Tips for Tikay

[BigAdz]

Hi Camel, how you doing?
What you think of silv conti?  i think it looks very decent thought that was a very good run today in the conditions, and has looked very impressive in previous runs this season and last, jumps superb, how bigadzs puts his good jumping up as a minus point because it might not allways jump like that is a bit?? to me.
the horse you fancy looks like it has a chance but do you think its really a 'value' bet at 5/1?   good luck with it im hopefully off to devon and exeter tomorrow if the inspection is passed

Hi
I don't think SC superb jumping is a minus. My point is that it was superb yet won like it had little left at the end, ie if he don't jump that well again, he will struggle, especially over that little bit further.
Just my opinion, and I am often wrong.

[Karabiner]

Hi Camel, how you doing?
What you think of silv conti?  i think it looks very decent thought that was a very good run today in the conditions, and has looked very impressive in previous runs this season and last, jumps superb, how bigadzs puts his good jumping up as a minus point because it might not allways jump like that is a bit?? to me.
the horse you fancy looks like it has a chance but do you think its really a 'value' bet at 5/1?   good luck with it im hopefully off to devon and exeter tomorrow if the inspection is passed

Hi
I don't think SC superb jumping is a minus. My point is that it was superb yet won like it had little left at the end, ie if he don't jump that well again, he will struggle, especially over that little bit further.
Just my opinion, and I am often wrong.

I'm with you on this one Adz, SC looks a totally different horse this season but I can't quite erase the memory of last year where it chucked in the odd non-performance, plus the fact that as Reds says it's a very lean lanky beast and not as I would picture a GC winner.

[atdc21]

Hi adz no probs, we all look at it differently,
Sc has won 10 out of 15 races and the ones he lost were mostly 2-21/2 mile, also beat long run fair and square, i like the look of him .

[The Camel]

Hi adz no probs, we all look at it differently,
Sc has won 10 out of 15 races and the ones he lost were mostly 2-21/2 mile, also beat long run fair and square, i like the look of him .

3 out he looked like winning half the track.

While he never looked like losing, I don't think anyone could argue he was as impressive as he looked like being throughout the race.

[TightEnd]

An update on the QPR bet (to be relegated at 8/5)

The points gained by the sides finishing 17th in the Premier League in the last ten seasons are as follows

Click to see full-size image.

Mean is 37

QPR have 17 points from 26 games

and, on the 37 estimate, need 20 points from the final 12

Six wins, a couple of draws..or a win every other game from here

The unlikelihood of this is reflected in QPR going to 3/10 to go down

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/relegation

Newcastle's pick up in form, and Southampton's result yesterday effectively makes it 3 from 4 to go,making it even tougher for QPR

of course Swansea yesterday was a bad result, but most worrying to me appeared to be Samba playing as if, to quote one journalist "his wallet in his pocket was weighing him down"


cliffs: This bet should win

[BigAdz]

The mighty Hugh Taylor has followed The Camel in on Bitaphon and crushed the price. Hope TfTers are on already. Now about 7-2

[Tal]

If villa win today, 3/10 for QPR might tighten further

[OverTheBorder]

An update on the QPR bet (to be relegated at 8/5)

The points gained by the sides finishing 17th in the Premier League in the last ten seasons are as follows

Click to see full-size image.

Mean is 37

QPR have 17 points from 26 games

and, on the 37 estimate, need 20 points from the final 12

Six wins, a couple of draws..or a win every other game from here

The unlikelihood of this is reflected in QPR going to 3/10 to go down

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/relegation

Newcastle's pick up in form, and Southampton's result yesterday effectively makes it 3 from 4 to go,making it even tougher for QPR

of course Swansea yesterday was a bad result, but most worrying to me appeared to be Samba playing as if, to quote one journalist "his wallet in his pocket was weighing him down"


cliffs: This bet should win

Love the picture, good old fashioned pen and paper research! Great tip tighty, never lost faith (cough lol)

[hector62]

Bonjour Monsieur T.

Today Ireland play England. We are already on the draw, which is a decent bet, and with both teams at evens there is nothing to grab you and say value there. I expect a close game but I do expect the Irish to prevail, especially as England are not starting their one world class player, and maybe with no tries in the game. It has meant to have rained overnight so I think a big forward dominated battle will be seen.

I have turned my attention to the man of the match award, generally given to a player from the winning side. The way England play, lots of offloading, means there will be a lot of contesting around the impact area, and with a wet ball I can see the Irish back row having lots of opportunities to impress the panel.

Suggest J. Heaslip £5 @ 14-1 Paddy Power
            S O'Brien £5 @  8-1 Paddy Power

[tikay]

Thanks Tighty.

QPR's remaining fixtures........


http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/queens-park-rangers/fixtures

[TightEnd]

Bonjour Monsieur T.

Today Ireland play England. We are already on the draw, which is a decent bet, and with both teams at evens there is nothing to grab you and say value there. I expect a close game but I do expect the Irish to prevail, especially as England are not starting their one world class player, and maybe with no tries in the game. It has meant to have rained overnight so I think a big forward dominated battle will be seen.

I have turned my attention to the man of the match award, generally given to a player from the winning side. The way England play, lots of offloading, means there will be a lot of contesting around the impact area, and with a wet ball I can see the Irish back row having lots of opportunities to impress the panel.

Suggest J. Heaslip £5 @ 14-1 Paddy Power
            S O'Brien £5 @  8-1 Paddy Power

It is wet in Dublin

Forward dominated, wet ball, lots of kicking etc all along the right lines I think

Looking forward to seeing us test the bolter Zebo under the high ball!

[tikay]

Bonjour Monsieur T.

Today Ireland play England. We are already on the draw, which is a decent bet, and with both teams at evens there is nothing to grab you and say value there. I expect a close game but I do expect the Irish to prevail, especially as England are not starting their one world class player, and maybe with no tries in the game. It has meant to have rained overnight so I think a big forward dominated battle will be seen.

I have turned my attention to the man of the match award, generally given to a player from the winning side. The way England play, lots of offloading, means there will be a lot of contesting around the impact area, and with a wet ball I can see the Irish back row having lots of opportunities to impress the panel.

Suggest J. Heaslip £5 @ 14-1 Paddy Power
            S O'Brien £5 @  8-1 Paddy Power

Morning wannabe CESM, & thank you.

I really don't know how you come up with therse quirky ones, but I seem to recall you gave us a Man of the Match previously, in Rugby League perhaps?

Anyway, off we jolly well go.

Unforch......

Paddy Power would only allow me £3.17 on Heaslip, so I trimmed it to a nice round £3. I could have had as much as £5.50 on O'Brien, though.......looks like I am being restricted on some of their smaller markets. Never mind, it is what it is.

We have £3 on J Heaslip, MOTM, @ 8/1, Paddy Power, & £5 on S O'Brien, MOTM, 14/1, Paddy Power

ON

10/02/2013 Single To Win J Heaslip @ 14/1
Man of the Match
Ireland v England Pending £3.00   
10/02/2013 Single To Win S O'Brien @ 8/1
Man of the Match
Ireland v England Pending £5.00 

[tikay]

Presumably, today is MONSTA HUGE for our bet on Ireland to win 6 Nations?

I also note that Wales are now 16/1 to be Woden Spooners.

Ireland it is, then. 

[Tal]

First time I went to Dublin, this statue had not long been installed:

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

One of the most accurate bronzes I've seen.

[TightEnd]

Presumably, today is MONSTA HUGE for our bet on Ireland to win 6 Nations?

I also note that Wales are now 16/1 to be Woden Spooners.

Ireland it is, then. 

It's a big match, but i would still maintain that no team is likely to run the table and win the grand slam

Either of England or Ireland could lose today and win the championship, or share it (ie still a winner for us)

The essence of the bet (Ireland 3 games at home, including Eng and France) is intact as Ireland are in with a  decent shot even if they lose