Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

Wiggo now in to 1.49 on the sports personality market.  Did he turn up on I'm a Celebrity after all?  I love getting the timing right on trades even when the reasoning is suspect. 

[hector62]

For my twopennyworth I would be happy to back India at 11/10 or better but I suspect that may not be around. As for supporting England I would begrudgingly consider them at 6-1 or better but may need 8-1.

I like the idea of trying to find the top England batsman in the 2nd test as Cook will be too short and I think we can dismiss Pietersen from our thoughts. What is the lad Compton like Tighty ? Will he be up for the challenge thrown down by Cook ? Did he play the spinners with confidence ?

[TightEnd]

Compton was better in the second innings than first. Unflappable temperament but a big ask to expect him to average over 30 in the series, but his forte is against seam and pace. Hasn't seen many pitches like this

If we say that Cook will be too short, that Trott is like a leaden footed rabbit in some full beam headlights and Pietersen is more likely to get a flashy 40 than a big ton, then the value might be in Bairstow or Morgan. Morgan especially is deft of touch and light of feet. Soft hands, and good on the sub continent.Lots of IPL experience.

I am assuming they'll pick Bairstow at 5 though but if Morgan was picked and he was 8-1+ that might be a dabble 

[Tonji]

Wiggo now in to 1.49 on the sports personality market.  Did he turn up on I'm a Celebrity after all?  I love getting the timing right on trades even when the reasoning is suspect. 

No, he was never going on the Celebrity thingy. Recently released a book & dvd. Has closed twitter account to concentrate on winter training!

[Chompy]

Stevenage wheels are coming right off and they're travelling to Bournemouth at a bad time tomorrow night.

Bournemouth to win at half- and full-time @ 15/8 with Coral.

Rec £40 at that price, ta. Also a chuckaway fiver on Cherries to hit 4+ @ 7-1 with VCdon'tbet

[Bazzaboy]

With only two qualifying events to go before the World Championship draw we are looking at a pretty lopsided draw as things stand. 6 of the top 8 in the betting are in the one half of the draw. With the two who are in the other half of the draw (Lewis ad Wade) in no form at all at present. We really could do with MVG having a good weekend in the remaining two events as he is £3.5k behind Hamilton. If he leapfrogs him he gets in to the much weaker half of the draw.

One half we have

Taylor
Anderson
Whitlock
MVG
Jenkins
Barney
Chisnall
Thornton

In the other half we have

Lewis
Wade
Newton
Hamilton
Webster
Pipe
King
Painter


Interesting.

[tikay]

Daily Report as at 11.45am, Monday November 19th

We made a profit of £15 yesterday. (For some reason – a misclick by me, doubtless -  the overall profit on yesterday’s report was overstated by £20).

5 bets completed, three won.

My timing & bet-sizing was all wrong, we bet big on the losers & small on the winners. The punters never-ending lament, I guess. We missed a winner or two, too, especially that 170 checkout, but I could not convince myself – still can’t actually – that it repped “value”, they are rare beasts apparently.

We lost £55 on MVG not performing as expected as to average, he seemed to fall asleep or go off the boil after a lightning start, & I’m not sure he coped well with Barney standing up to him. I compounded this with my stupid attempt to nick 9/4, which was almost an ironic  metaphor, as he lost anyway. What a thing greed is, & how life always punishes us for it somehow.

On the plus side, Doobsy gave us the Test win, which he tipped at 13/8, though it was 11/8 before I came to my senses & got on. (+£55).

Kuku, ever-reliable, gave us a lovely NFL bet, which was cruising all the way but got a bit hairy at the end. (+£25).

Hector rounded things off with a Sunday evening “interest” bet, (copyright Eso Kral), just a nitty £20, but good value & pleasurable as always. (£+25). 

A fairly quiet weekend, but we made a little bit of money & had a bunch of fun.  That’ll do.

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[the sicilian]

You have >55 for £100 @ Evs booked!

Final score, 38-17.

A push on this generous level  but Fred would have won as 54.5 was there... Went pretty much to what I thought except the raiders didn't really hold up there end and saints eased up making me sweat but add this to the big one I had on the ravens quite a nice result although rams let me down on an 8 fold and treble which would have been worth chirping about

[TightEnd]

One for the NFLers please

Chicago +7 at the 49ers

This should be a low scorer. Two good defenses, particularly against the run

Chicago minus Cutler, which is obviously a blow but much like Leftwich for Pitt, Jason Campbell is perfectly servicable

The Chicago defense creates turnovers, and scores points


After success last night on various threads with Cleveland, Arizona, Pittsburgh (just beat the spread), there is a reasonable case to be made for Chicago to cover on Monday night football is there not?

Interestingly on this website, commentators representing both teams, who preview the game well, expect Chicago to cover +7

http://ninernoise.com/2012/11/18/chicago-bears-vs-san-francisco-49ers-preview-qa-with-fan-website-bear-goggles-on/

+7 Chicago at 10/11 is available in various places

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/chicago-bears-at-san-francisco-49ers/point-spread

[tikay]

Stevenage wheels are coming right off and they're travelling to Bournemouth at a bad time tomorrow night.

Bournemouth to win at half- and full-time @ 15/8 with Coral.

Rec £40 at that price, ta. Also a chuckaway fiver on Cherries to hit 4+ @ 7-1 with VCdon'tbet

Thanks chompers.

I'll look at that a bit later, Oddschecker is down at present.

What price is a "straight" Bournemouth win?

[Chompy]

4/5 Cherries.

Oddschecker is working fine here. All new and 'improved'.

[tikay]

4/5 Cherries.

Oddschecker is working fine here. All new and 'improved'.

Yup, back now, for the time being anyway.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1/bournemouth-v-stevenage/winner

As a nit, I think I prefer the 4/5........

Seduce me, serenade me, make me purr like a Persian. Go on, butter me up, go on, butter......

[ripple11]

Stevenage wheels are coming right off and they're travelling to Bournemouth at a bad time tomorrow night.

Bournemouth to win at half- and full-time @ 15/8 with Coral.

Rec £40 at that price, ta. Also a chuckaway fiver on Cherries to hit 4+ @ 7-1 with VCdon'tbet

Thanks chompers.

I'll look at that a bit later, Oddschecker is down at present.

What price is a "straight" Bournemouth win?

We (Cherries) are a completely rejuvenated team since the return of manager Eddie Howe.....certainly unbeaten in the last 7 matches, with 6 wins off the top of my head. We are scoring a few goals each match....but we do sometimes have a slow/uneventful first half!....ie on Sat it was 0-0 at half time and then 4-1 second half.
Certainly we are flying atm and no injury worries. Also a couple more well off Russians have joined the board, so looking OK for the future.
So personally , being nitty if I was to bet, I would just back the win,...but it prob the correct price, so not really a Fred type bet to just win on the nose ?

[Skippy]

One for the NFLers please

Chicago +7 at the 49ers

This should be a low scorer. Two good defenses, particularly against the run

Chicago minus Cutler, which is obviously a blow but much like Leftwich for Pitt, Jason Campbell is perfectly servicable

The Chicago defense creates turnovers, and scores points


After success last night on various threads with Cleveland, Arizona, Pittsburgh (just beat the spread), there is a reasonable case to be made for Chicago to cover on Monday night football is there not?

Interestingly on this website, commentators representing both teams, who preview the game well, expect Chicago to cover +7

http://ninernoise.com/2012/11/18/chicago-bears-vs-san-francisco-49ers-preview-qa-with-fan-website-bear-goggles-on/

+7 Chicago at 10/11 is available in various places

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/chicago-bears-at-san-francisco-49ers/point-spread

Is Alex Smith playing?

[TightEnd]

He has practiced the last four days, so it is assumed so

Kaepernick is the long term answer for them at QB but going against that Chicago defense tonight would be difficult for him