shake it he is going to be a max 12-1? for the worlds by start of play
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Karabiner
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« Reply #18254 on: October 14, 2012, 09:13:55 PM »

MVG is a little bit special.

Just hope he doesn't "bounce" after winning that.

I'm feeling quite smug about my 66 macaronis in the forthcoming WC thanks to you sir.
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