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maldini32
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« Reply #30060 on: February 13, 2013, 03:29:38 PM » |
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I like the assist, if as expected hes man marked, more space for benzrma, ozil, and di Maria to notch.
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redarmi
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« Reply #30061 on: February 13, 2013, 03:30:20 PM » |
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Think the assist to goal ratio is wrong and just generally think a sell of goal at 30 couldn't ever be a bad play and tempted to think a buy of assist at 6 is alright too. Whats your thinking?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #30062 on: February 13, 2013, 03:30:34 PM » |
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Quite like Ronaldo assist at 6 edit just after redarmi! |
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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The Camel
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« Reply #30063 on: February 13, 2013, 03:34:55 PM » |
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Selling goal at 30 doesn't look terrible business to me.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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AndrewT
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« Reply #30064 on: February 13, 2013, 03:34:59 PM » |
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I'm no expert on these types of markets but one of the events must happen (as 'plays 90 mins' covers none of the others happening), so adding up all the quotes, you get a spread of 44-58 on a 50 makeup, which seems very much a lol overround (or whatever the spread equivalent of an overround is) |
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horseplayer
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« Reply #30065 on: February 13, 2013, 03:36:23 PM » |
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Quite like Ronaldo assist at 6 edit just after redarmi! ronaldo has 6 assists in 35 games this season |
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The Camel
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« Reply #30066 on: February 13, 2013, 03:36:49 PM » |
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I'm no expert on these types of markets but one of the events must happen (as 'plays 90 mins' covers none of the others happening), so adding up all the quotes, you get a spread of 44-58 on a 50 makeup, which seems very much a lol overround (or whatever the spread equivalent of an overround is) This is true. |
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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redarmi
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« Reply #30067 on: February 13, 2013, 03:37:55 PM » |
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Selling goal at 30 doesn't look terrible business to me.
Yeah the more i think about it the better it is. Effectively you are saying he has less than a 60% chance of scoring AND you could still win by one of a few of the other things happening first. I make it that he has a 56% chance of scoring on my most pro Ronaldo figures. |
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horseplayer
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« Reply #30068 on: February 13, 2013, 03:38:15 PM » |
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just seen this on twitter ( well the stats anyway)
ANDY HAMILTON most 180's v james wade 10-11 boylesports (bit of a standout price)
wade has 1 max in 52 legs 6 in last 87. 8 in last 104.
i have no idea of hamiltons form or stats but by default my thinking is this is a bet possibly a max type?
feedback please
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The Camel
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« Reply #30069 on: February 13, 2013, 03:38:36 PM » |
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Quite like Ronaldo assist at 6 edit just after redarmi! ronaldo has 6 assists in 35 games this season Sample size is pretty small. Also he's more likely to be selfish and go for goal rather than pass to a team mate in a marginally better position when RM are 3-0 up isn't he? |
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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redarmi
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« Reply #30070 on: February 13, 2013, 03:40:22 PM » |
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Quite like Ronaldo assist at 6 edit just after redarmi! ronaldo has 6 assists in 35 games this season Whilst this is true he has 17% of their assists in CL games according to some stats I saw. Also he is very likely to be double teamed here by a team that know him very well so will probably be less likely to get room to score but might be able to create room for others. |
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The Camel
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« Reply #30071 on: February 13, 2013, 03:41:37 PM » |
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At it Bradley must be reading this thread.
Down to 29-32
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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horseplayer
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« Reply #30072 on: February 13, 2013, 03:41:50 PM » |
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Quite like Ronaldo assist at 6 edit just after redarmi! ronaldo has 6 assists in 35 games this season Sample size is pretty small. Also he's more likely to be selfish and go for goal rather than pass to a team mate in a marginally better position when RM are 3-0 up isn't he? yes he is real madrid have not been in that position to often this season though his assists in general at real madrid have never been that high he had 10 all season in 2010-2011 and a similar number last season no idea about the spread and what it means for that (have not looked) |
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tikay
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« Reply #30073 on: February 13, 2013, 03:42:11 PM » |
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just seen this on twitter ( well the stats anyway)
ANDY HAMILTON most 180's v james wade 10-11 boylesports (bit of a standout price)
wade has 1 max in 52 legs 6 in last 87. 8 in last 104.
i have no idea of hamiltons form or stats but by default my thinking is this is a bet possibly a max type?
feedback please
Quite posibly, yes. Any Darts chaps around? The Market is here..... http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/andy-hamilton-v-james-wade/most-180s |
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016). |
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horseplayer
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« Reply #30074 on: February 13, 2013, 03:43:07 PM » |
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Quite like Ronaldo assist at 6 edit just after redarmi! ronaldo has 6 assists in 35 games this season Whilst this is true he has 17% of their assists in CL games according to some stats I saw. Also he is very likely to be double teamed here by a team that know him very well so will probably be less likely to get room to score but might be able to create room for others. to be fair he is double teamed quite regularly also creating room does not equate to an assist he has 1 assist in 6 champions league games this season |
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