blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
July 29, 2025, 10:38:42 PM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
Order through Amazon and help blonde Poker
2262573 Posts in 66610 Topics by 16991 Members
Latest Member: nolankerwin
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Community Forums
| |-+  Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
| | |-+  Tips for Tikay		 0 Members and 15 Guests are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 1822 1823 1824 1825 [1826] 1827 1828 1829 1830 ... 9209 Go Down Print
Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16574954 times)
claypole
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 4086


View Profile
« Reply #27375 on: January 21, 2013, 12:24:56 AM »
Well done - congrats Mr Hawkins, what a legend
Logged
Bad Beat
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1187


View Profile
« Reply #27376 on: January 21, 2013, 12:32:54 AM »
If there is going to be a long discussion about greening I would suggest it should be done in the context of what the line "should" be, what we think it will be & whether there are other, better ways to hedge.

 Just fyi I think Patriots by 2 & 53 points or 49ers by 6.5 & 47 pts. Obviously it could change depending on what happens here, after all, we all know about recency.
Logged
Newportlad
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1789



View Profile
« Reply #27377 on: January 21, 2013, 12:34:03 AM »
Quote from: tikay on January 20, 2013, 11:22:35 PM

Next up, we are on UNDER 51.5 points in the Ravens v Pats game for £44 @ 10/11.

3-0 after the 1st quarter...
Logged
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #27378 on: January 21, 2013, 12:34:37 AM »

......recency.....

Smiley
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TL900
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2418



View Profile
« Reply #27379 on: January 21, 2013, 12:41:59 AM »
Ravens Ravens Ravens.

Im on Ravens @ 20/1 early in season, and 49ers along with Fred @ 6/1 so win here for the FreerollBowl
Logged
@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
Tal
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: 24288


"He's always at it!"


View Profile
« Reply #27380 on: January 21, 2013, 12:43:13 AM »
Quote from: Bad Beat on January 21, 2013, 12:32:54 AM
If there is going to be a long discussion about greening I would suggest it should be done in the context of what the line "should" be, what we think it will be & whether there are other, better ways to hedge.

 Just fyi I think Patriots by 2 & 53 points or 49ers by 6.5 & 47 pts. Obviously it could change depending on what happens here, after all, we all know about recency.

Yes and the ensuing discussion about recency is sure to be effortful.
Logged
"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Bad Beat
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1187


View Profile
« Reply #27381 on: January 21, 2013, 01:26:00 AM »
 Interesting moves. Pinny open Patriots vs 49ers at 2 and now they are pick em with the 9ers as a favourite (10/11).

 The Greek opened pick-em, despite waiting to see Pinny open and with the knowledge that Pinny were -2. They then immediately moved to -125 (4/5) the 49ers.

 Presumably, this 2nd half being a bit boring and low-scoring will make the 49ers closer to 1 pts fav vs the Patriots and 6.5 vs the Ravens.
Logged
Bad Beat
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1187


View Profile
« Reply #27382 on: January 21, 2013, 01:28:36 AM »
 All of that means they are a bet at the current evs with Betfair and definitely not a lay.

 77% of the time you have bet a 10/11 chance at evs and 23 % of the time you bet a 70% chance at evs.

 Nice work. If anyone wants to green I can help.
Logged
The Camel
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 17076


Under my tree, being a troll.


View Profile
« Reply #27383 on: January 21, 2013, 01:36:12 AM »
Quote from: Bad Beat on January 21, 2013, 01:28:36 AM
All of that means they are a bet at the current evs with Betfair and definitely not a lay.

 77% of the time you have bet a 10/11 chance at evs and 23 % of the time you bet a 70% chance at evs.

 Nice work. If anyone wants to green I can help.

The lines you quoted aren't the actual lines though.

SF were -1 at Atlanta at one stage while Atlanta were playing Seattle.
Logged
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
bobby1
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 9573



View Profile
« Reply #27384 on: January 21, 2013, 01:39:31 AM »
Just caught up with the day, magic reading. Well played men.

Cmon Ravens
Logged
“The two most important days in your life are the day you are born and the day you find out why.”
Bad Beat
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1187


View Profile
« Reply #27385 on: January 21, 2013, 01:45:57 AM »
 These are definitely live lines Keith. Currently pick-em and 53 at The Greek.

 Last week Pinny were taking $4,000 a go on that 1 (-120) line during the 2nd half of the Atlanta game.
Logged
Bad Beat
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1187


View Profile
« Reply #27386 on: January 21, 2013, 01:48:59 AM »
 It's pick-em with the 9ers at 5/6 with Pinny. Not sure what you mean, but these are bettable now.
Logged
The Camel
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 17076


Under my tree, being a troll.


View Profile
« Reply #27387 on: January 21, 2013, 01:50:36 AM »
In an 90 minutes time the lines will have $200k limits.

These are not definitive lines.
Logged
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
Sheriff Fatman
Global Moderator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: 5904



View Profile
« Reply #27388 on: January 21, 2013, 01:51:46 AM »
Big score for the Ravens.

What a hit Pitta took on the previous play too!
Logged
"...And If You Flash Him A Smile He'll Take Your Teeth As Deposit..."
"Sheriff Fatman" - Carter the Unstoppable Sex Machine

2006 Blonde Caption Comp Ultimate Champion (to be replaced by actual poker achievements when I have any)

GUKPT Online Main Event Winner 2008 (yay, a poker achievement!)
The Camel
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 17076


Under my tree, being a troll.


View Profile
« Reply #27389 on: January 21, 2013, 01:53:04 AM »
These lines are Pinny's version of early prices at Southwell at 10am.

Yes they are available to bet on, but have no realistic meaning to the true price, which will become clear about 15 minutes after this game ends.
Logged
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
Pages: 1 ... 1822 1823 1824 1825 [1826] 1827 1828 1829 1830 ... 9209 Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.246 seconds with 20 queries.