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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16454945 times)
Tal
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« Reply #21060 on: November 22, 2012, 10:57:27 AM »

It is hard enough predicting the result after qualy. Shouldn't stop us from hunting value. Do you agree Tighty that the Kimi/Grosjean difference seems a little out of line?
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« Reply #21061 on: November 22, 2012, 11:03:04 AM »

It is hard enough predicting the result after qualy. Shouldn't stop us from hunting value. Do you agree Tighty that the Kimi/Grosjean difference seems a little out of line?

Grosjean is a double squiggle unbackable dodgepot.

Kimi is top class, and doesn't make mistakes.


I looked at the fastest lap market, and don't see a hope in hell of Ferrari getting it, Alonso has dragged a tractor to a chance of the title with one race to go, a remarkable achievement

So to see Alonso at 12s and Raikkonen at 20s was a headscratcher
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« Reply #21062 on: November 22, 2012, 11:22:35 AM »

double squiggle unbackable dodgepot.

I aim to use this phrase in conversation at least once every day for the rest of my life.
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Tal
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« Reply #21063 on: November 22, 2012, 11:29:37 AM »

double squiggle unbackable dodgepot.

I aim to use this phrase in conversation at least once every day for the rest of my life.

Sounds to me like a Jah Wobble album.
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millidonk
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« Reply #21064 on: November 22, 2012, 11:36:54 AM »

Tidal Bay & Midnight Chase scratched from the Betfair, so just 6 max going to post. Nice.

Beat me to it. Great news.
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tikay
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« Reply #21065 on: November 22, 2012, 11:37:07 AM »

double squiggle unbackable dodgepot.

I aim to use this phrase in conversation at least once every day for the rest of my life.

There is an abbreviated version called "a chompy".
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hector62
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« Reply #21066 on: November 22, 2012, 11:39:24 AM »

Morning Mr T. In terms of minutes per £ yesterdays selection was the worst I have ever given you so I shall make it up to you by giving you my 2nd best tip in terms of £ per minute.

The 2nd Test starts mid kip tonight and I have been postulating over it since the end of the last one. India are now odds on everywhere and I can't support England. So what to bet on ? We have Hadrain batting for us so what about an Indian bowler.To my mind it is a toss up between Ashwin and Ohja, no shit Sherlock I hear you all say ! You can get 7/4 on both of these and that makes no appeal.

We know that this is a spinners wicket. We have been informed by his Tightiness that the pitch was used 3 weeks ago which will help spinners. We also know the England batsmen are terrible against spin, with a notable exception and some question marks. In the match played last year at this venue against the West Indies these 2 bowlers took 16 of the 20 WI wickets including all 10 of the 2nd innings. Ashwin was awarded the Man of the Match as he was in 1 of the other 2 Tests.

So my suggestion of how to get with these 2 bowlers is slightly quirky but I think it is value. I suggest backing both of them to be Man of the Match. I priced it up myself as around 5 or 6 to 1 each of 2 but Ladbrokes are offering 9-1 on both. So the usual bet size £10 on both Ashwin/Ohja to be MOTM @ 9-1 Ladbrokes.
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tikay
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« Reply #21067 on: November 22, 2012, 11:39:28 AM »

Tidal Bay & Midnight Chase scratched from the Betfair, so just 6 max going to post. Nice.

I wonder what the owner of our Bet thinks of that.

All going to plan?

There is a piece in today's RP by David Bridgewater, who stated "we are in with a shout".

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aaron1867
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« Reply #21068 on: November 22, 2012, 11:40:13 AM »

Put this one up again.

Antonio for Wednesday to score first against Leicester.

He has plenty of attacking threat, one of the top scorers and naturally a winger, but often been played up front, therefore I see 13's as value considering he plays as attacking midfielder & up front. Dave Jones keep chopping and changing everytime we lose and we lost the last game, so wouldn't be surprised to see Antonio to be played up front.

Wednesday are always good for a goal.

Rec a small £5 interest here. I would probably rec this for every home game and we will see profit, poses more threat than Ben Marshall, but probably not as impressive in dead ball situations.

In other news.... Not much racing...

I've had a look over the card today and there is only Kempton & Market Rasen.

MR has lots of short prices in most races, definitely not a tip, but it seems the favourite in the race has everything going for it, looks a lot better than the other horses, form & distance, plus ground looks ideal for it & less so for others, Red Jade in the 12.40, for you horse punters out there, short price at 6/5 too.
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tikay
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« Reply #21069 on: November 22, 2012, 11:44:02 AM »

Morning Mr T. In terms of minutes per £ yesterdays selection was the worst I have ever given you so I shall make it up to you by giving you my 2nd best tip in terms of £ per minute.

The 2nd Test starts mid kip tonight and I have been postulating over it since the end of the last one. India are now odds on everywhere and I can't support England. So what to bet on ? We have Hadrain batting for us so what about an Indian bowler.To my mind it is a toss up between Ashwin and Ohja, no shit Sherlock I hear you all say ! You can get 7/4 on both of these and that makes no appeal.

We know that this is a spinners wicket. We have been informed by his Tightiness that the pitch was used 3 weeks ago which will help spinners. We also know the England batsmen are terrible against spin, with a notable exception and some question marks. In the match played last year at this venue against the West Indies these 2 bowlers took 16 of the 20 WI wickets including all 10 of the 2nd innings. Ashwin was awarded the Man of the Match as he was in 1 of the other 2 Tests.

So my suggestion of how to get with these 2 bowlers is slightly quirky but I think it is value. I suggest backing both of them to be Man of the Match. I priced it up myself as around 5 or 6 to 1 each of 2 but Ladbrokes are offering 9-1 on both. So the usual bet size £10 on both Ashwin/Ohja to be MOTM @ 9-1 Ladbrokes.

Wow, now that looks very clever. I have no idea of it reps value, but it is certainly an ingenious approach.

Worth mentioning, too, that I THINK Fred has only once bet on a "Man of the Match" award, which was also owned by you, & which won. A Rugby League game if I recall correctly, & it was the "Lance Todd Trophy"?

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tikay
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« Reply #21070 on: November 22, 2012, 11:45:27 AM »


The Betfair Chase Market AFTER the withdrawals - at present, it appears to look almost identical, & TGB is still 6/1!


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/national-hunt/betfair-chase/winner
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millidonk
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« Reply #21071 on: November 22, 2012, 11:49:16 AM »


The Betfair Chase Market AFTER the withdrawals - at present, it appears to look almost identical, & TGB is still 6/1!


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/national-hunt/betfair-chase/winner

All paying top 2 now instead of the glorious Top 3 we have
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hector62
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« Reply #21072 on: November 22, 2012, 11:50:26 AM »

You are correct about the Lance Todd trophy. I did also one suggest backing Amla as MOTM in a one dayer but it was debated down by Bad Beat and Dungbeetle and would have lost but I still like my theory behind it.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #21073 on: November 22, 2012, 11:53:19 AM »

Morning Mr T. In terms of minutes per £ yesterdays selection was the worst I have ever given you so I shall make it up to you by giving you my 2nd best tip in terms of £ per minute.

The 2nd Test starts mid kip tonight and I have been postulating over it since the end of the last one. India are now odds on everywhere and I can't support England. So what to bet on ? We have Hadrain batting for us so what about an Indian bowler.To my mind it is a toss up between Ashwin and Ohja, no shit Sherlock I hear you all say ! You can get 7/4 on both of these and that makes no appeal.

We know that this is a spinners wicket. We have been informed by his Tightiness that the pitch was used 3 weeks ago which will help spinners. We also know the England batsmen are terrible against spin, with a notable exception and some question marks. In the match played last year at this venue against the West Indies these 2 bowlers took 16 of the 20 WI wickets including all 10 of the 2nd innings. Ashwin was awarded the Man of the Match as he was in 1 of the other 2 Tests.

So my suggestion of how to get with these 2 bowlers is slightly quirky but I think it is value. I suggest backing both of them to be Man of the Match. I priced it up myself as around 5 or 6 to 1 each of 2 but Ladbrokes are offering 9-1 on both. So the usual bet size £10 on both Ashwin/Ohja to be MOTM @ 9-1 Ladbrokes.

Wow, now that looks very clever. I have no idea of it reps value, but it is certainly an ingenious approach.

Worth mentioning, too, that I THINK Fred has only once bet on a "Man of the Match" award, which was also owned by you, & which won. A Rugby League game if I recall correctly, & it was the "Lance Todd Trophy"?



If India bat first the chances are another Indian batsman will be man of the match, in my opinion.


I can't be having Antonio at 13-1 either. Wed have lost three on the spin, Barkley has been recalled, Antonio to my mind is at the whim of a big change in team line up by Mr Jones.
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I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
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« Reply #21074 on: November 22, 2012, 11:56:38 AM »

You are correct about the Lance Todd trophy. I did also one suggest backing Amla as MOTM in a one dayer but it was debated down by Bad Beat and Dungbeetle and would have lost but I still like my theory behind it.

You may even have said it was debatted down.....

Shall I go fetch my coat?
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