Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

The 3rd ODI takes place in Auckland overnight our time

This was the ground on which we achieved a sixes overs bet after one innings a fortnight ago, if everyone remembers. The quote was set at 13, it made up 23, in T20

It's at Eden Park, a dual purpose rugby/cricket round with very short straight boundaries

In the two ODIs in the series so far

1. Hamilton 55 boundaries, 46 fours, 9 sixes. NZ chased and won

2 Napier 54 boundaries 45 fours 9 sixes, Eng chased and won

Auckland is a drop in pitch, quick and true, in favour of batsmen


It is tempting to go overs on sixes. The line is set at 12.5. However the composition of the teams is markedly different to the T20 line ups

For NZ, Guptill is injured and really only B McCullum is a big six hitter

For England Hales, Lumb, Luke Wright are gone and in come Cook, Trott, Root with Bell in the top 4

So for England the top 4 are accumulators, and not "launch it" guys. They come with Morgan and Buttler at 5 and 6

So, I am but reluctant to go for the sixes


However, there represents a real opportunity on the Boundaries market, because

William Hill go 52.5 each of two under/over at 5/6

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/new-zealand-v-england/odi-series/new-zealand-v-england-%5B3rd-odi%5D/total-boundaries

and Cook, Trott, Root etc should be in their element in Auckland, without us having to watch them nurdle around while we want sixes


52.5 has been beaten on both games so far, both on bigger grounds. Albeit Napier was very short square rather than straight

This wicket is also true

The straight dimensions of this ground mean, as we saw in the T20, that you can mishit boundaries


After I researched, I came up with a quote in my head before I looked at the market. I had 60 in mind for a boundary total

I would like to recommend a chunky bet on the overs 5/6 at 52.5


Risks?

NZ are probably the more fragile batting team, especially at 1-3. If they bat first, and Anderson/Finn get among them then we might get a lower first innings total than we need (first two games 258 and 270)

That's a chance worth taking
 
 

[TightEnd]

Meanwhile, on a twitter Q and A I asked Will Carling the following

@willcarling The French have picked a much better team, back to the line up that did so well in the Autumn. They must have a very good chance tomorrow?

and he replied

Hi @tighty yes they have picked a much better side (sadly!)and I think they will show far more of their November form. I think it will be a very close game


The French might not win at 3-1, but its great value if Carling, and less importantly I, is correct.

[tikay]

The 3rd ODI takes place in Auckland overnight our time

This was the ground on which we achieved a sixes overs bet after one innings a fortnight ago, if everyone remembers. The quote was set at 13, it made up 23, in T20

It's at Eden Park, a dual purpose rugby/cricket round with very short straight boundaries

In the two ODIs in the series so far

1. Hamilton 55 boundaries, 46 fours, 9 sixes. NZ chased and won

2 Napier 54 boundaries 45 fours 9 sixes, Eng chased and won

Auckland is a drop in pitch, quick and true, in favour of batsmen


It is tempting to go overs on sixes. The line is set at 12.5. However the composition of the teams is markedly different to the T20 line ups

For NZ, Guptill is injured and really only B McCullum is a big six hitter

For England Hales, Lumb, Luke Wright are gone and in come Cook, Trott, Root with Bell in the top 4

So for England the top 4 are accumulators, and not "launch it" guys. They come with Morgan and Buttler at 5 and 6

So, I am but reluctant to go for the sixes


However, there represents a real opportunity on the Boundaries market, because

William Hill go 52.5 each of two under/over at 5/6

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/new-zealand-v-england/odi-series/new-zealand-v-england-%5B3rd-odi%5D/total-boundaries

and Cook, Trott, Root etc should be in their element in Auckland, without us having to watch them nurdle around while we want sixes


52.5 has been beaten on both games so far, both on bigger grounds. Albeit Napier was very short square rather than straight

This wicket is also true

The straight dimensions of this ground mean, as we saw in the T20, that you can mishit boundaries


After I researched, I came up with a quote in my head before I looked at the market. I had 60 in mind for a boundary total

I would like to recommend a chunky bet on the overs 5/6 at 52.5


Risks?

NZ are probably the more fragile batting team, especially at 1-3. If they bat first, and Anderson/Finn get among them then we might get a lower first innings total than we need (first two games 258 and 270)

That's a chance worth taking
 
 

Thanks Rich.

I'm not overly sure how to define "chunky", but for now, we've had £60. Happy to have a little more if need be, though I'm comfy with that. One never knows, we must not gamble too much.....

We have £60 @ 5/6, Wm Hill, OVER 52.5 Boundaries, New Zealand v Engerland B-B-B.

ON

23 Feb 2013 - New Zealand v England - 3rd ODI - Total Match Boundaries

Tip ItOver (52.5) @ 5/6

Stake : £60.00
Estimated Returns : £110.00Transaction Reference:O/0457483/0000268/F

[millidonk]

The French might not win at 3-1, but its great value if Carling, and less importantly I, is correct.

are correct surely?

[TightEnd]

The French might not win at 3-1, but its great value if Carling, and less importantly I, is correct.

are correct surely?

Tal@grammarbores.com for a subscription sir

[Tal]

The French might not win at 3-1, but its great value if Carling, and less importantly I, is correct.

are correct surely?

MilliTal

[tikay]

In proper cricket stuff, we are on Pujara as Top Series Little Batter Bloke in the Australia v India Test Match thingy.

The first Test has begunned....

Australia were 316/7 at close of play. Clarke 103 NO, Henriques 68, WArner 59.

Not sure if that tells us much, at first glance it suggests the wicket is reasonable, so I think that is a good thing for the commencement of our bet.

http://www.espncricinfo.com/india-v-australia-2013/engine/match/598812.html

[millidonk]

The French might not win at 3-1, but its great value if Carling, and less importantly I, is correct.

are correct surely?

Tal@grammarbores.com for a subscription sir

I tried that address but it doesn't seem to be working! Tal@stoppingpeoplekillourlanguage.com is fine though.

[tikay]

The French might not win at 3-1, but its great value if Carling, and less importantly I, is correct.

are correct surely?

Tal@grammarbores.com for a subscription sir

Attaboy!

[doubleup]

McDowell must surely be worth £10 ew in the golf at 34 betfred or betfair fixed odds.  He is 5.5 to win his bracket and the ew portion of the bet is the same bet at 9.25.

[Tal]

I let the typo and the misplaced comma go. Hard to see how this is my fault.

I'm less anal than my reputation suggests.

[tikay]

McDowell must surely be worth £10 ew in the golf at 34 betfred or betfair fixed odds.  He is 5.5 to win his bracket and the ew portion of the bet is the same bet at 9.25.

Thanks 2xUp.

Was hoping he may get some love.

I have already had some off-thread interest in McDowell, but I can stand a little more.

I'll get on shortlyish.

[doubleup]

McDowell must surely be worth £10 ew in the golf at 34 betfred or betfair fixed odds.  He is 5.5 to win his bracket and the ew portion of the bet is the same bet at 9.25.

Thanks 2xUp.

Was hoping he may get some love.

I have already had some off-thread interest in McDowell, but I can stand a little more.

I'll get on shortlyish.

you could actually lay off the win bit on the exchange and be left with a bracket bet at almost double odds

[TightEnd]

In proper cricket stuff, we are on Pujara as Top Series Little Batter Bloke in the Australia v India Test Match thingy.

The first Test has begunned....

Australia were 316/7 at close of play. Clarke 103 NO, Henriques 68, WArner 59.

Not sure if that tells us much, at first glance it suggests the wicket is reasonable, so I think that is a good thing for the commencement of our bet.

http://www.espncricinfo.com/india-v-australia-2013/engine/match/598812.html

The wicket resembled a pot hole ridden b road.

Inexplicably India left out Ojha and it turned square, with nasty bounce before lunch

Ashwin took the first six wickets with spin, and Clarke's innings was a thing of beauty

Fortunately for India, Australia has shown no evidence to date of having match winning spinners and have picked three quicks, which is superflous


For the bet, Pujara is technically very solid. I think playing on result pitches suits us as the flat track bullies like Sehwag are not going to find it easy

[tikay]

McDowell must surely be worth £10 ew in the golf at 34 betfred or betfair fixed odds.  He is 5.5 to win his bracket and the ew portion of the bet is the same bet at 9.25.

Thanks 2xUp.

Was hoping he may get some love.

I have already had some off-thread interest in McDowell, but I can stand a little more.

I'll get on shortlyish.

you could actually lay off the win bit on the exchange and be left with a bracket bet at almost double odds

You may have to explain that s....l....o....w...l....y.

For now, I'll get on as originally advised. We can mess about once I'm on if need be.