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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16416223 times)
Doobs
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« Reply #21180 on: November 24, 2012, 08:58:40 AM »

First post on this thread, but just spotted Marcus Tudgay's odds for first/last/anytime scorer in today's match vs Cardiff.

Most places he's 6/1 or 7/1 for first / last goalscorer.  Corals have him at 25/1, BetVictor have him at 22/1
Anytime scorer is similar.  8/1 at Coral, 6/1 at BetVictor instead of 15/8, 7/4, etc.

He's a striker / winger who I'd expect to be in the starting line up today, yet he's a bigger price than holding midfielders and players who'll be lucky to get on the bench (e.g. Kelvin Etuhu).

I don't know much about sports betting, but I know that this is wrong!

Thanks Curtis, & welcome aboard.

We like to give Fred newbies a "free shot" if the bet is anything like, & this looks "like", so I'll get on shortly.

I'm not sure of the mechanics of "First" v "Anytime", & every time I do it, someone pops up afterwards & tells me there was a better way to do it, but I'll take a chance & get on in a bit.

As President of League Nit, I have to ask you, what would you recommend - £5 on each, or £10 on each?

Clearly worth more.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #21181 on: November 24, 2012, 08:58:45 AM »

Wayward out 5 runners thumbs up thumbs up

Oooh!

Nice bet, Dewi.
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« Reply #21182 on: November 24, 2012, 09:04:54 AM »

First post on this thread, but just spotted Marcus Tudgay's odds for first/last/anytime scorer in today's match vs Cardiff.

Most places he's 6/1 or 7/1 for first / last goalscorer.  Corals have him at 25/1, BetVictor have him at 22/1
Anytime scorer is similar.  8/1 at Coral, 6/1 at BetVictor instead of 15/8, 7/4, etc.

He's a striker / winger who I'd expect to be in the starting line up today, yet he's a bigger price than holding midfielders and players who'll be lucky to get on the bench (e.g. Kelvin Etuhu).

I don't know much about sports betting, but I know that this is wrong!

Thanks Curtis, & welcome aboard.

We like to give Fred newbies a "free shot" if the bet is anything like, & this looks "like", so I'll get on shortly.

I'm not sure of the mechanics of "First" v "Anytime", & every time I do it, someone pops up afterwards & tells me there was a better way to do it, but I'll take a chance & get on in a bit.

As President of League Nit, I have to ask you, what would you recommend - £5 on each, or £10 on each?

Clearly worth more.

Whatever you put on First Goalscorer, double the bet onto anytime

Something like £10 Coral £25 then £20 any time 8/1 Coral


Ask Curtis if he would like to back Scott Wiseman too.
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« Reply #21183 on: November 24, 2012, 09:07:49 AM »

Not sure of the 'proper' tactics but I've bet 5p on 1st and last with a 10p saver on anytime, but this is purely down to emotional attachment of seeing him score and not winning something.

It's a mug bet staking wise, so I'll defer to others.

NB:  Obviously not a 5p bet but it was less poncy than using units given that I found some funds I'd forgotten about on the account!
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« Reply #21184 on: November 24, 2012, 09:18:03 AM »

First post on this thread, but just spotted Marcus Tudgay's odds for first/last/anytime scorer in today's match vs Cardiff.

Most places he's 6/1 or 7/1 for first / last goalscorer.  Corals have him at 25/1, BetVictor have him at 22/1
Anytime scorer is similar.  8/1 at Coral, 6/1 at BetVictor instead of 15/8, 7/4, etc.

He's a striker / winger who I'd expect to be in the starting line up today, yet he's a bigger price than holding midfielders and players who'll be lucky to get on the bench (e.g. Kelvin Etuhu).

I don't know much about sports betting, but I know that this is wrong!

Thanks Curtis, & welcome aboard.

We like to give Fred newbies a "free shot" if the bet is anything like, & this looks "like", so I'll get on shortly.

I'm not sure of the mechanics of "First" v "Anytime", & every time I do it, someone pops up afterwards & tells me there was a better way to do it, but I'll take a chance & get on in a bit.

As President of League Nit, I have to ask you, what would you recommend - £5 on each, or £10 on each?

Clearly worth more.

Whatever you put on First Goalscorer, double the bet onto anytime

Something like £10 Coral £25 then £20 any time 8/1 Coral


Ask Curtis if he would like to back Scott Wiseman too.

OK, sorted. I think.

Sheriff has......

£20 @ 8/1, Corals, Marcus Tudgay, Anytime Goalscorer, Barnsley v Cardiff

£10 @ 25/1, Corals, Marcus Tudgay, First Goalscorer, Barnsley v Cardiff

Good luck Curtis!

ON


24/11/2012 09:05AM  Single
To Win £ 10.00 Marcus Tudgay - Barnsley v Cardiff - First Goal Scorer @ 25/1 26.00
£ 0.00 24/11/2012 09:05AM  Single
To Win £ 20.00 Marcus Tudgay - Barnsley v Cardiff - Goal Scorer-Anytime @ 8/1 9.00
£ 0.00
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« Reply #21185 on: November 24, 2012, 09:21:08 AM »

First post on this thread, but just spotted Marcus Tudgay's odds for first/last/anytime scorer in today's match vs Cardiff.

Most places he's 6/1 or 7/1 for first / last goalscorer.  Corals have him at 25/1, BetVictor have him at 22/1
Anytime scorer is similar.  8/1 at Coral, 6/1 at BetVictor instead of 15/8, 7/4, etc.

He's a striker / winger who I'd expect to be in the starting line up today, yet he's a bigger price than holding midfielders and players who'll be lucky to get on the bench (e.g. Kelvin Etuhu).

I don't know much about sports betting, but I know that this is wrong!

Thanks Curtis, & welcome aboard.

We like to give Fred newbies a "free shot" if the bet is anything like, & this looks "like", so I'll get on shortly.

I'm not sure of the mechanics of "First" v "Anytime", & every time I do it, someone pops up afterwards & tells me there was a better way to do it, but I'll take a chance & get on in a bit.

As President of League Nit, I have to ask you, what would you recommend - £5 on each, or £10 on each?

Clearly worth more.

Whatever you put on First Goalscorer, double the bet onto anytime

Something like £10 Coral £25 then £20 any time 8/1 Coral


Ask Curtis if he would like to back Scott Wiseman too.


I'm unclear if Tighty is serious, or if that is a football supporters in-joke.....

Mr Wiseman appears to be as high as 50/1, or even 66/1 with SkyBet.

 
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« Reply #21186 on: November 24, 2012, 09:23:29 AM »

Not sure what Fred thinks of what I think is potentially a good back to lay opportunity?
Every time the Pipe stable get a decent 3 mile novice chaser it gets talked up as a potential Gold Cup horse following his unlucky attempt to win the GC with Gloria Victis.
Last year Grand Crus was backed into single figures I recall,but in the end sense prevailed. However, it didn't stop plenty of people investing.
This year Dynaste looks to be following the same path, and looked mighty impressive to me at Cheltenham, when beating a previous 2nd coming in Fingal Bay.
With the same stable having Our Father also talked of as a possible Sun Alliance horse, and the aforementioned Grand Cru looking very much a non stayer, if Dynaste keeps up this improvement it is inevitable at some stage he will be talked up.
I have yet to find a bookie quoting him in Gold Cup lists but betfair have enough liquidity for Fred to stick a tenner on at odds over 300-1, which at some point given natural progression, is sure to be layable at some point.
A long game opportunity, but sure it will bear fruit.

Hi Adz,

We got £5 matched at 380, but it seems the other £5 did not get matched, thanks to Mere's eagle eyes moniroring my Betfair prowess. .

Shall we leave it at a fiver, or would you suggest trying to get another fiver at shorter odds?
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« Reply #21187 on: November 24, 2012, 09:24:47 AM »

First post on this thread, but just spotted Marcus Tudgay's odds for first/last/anytime scorer in today's match vs Cardiff.

Most places he's 6/1 or 7/1 for first / last goalscorer.  Corals have him at 25/1, BetVictor have him at 22/1
Anytime scorer is similar.  8/1 at Coral, 6/1 at BetVictor instead of 15/8, 7/4, etc.

He's a striker / winger who I'd expect to be in the starting line up today, yet he's a bigger price than holding midfielders and players who'll be lucky to get on the bench (e.g. Kelvin Etuhu).

I don't know much about sports betting, but I know that this is wrong!

Thanks Curtis, & welcome aboard.

We like to give Fred newbies a "free shot" if the bet is anything like, & this looks "like", so I'll get on shortly.

I'm not sure of the mechanics of "First" v "Anytime", & every time I do it, someone pops up afterwards & tells me there was a better way to do it, but I'll take a chance & get on in a bit.

As President of League Nit, I have to ask you, what would you recommend - £5 on each, or £10 on each?

Clearly worth more.

Whatever you put on First Goalscorer, double the bet onto anytime

Something like £10 Coral £25 then £20 any time 8/1 Coral


Ask Curtis if he would like to back Scott Wiseman too.


I'm unclear if Tighty is serious, or if that is a football supporters in-joke.....

Mr Wiseman appears to be as high as 50/1, or even 66/1 with SkyBet.

 

in joke

Mr Wiseman is a centre half of dubious footballing ability
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« Reply #21188 on: November 24, 2012, 09:28:34 AM »



dubious ability.

I think I get your drift.

In football supporters parlance, a wanker & tosspot who is shite?
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« Reply #21189 on: November 24, 2012, 09:40:43 AM »


With just 5 runners now, TGB, if anything, has drifted a bit.


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/haydock/15:05/winner

Think we are where we want to be though - 13/10 to finish in the top 3 of a 5 horse race.
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« Reply #21190 on: November 24, 2012, 09:45:30 AM »

Seems to be a crucial period for England, with Cook & Pietersen battling away. Perfect saturday TV. Better than swap shop!
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« Reply #21191 on: November 24, 2012, 09:50:40 AM »


With just 5 runners now, TGB, if anything, has drifted a bit.


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/haydock/15:05/winner

Think we are where we want to be though - 13/10 to finish in the top 3 of a 5 horse race.


Bridgy not exactly bullish in papers, roughly "if Tom doesnt feel he is handling the ground we shall pull him up". Thankfully I expect that is the plan for all of them!
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« Reply #21192 on: November 24, 2012, 09:52:15 AM »

Seems to be a crucial period for England, with Cook & Pietersen battling away. Perfect saturday TV. Better than swap shop!

It does not get much better. Terrific quality TV coverage, proper cricket, spinners twirling away, & an even contest between batsmen & bowlers.

Perfect. AND the players wearing proper whites.
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« Reply #21193 on: November 24, 2012, 09:55:14 AM »

Not sure what Fred thinks of what I think is potentially a good back to lay opportunity?
Every time the Pipe stable get a decent 3 mile novice chaser it gets talked up as a potential Gold Cup horse following his unlucky attempt to win the GC with Gloria Victis.
Last year Grand Crus was backed into single figures I recall,but in the end sense prevailed. However, it didn't stop plenty of people investing.
This year Dynaste looks to be following the same path, and looked mighty impressive to me at Cheltenham, when beating a previous 2nd coming in Fingal Bay.
With the same stable having Our Father also talked of as a possible Sun Alliance horse, and the aforementioned Grand Cru looking very much a non stayer, if Dynaste keeps up this improvement it is inevitable at some stage he will be talked up.
I have yet to find a bookie quoting him in Gold Cup lists but betfair have enough liquidity for Fred to stick a tenner on at odds over 300-1, which at some point given natural progression, is sure to be layable at some point.
A long game opportunity, but sure it will bear fruit.

Hi Adz,

We got £5 matched at 380, but it seems the other £5 did not get matched, thanks to Mere's eagle eyes moniroring my Betfair prowess. .

Shall we leave it at a fiver, or would you suggest trying to get another fiver at shorter odds?


TBH Tikay, to me the value was in the price. In what looks like it could be a strong Gold Cup year, It was a bet at 300s+ based on the fact he could easily get talked into 20s with a couple of good displays, offering a good chance to lay it off. At 200s the margins are somewhat shorter for all the pieces to fall into place. £5 is sufficient for my Newbie bet!
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« Reply #21194 on: November 24, 2012, 09:55:46 AM »

Tudgay prices didn't last long.  Missed Coral but got a bit from BV.

Thanks - good info!
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