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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16737495 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #28125 on: January 27, 2013, 10:27:24 AM »

Bell has his 50.

This is very nearly a Live sweat now.

Bit much for a Sunday morning isn't it?

cricket and tennis sweat mode?
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« Reply #28126 on: January 27, 2013, 10:28:27 AM »


Daily Report as @ 0820, Sunday January 27th


A small profit ensued yesterday of £16.

Not quite as bad as it sounds on the day, as we had to absorb an aged bet which matured unsuccessfully yesterday & cost us £30.

The numbers do not include the settlement of the bets on the India England ODI series, where we face up to £70 of loss, but technically one of the bets remains in play. We will take those losses collectively tomorrow, so we start today £70 in debt.

Our losses yesterday were....

Norwich - Luton Goal scorer markets. Norwich failed to score, so they all went south for -£30.

Coventry, -£20

Barnsley draw saver -£10

Fulham to beat Man U. Bit of a misread as it turned out, & we knew our fate within the first minute. -£10.

DoI, Samia Ghadie, -£30.

Winners....

Barnsley, which was another great spot by Tighty, +£100. (£90 if we net off the £10 saver on the draw).

Sprinter Sacre, +£10, down to Doobs. One of those genuine "never in doubt" jobs, what a pleasure that was to watch.

Watford Over 2.5 goals, nice one Mr Sparrow, who gave two alternatives on the same match, & all three won! +£16.

Today, Liverpool face Oldham in the FA Cup, we are on Liverpool to win the Cup at 11/1.

At 8.30 this morning, & controversially, we are on Sir Andy Murray to win the Aussie Open.

We may have a wager on the Unders in tonight's Pro Bowl.

Fred has still not indulged in any Greening of the 49-ers position, where we stand to collect over £1,600 if they win, & lose £250 of it goes wrong.

The 49ers are generally a 4/7 shot, & the points line sits at -3.5, except for Wm Hill who go -4. 

How has Fred lost money on Samia Ghadie? Thanks to my wife watching the guff I know (or thought I did!) that she is still in.
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tikay
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« Reply #28127 on: January 27, 2013, 10:28:53 AM »

Bell has his 50.

This is very nearly a Live sweat now.

Bit much for a Sunday morning isn't it?

cricket and tennis sweat mode?

That Camel has owned me.
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tikay
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« Reply #28128 on: January 27, 2013, 10:29:50 AM »

Wobble - is Samia still in?

Hope so, I had heard she was eliminated?
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« Reply #28129 on: January 27, 2013, 10:32:13 AM »

Just checked, Samia is still in!

Great news, that gives me £30 I can add back in to the numbers tomorrow.

Freeroll!

Eddie looks nailed on though, Doobs spotted that early doors.
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Bad Beat
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« Reply #28130 on: January 27, 2013, 10:32:40 AM »

 Think Murray is decent value at 10/11 right now.
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« Reply #28131 on: January 27, 2013, 10:33:57 AM »


Bell 57 now.......
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« Reply #28132 on: January 27, 2013, 10:35:25 AM »

At 57

Cook 207
Pietersen 185
Bell 178
Root 157


Root of course could spoil it!
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« Reply #28133 on: January 27, 2013, 10:37:33 AM »

Haven't watched tennis for years and a few things spring to mind

1, Murray has baulked up a lot since I last saw him? POSITIVE

2, Why is he screaming like a lady tennis player, is that a new thing? NEGATIVE

3, Having played golf to a fairly high standard I can see when you "make your move", more favourable holes, suited to your game etc, but in tennis nothing changes so are they not trying at full capacity all game through, or is it a commentators "filler"?

Thoughts?
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tikay
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« Reply #28134 on: January 27, 2013, 10:39:34 AM »

Bell just hit a six......
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« Reply #28135 on: January 27, 2013, 10:41:06 AM »

At 57

Cook 207
Pietersen 185
Bell 178
Root 157


Root of course could spoil it!

bells looking tasty!

my remote is struggling with all this channel hopping on a sunday morning!
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TightEnd
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« Reply #28136 on: January 27, 2013, 10:42:02 AM »

Haven't watched tennis for years and a few things spring to mind

1, Murray has baulked up a lot since I last saw him? POSITIVE

2, Why is he screaming like a lady tennis player, is that a new thing? NEGATIVE

3, Having played golf to a fairly high standard I can see when you "make your move", more favourable holes, suited to your game etc, but in tennis nothing changes so are they not trying at full capacity all game through, or is it a commentators "filler"?

Thoughts?

Murray is fitter. He used to break down a lot but as he has matured he has naturally filled out and changed his diet/training

His temperament is also far better. Huge factor

Lendl a big advantage for the above two issues

Matches go through cycles, with dips and peaks in form.....

this looks like a five setter to me
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Bad Beat
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« Reply #28137 on: January 27, 2013, 10:46:16 AM »

 I bet the 9/2 3-0 Murray a little while ago. Looks fair to me.

 Novak has been distracted by his shoes and doesn't seem 100% at his best.

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« Reply #28138 on: January 27, 2013, 10:47:29 AM »

Haven't watched tennis for years and a few things spring to mind

1, Murray has baulked up a lot since I last saw him? POSITIVE

2, Why is he screaming like a lady tennis player, is that a new thing? NEGATIVE

3, Having played golf to a fairly high standard I can see when you "make your move", more favourable holes, suited to your game etc, but in tennis nothing changes so are they not trying at full capacity all game through, or is it a commentators "filler"?

Thoughts?

Murray is fitter. He used to break down a lot but as he has matured he has naturally filled out and changed his diet/training

His temperament is also far better. Huge factor

Lendl a big advantage for the above two issues

Matches go through cycles, with dips and peaks in form.....

this looks like a five setter to me

Granted matches go through ebbs and flows Tighty, but, what I mean is, no player in there head thinks"hmm, time to switch off", or "dont need to try as hard for next few games",so  how realistically can the "make their move comment" be justified. Just be pedantic, admittedly, must be having a Tal moment!
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« Reply #28139 on: January 27, 2013, 10:49:20 AM »

 Obviously the market can see the stuff I just said, but I do think Ladbrokes pricing model on this market works well and they were 9/4 to 114% at the time.
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