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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16378009 times)
Doobs
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« Reply #24570 on: December 28, 2012, 03:35:08 PM »

Flemenstar didn't last home once he'd jumped the last

Not a clue what the race means for Cheltenham, everyone finished in an heap

Flemenstar has shortened up for RyanAir (2m 5F) and drifted in the GC (3m 2F) which is fairly understandable.  Tremendous cruising speed, had a quality field rowing for home there, just a couple of furlongs too far.

This.  Written off Flemenstar Gold Cup bet, pressed Long Run.
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tikay
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« Reply #24571 on: December 28, 2012, 03:37:37 PM »

Flemenstar didn't last home once he'd jumped the last

Not a clue what the race means for Cheltenham, everyone finished in an heap

Flemenstar has shortened up for RyanAir (2m 5F) and drifted in the GC (3m 2F) which is fairly understandable.  Tremendous cruising speed, had a quality field rowing for home there, just a couple of furlongs too far.

This.  Written off Flemenstar Gold Cup bet, pressed Long Run.

he bets like a man.......
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tikay
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« Reply #24572 on: December 28, 2012, 03:42:53 PM »


In the Little & Large T20, There were FOURTEEN sixes (7 to each side) so Tighty has had a good day.
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« Reply #24573 on: December 28, 2012, 03:43:54 PM »

watched it again

considering flemenstar ran very freely and was still only beaten 2 lengths

not a complete lost cause
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TightEnd
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« Reply #24574 on: December 28, 2012, 03:46:26 PM »

That Bradford bet looks very interesting

It is only so-so away form that means they are 3 points off an automatic promotion spot and they should have the budget to improve in January where Gillingham and Port Vale in the top three cannot

I'm assuming its 12-1 1/4 the odds top three?

Of course the top of League 2 is tough, but you are being given a price to speculate

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« Reply #24575 on: December 28, 2012, 04:00:41 PM »

That Bradford bet looks very interesting

It is only so-so away form that means they are 3 points off an automatic promotion spot and they should have the budget to improve in January where Gillingham and Port Vale in the top three cannot

I'm assuming its 12-1 1/4 the odds top three?

Of course the top of League 2 is tough, but you are being given a price to speculate



Yea 12/1. With 1/4 top 3


The last 5/6 season bradford have had a team full of loan players that really did not give a shit, where this season they are all our players

Reid is full fit again now, he has been out since OCT came on and set up the winner on boxing day, I think we will buy a target man to give Hanson a little bit of competition


The way we are playing at the moment I would like to see us in the top two after the next 5 games

Target is 10 points

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« Reply #24576 on: December 28, 2012, 04:01:10 PM »

That Bradford bet looks very interesting

It is only so-so away form that means they are 3 points off an automatic promotion spot and they should have the budget to improve in January where Gillingham and Port Vale in the top three cannot

I'm assuming its 12-1 1/4 the odds top three?

Of course the top of League 2 is tough, but you are being given a price to speculate



12s beats Betfair, which must be good.

Disclosure: on from start of season, but am a Bradford fan, so this shouldn't be a ringing endorsement.
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« Reply #24577 on: December 28, 2012, 04:04:40 PM »

watched it again

considering flemenstar ran very freely and was still only beaten 2 lengths

not a complete lost cause

I didn't realise in real time how well SDC ran there too Horse P. Given he looks likely to be better over further that looked a nice run. The one nagging doubt would be apart from the Jewson it has run in some very soft/small field chases. Do you think there could be a  worry that when push comes to shove in better quality races he might just lack a bit in the jumping dept?
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tikay
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« Reply #24578 on: December 28, 2012, 04:34:45 PM »

bit unfair on tidal bay

since he has been with a trainer he has been pretty consistent and considering he was trained by howard johnson for most of his career it is no surprise he was quirky

it is hard to forget how quirky he was and he certainly still has an awkward late challenge but conditions look ideal to me today

ground distance and a probable good pace to chase down

ground is a worry for sdc and trip a ? for flemenstar


Pretty much a complete plus one.

Whoever wins today you will find reasons to look back and say the price looked big but tbh the prices as they are look pretty much as they should. I would be tempted by one of those double bets on SDC to win today and Gold Cup if I could get over 12-1.
For today I would probably back TB ew as you can see him storming up that long run in



Morning Adz,

I assume you meant "TD ew"?

As there seems a fair degree of interest in this race (Lexus Chase), here is the market.


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/leopardstown/15:00/winner

Morning TK

TB =Tidal Bay.

As Chairman of the Tidal Bay Fan Club I tend to view his chances through wonderful Dame Edna Rose tinted Specs, so dont place too much faith in my selection.

This is one Grade 1 Chase I think is worth a watching brief, as it will tie the English and Irish form together.

FWIW, and I will probably lose all credibility, I think the King George was a very poor renewal, and Long Run did well despite his jockeys efforts. He will remain a safe choice for the GC, but I suspect there will be a couple to beat him again.

SDC has impressive Cheltenham credentials and is in the right hands. If you can ignore TBs age, his profile now is of an improving animal, but Bobs Worth looks bomb proof.

As a real skinner, I have long been a fan of a Scottish horse, Bold Sir Brian, and hold a fancy ticket with 700-1 on it. He needs to produce a performance in the Argento at Cheltenham in New Year to be entered this year, but he is defo a horse for the future.

There sits one happy chappie.......
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« Reply #24579 on: December 28, 2012, 04:35:23 PM »

bit unfair on tidal bay

since he has been with a trainer he has been pretty consistent and considering he was trained by howard johnson for most of his career it is no surprise he was quirky

it is hard to forget how quirky he was and he certainly still has an awkward late challenge but conditions look ideal to me today

ground distance and a probable good pace to chase down

ground is a worry for sdc and trip a ? for flemenstar



And another......
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« Reply #24580 on: December 28, 2012, 04:38:33 PM »

Not so happy Ruby looks like trying to steer Nicholls to running him in Stayers tho. Got a nice portfolio building on GC.

You do the riding Ruby and let PN make the decisions young man!! Grin
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« Reply #24581 on: December 28, 2012, 04:41:34 PM »

Not so happy Ruby looks like trying to steer Nicholls to running him in Stayers tho. Got a nice portfolio building on GC.

You do the riding Ruby and let PN make the decisions young man!! Grin

Is that because he has other rides available in the GC, or it might cause him some embarrassment if he were asked to make a choice between TD and another? Or simply because he genuinely thinks it would be better in the Stayers?
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« Reply #24582 on: December 28, 2012, 04:42:53 PM »

bit unfair on tidal bay

since he has been with a trainer he has been pretty consistent and considering he was trained by howard johnson for most of his career it is no surprise he was quirky

it is hard to forget how quirky he was and he certainly still has an awkward late challenge but conditions look ideal to me today

ground distance and a probable good pace to chase down

ground is a worry for sdc and trip a ? for flemenstar



And another......

did not have a penny on the race tikay

still hard not to smile at seeing that finish
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« Reply #24583 on: December 28, 2012, 04:44:55 PM »

watched it again

considering flemenstar ran very freely and was still only beaten 2 lengths

not a complete lost cause

I didn't realise in real time how well SDC ran there too Horse P. Given he looks likely to be better over further that looked a nice run. The one nagging doubt would be apart from the Jewson it has run in some very soft/small field chases. Do you think there could be a  worry that when push comes to shove in better quality races he might just lack a bit in the jumping dept?

hi bobby

yes that is still a worry for me has lots of guts endless stamina will like the ground (probably)

there was a quite a bit of 8-1 after the race but looks like mostly 6-1 now i cant really see it starting a lot shorter than that from here on in?
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« Reply #24584 on: December 28, 2012, 04:48:25 PM »

former thread near hero appears to be heading for south east asia

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/20859753?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
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