Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Tranmere 4/6 to beat Braintree?

Tranmere top of league 1, Braintree bottom 7 in blue sq (albeit a tight table at present)

Tranmere won last 2 games to nil, Braintree by own admission making changes as they had a big effort against Gateshead.

8/5 with Braintree +1

Thanks Wazzy. I'll need some supprt for that, the price feels - to me - about right.

Tranmere are top of League One, desperate to go up, & away to a little "non-League" club who will be all revved up for it. Not sure that makes them much better than 4/6, has the feel of a potential banana-skin to me.

Views, anyone?

[Matt50]

Whilst we are on "discuss this price"......


The Palace game, v Derby.

I’m in a bit of a spot here.

Palace have been repeatedly mentioned as a good thing in this game, & I don’t doubt that.

Ant knows more about Palace then all of us, & he’s dead keen, but then he would be, would he not?

Others have supported his view, or not, its split pretty even. For sure, 3 or 4 months ago, deffo last Season, we’d have had a MAX here.

I have no view, though even I can see they are a worthy favourite.

But is the price value?

Is their form not fully exposed, the Bookies know all there is to know, & we don’t have access to any info they don’t?

The price opened at around Evens, & has barely moved in 3 days – they are still close to evens, in fact we can get Evens or better in 2 spots.

If the price is so good, why has everyone not piled in, & moved the price? Surely if they really were a 4/6 shot, the price would have long gone?

What am I missing?

 
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/crystal-palace-v-derby/winner

All I would say is that we were evens against Ipswich at home and the price never moved at all and they were dead bottom of the table I believe! We smashed them 5-0.

I think it is an oversight. The bookies have been overlooking Palace in particular ever since we started our run. Probably because around this time last season we were in the top 3 and plummeted down the table. This year has a different feel and there is nothing at the moment that would suggest we will falter.

It is going to get increasingly hard in the next two or three games to get value from Palace as Zaha is getting a lot of press and if we do keep on winning we will be starting to separate ourselves at the top from second and third, especially as Cardiff play Middlesbrough on Saturday. Then the value probably won't be there.

Also a lot is being said about me being a little too enthusiastic about Palace, but I would say that I have been on these forums for close to 2 years now and it is literally in the last month I have started to chirp about how good we are. I would understand you guys taking me less seriously if all i did from the start was be a little ott about the Palace! I am not bothered at all or insulted or anything like that I enjoy the banter, but to think that what I say about Palace isn't impartial is wrong. I have always been level headed when it comes to us and haven't said or suggested anything about us that is fanciful or biased. The closest i got to that probably is by suggesting we won't lose at home again this season if we retain the services of Zaha and if he does go he won't be going for anything under £19m, but I still think those two predictions will be proved correct.


But back to the bet, I would just say we are mesmeric at home at the moment and I hold we should be 1.6 FTW. I don't mind if you decide not to put the bet on Tikay, I just like the opportunity to tell as many people as possible how good we are

Ant

What price would you lay on us not losing at home in the league again this season?

[Chompy]

Stevenage and Palace booked?

[Waz1892]

Tranmere also 13/13 against non league

[tikay]

Stevenage and Palace booked?

No!

Answer my previous question, on Mrs S.

[The Camel]

Hi Tikay

I am going to suggest a bet of £30 on WALSALL to be relegated from League 1 @ 7/1 with VC which hopefully will give a similar sweat to Camel's Barnet bet last year but with a better end result.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1/relegation

The reason I am recommending the bet is that after a better than anticipated start Walsall are now on a horrific run of 10 league games without a win since the end of September and are perennial relegation contenders and a club with no money who for the past 2 seasons have survived by the skin of their teeth, and at the start of the season they were priced in this market at 6/4 although due to the prospect of Portsmouth being liquidated only VC/Hills and BF had markets with now only BF and VC available.

It is safe to assume that Portsmouth will fill one of the 4 places as once they come out of Administration they will receive a further penalty of -10pts and seem to be a club in disarray furthered by Appletons departure to Blackpool, the other contenders IMHO are Hartlepool (who may appoint Phil Brown as manager this week), Bury, Scunthorpe (recently appointed Brian Laws and showing a bit of form), Coventry and Oldham and again IMO Walsall should definately not be a 7/1 to fill one of 3or4 places against these teams having over achieved in the first third of the season.

Walsall's next few games are
Crawley away
Tranmere away
Hartlepool home
Coventry away
Yeovil home
Colchester home
Mk Dons away
Leyton Orient away and personally I can see only a return of 6/7 points maximum from these fixtures which takes them to January's fixtures which look equally as tough and would expect the price to contract further during this time offering an end of season green out or let it ride option  if they are completely sucked into the battle of which they are currently only 3 points outside.

Flame away...

I have a friend (brag obv) who goes to quite a few Walsall games - although he's not a supporter and is a pretty good judge.

Last time I spoke to him, he was full of praise of them - but that was during the good start they had.

I will give him a bell and see what his latest view is.

[tikay]

Thanks Keith.

When you have finished that job, give us your view on Palace Derby please. Several respected judges, & Chompy, think Evens is a good price. 

After that you can have dinner.

[Ant040689]

Whilst we are on "discuss this price"......


The Palace game, v Derby.

I’m in a bit of a spot here.

Palace have been repeatedly mentioned as a good thing in this game, & I don’t doubt that.

Ant knows more about Palace then all of us, & he’s dead keen, but then he would be, would he not?

Others have supported his view, or not, its split pretty even. For sure, 3 or 4 months ago, deffo last Season, we’d have had a MAX here.

I have no view, though even I can see they are a worthy favourite.

But is the price value?

Is their form not fully exposed, the Bookies know all there is to know, & we don’t have access to any info they don’t?

The price opened at around Evens, & has barely moved in 3 days – they are still close to evens, in fact we can get Evens or better in 2 spots.

If the price is so good, why has everyone not piled in, & moved the price? Surely if they really were a 4/6 shot, the price would have long gone?

What am I missing?

 
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/crystal-palace-v-derby/winner

All I would say is that we were evens against Ipswich at home and the price never moved at all and they were dead bottom of the table I believe! We smashed them 5-0.

I think it is an oversight. The bookies have been overlooking Palace in particular ever since we started our run. Probably because around this time last season we were in the top 3 and plummeted down the table. This year has a different feel and there is nothing at the moment that would suggest we will falter.

It is going to get increasingly hard in the next two or three games to get value from Palace as Zaha is getting a lot of press and if we do keep on winning we will be starting to separate ourselves at the top from second and third, especially as Cardiff play Middlesbrough on Saturday. Then the value probably won't be there.

Also a lot is being said about me being a little too enthusiastic about Palace, but I would say that I have been on these forums for close to 2 years now and it is literally in the last month I have started to chirp about how good we are. I would understand you guys taking me less seriously if all i did from the start was be a little ott about the Palace! I am not bothered at all or insulted or anything like that I enjoy the banter, but to think that what I say about Palace isn't impartial is wrong. I have always been level headed when it comes to us and haven't said or suggested anything about us that is fanciful or biased. The closest i got to that probably is by suggesting we won't lose at home again this season if we retain the services of Zaha and if he does go he won't be going for anything under £19m, but I still think those two predictions will be proved correct.


But back to the bet, I would just say we are mesmeric at home at the moment and I hold we should be 1.6 FTW. I don't mind if you decide not to put the bet on Tikay, I just like the opportunity to tell as many people as possible how good we are

Ant

What price would you lay on us not losing at home in the league again this season?

I wouldn't know but would have a pop at about 85/1 after doing some shoddy maths work.

[Tal]

I'll ask the Walsall fan in the office (he goes home and away)

[TightEnd]

We won on Walsall at 4-1 against Bournemouth earlier in the season, the sole reason being the Walsall Supporters club coach was full for the first time in years for an away game, which radiated optimism. That was September.

I will ask my Walsall fan.

[tikay]

Incred research, suggesting Walsall have at least three fans.

I helped construct that elevated section of the M6 that runs right by the ground. I'll ask that.

[class]

I don't have a Walsall fan to ask.

Hope this helps.

[class]

Suarez bet is on Prem league zone>Liverpool team page>Suarez total goals.

I think its way too big, I wouldn't make it any bigger than a 2/1 shot.

Happy for you to gether further opinion tough.

Can you stick the link up plz mate, cant seem to find it.

There you go.....


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/liverpool-specials/luis-suarez-total-premier-goals

Right who piled on at Victor? It's now over 15 goals, at odds of 4/6.

[Tal]

My Walsall fan says they always have a bad run this time of year, but a few January loans usually do enough for them to put a run together.

He is, however, pessimistic about tonight's match at Lincoln. He says they have a history of drawing at home in the cup to lower league opposition and losing the replay because players are rested.

[Tal]

Incred research, suggesting Walsall have at least three fans.

I helped construct that elevated section of the M6 that runs right by the ground. I'll ask that.

Didn't know you were a labourer, Tikay!

A dairy company - Wiseman - has vans that are black and white like Friesian cows. When they go past on match days, the home fans - who have a good view of that part of the M6 - go MOOOOOO!

Odd bunch