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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16430152 times)
Snowball
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« Reply #22050 on: November 30, 2012, 06:42:57 PM »

I have a question for the more experienced contributors on football betting.

Would you always wait until friday or saturday to place a bet on weekend football to get more knowledge about team news, conditions etc?

Perhaps I could give an example, a couple of days ago I posted 3 possible bets for this weekend. Dag and Red were 11/4 and I liked that price. It's dropped now to 11/5.

I've had some at 11/4 but I know Bobby made a comment about one of the other bets, wanting seeing squad/team news for the Sheff Utd v Port Vale game before betting. (Port Vale have also dropped from 9/2 to 4/1).

I guess its a balance between the price and how much value that is perceived to be on say, 4 days before the game (with limited information) and what the price may change to (with clearer information) say 1 day before?

Naive to back football to early??

It depends.  There is definitely a lot of early alue if you are willing to do the work early but generally I come up with a shortlist the day before and place anything I think will move then and leave the rest until gameday.  That way you generally know injury news etc.  If something really sticks out and I have good reason to think it will not last I will bet early but all the big syndicates are restricted to betting on gameday so that tends to be when the big moves come.  By way of example the only bet I have actually placed so far is on Motherwell @ 9/4 to beat Aberdeen because I know Aberdeen have a lot of injury problems so I wouldn't expect it to last.
9 Players out, same as Tuesday yet ICT were 3/1 in the morning.
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tikay
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« Reply #22051 on: November 30, 2012, 06:52:02 PM »

Hector.

Restricted service this evening, am pokering, and cannot c & p BetSlips on my iPod.

That Sale - Northampton bet is ON exactly as specified.

£20 @ 7/4, UNDER 36 points, Stan James.

Thanks.

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« Reply #22052 on: November 30, 2012, 06:53:06 PM »

Here's a suggestion for tomorrows football.

FA Cup Oldham V Doncaster under 2.5 goals @ 5/6 Ladbrokes

Reasoning - watched the league game between these 2 side last saturday at the Keepmoat. Very few chances in that game. As a Doncaster season ticket holder and also knowing that both Iain Hume and David Cotterill are both suspended for the game, along with Martin Woods out injured. After Woods went off creativity went downhill, and with no like for like player to replace him Doncaster with have to play a defensive game, but the biggest misses will be Hume (who chases everything), and Cotterill who has been either scorer or creater of 7 out of the last 8 goals scored.

Recommend £30 @ 5/6
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exstream
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« Reply #22053 on: November 30, 2012, 07:05:38 PM »

I saw in the newspaper that moyes was 2/5 to still be with everton at start of next season, wasn't able to find the market online, but where else is he going to be?
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The Camel
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« Reply #22054 on: November 30, 2012, 08:00:25 PM »

Here's a suggestion for tomorrows football.

FA Cup Oldham V Doncaster under 2.5 goals @ 5/6 Ladbrokes

Reasoning - watched the league game between these 2 side last saturday at the Keepmoat. Very few chances in that game. As a Doncaster season ticket holder and also knowing that both Iain Hume and David Cotterill are both suspended for the game, along with Martin Woods out injured. After Woods went off creativity went downhill, and with no like for like player to replace him Doncaster with have to play a defensive game, but the biggest misses will be Hume (who chases everything), and Cotterill who has been either scorer or creater of 7 out of the last 8 goals scored.

Recommend £30 @ 5/6

No opinion on the bet, but the price is a good one.

Get on now if you are going to have the bet, the 5/6 will disappear.
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« Reply #22055 on: November 30, 2012, 08:02:34 PM »

Lewis s Wife has just gone into labour announced
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Tal
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« Reply #22056 on: November 30, 2012, 08:09:54 PM »

He was with her when she went in, then he has travelled for his match and will travel back to see her.
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Tal
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« Reply #22057 on: November 30, 2012, 08:10:51 PM »

I see Tikay is keeping track of the action on his iPod...
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tikay
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« Reply #22058 on: November 30, 2012, 08:15:00 PM »

I see Tikay is keeping track of the action on his iPod...

Yup!

Crushing the tourney, too.

PS - 8-3 in the Rugby after 20 minutes. We may need a fog abandonment.

In Hector we trust.
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Tal
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« Reply #22059 on: November 30, 2012, 08:24:17 PM »

I see Tikay is keeping track of the action on his iPod...

Yup!

Crushing the tourney, too.

PS - 8-3 in the Rugby after 20 minutes. We may need a fog abandonment.

In Hector we trust.

Anthony Gardner in the comp, too.
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« Reply #22060 on: November 30, 2012, 08:36:55 PM »

Might need fog abandonment in the darts too, Burnett not finding the doubles yet, 2-3 at break.
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« Reply #22061 on: November 30, 2012, 08:37:45 PM »

Sigh at Burnett's finishing.
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Simon Galloway
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« Reply #22062 on: November 30, 2012, 08:41:02 PM »

That 150-out hurt
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« Reply #22063 on: November 30, 2012, 08:43:15 PM »

If Burnett is an ex world champion then there is hope for me yet.
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« Reply #22064 on: November 30, 2012, 08:49:36 PM »

I fear Lewis might not get to see that Kid if he bumps into Burnett on the way out.
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