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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16350642 times)
tikay
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« Reply #33540 on: March 12, 2013, 02:24:10 PM »



Hills now go 15/8 MTOY.......

Now backed it each way.  With all the other bets, I was getting a bit light on MTOY!  We are obviously too late to take the 4/5 Quevega as we are already well invested, but added to my own bets.

I think betting should be profitable, fun shouldn't be the main consideration.  I don't really think it should be a consideration at all, though you'd have to be pretty odd to at least not smile at getting one over on the bookies.

Given we bet £250 on the 9ers, £90 on Quevega and £100 on spurs, it seems reasonable to bet a bit more than the "max" on this race.  Once you have backed 7, you are certain to get something back, so it isn't like you are risking the max.  This is barring some freak event such as a mass pile up, and assuming that one of the absolute rags gets placed.  So if we back 6 as proposed (I understand we already have MTOY), then you have to be extremely risk averse/pessimistic to be thinking that getting nothing back is something we should seriously worry about.

I can fully understand the wish to cut down on £600 though, and I don't as a rule like breaking maximums.  But on this one special occasion, when William Hill are underound the place betting by something like 34%, then £250/£300 seems fine.

Thread chief risk officer.


MTOY - NO, the MTOY bet Fred has is WIN ONLY.

I have backed the Favoured Five as follows, but I have NOT had any EW on MTOY, who is now quoted @ 15/8.

These 5 bets are ALL additional to our existing portfolio, & are all EW.

Cheltenian, £20 EW @ 20/1
Cause of Causes, £20 EW @ 25/1
Puffin Billy, £30 EW @ 12/1

Champagne Fever £70 EW @ 4/1

Jezki, £70 EW @ 9/2

All with William Hill, quarter odds, BOG, FIVE places paid.

ON

12 Mar 13 / 11:52  Single (EW) 1   1:30 Cheltenham  –  Win Cheltenian @ Guaranteed Price (20/1) – £40.00 O/0457483/0000312/F 
12 Mar 13 / 11:59  Single (EW) 1   1:30 Cheltenham  –  Win Cause Of Causes @ Guaranteed Price (25/1) – £40.00 O/0457483/0000311/F 
12 Mar 13 / 12:08  Single (EW) 1   1:30 Cheltenham  –  Win Puffin Billy @ Guaranteed Price (12/1) – £60.00 O/0457483/0000310/F 
12 Mar 13 / 12:15  Single (EW) 1   1:30 Cheltenham  –  Win Champagne Fever @ Guaranteed Price (4/1) – £140.00 O/0457483/0000309/F 
12 Mar 13 / 12:23  Single (EW) 1   1:30 Cheltenham  –  Win Jezki @ Guaranteed Price (9/2) – £140.00 O/0457483/0000308/F
 


Bumped.

Think we got away with it, or nearly so?

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TightEnd
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« Reply #33541 on: March 12, 2013, 02:24:24 PM »

Boom!?

BOOM?

I think that is a good result!
Lol I can't work it out, feels it?

£70 e/w the winner at 4-1

two places in the top 5? Jezki and Puffin Billy

Net the thread has to be up
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peejaytwo
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« Reply #33542 on: March 12, 2013, 02:24:56 PM »

Boom
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« Reply #33543 on: March 12, 2013, 02:27:09 PM »

Boom!?

BOOM?

I think that is a good result!
Lol I can't work it out, feels it?

£70 e/w the winner at 4-1

two places in the top 5? Jezki and Puffin Billy

Net the thread has to be up

This

Are we owed a free bet somewhere because MTOY was beat?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #33544 on: March 12, 2013, 02:27:20 PM »

You will get 5-1 the winner and third, and then 14s the other place I think it returned?

So pretty decent profit
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TightEnd
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« Reply #33545 on: March 12, 2013, 02:27:52 PM »

I reckon £280-300 up for the thread on the race including all ante-post, and a £50 free bet now MTOY beaten

Compliance can confirm
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« Reply #33546 on: March 12, 2013, 02:29:02 PM »


There must be ONE dissenter to shovelling all this money on?

Where's the Awkard Brigade?

Have more on Champagne Fever and you've forgotten MTOY, if that touches 2/1, worth a max ew too imo.

cough cough
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« Reply #33547 on: March 12, 2013, 02:29:23 PM »

I reckon £280-300 up for the thread on the race including all ante-post, and a £50 free bet now MTOY beaten

Compliance can confirm

Awesome work
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tikay
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« Reply #33548 on: March 12, 2013, 02:29:54 PM »

Boom!?

BOOM?

I think that is a good result!
Lol I can't work it out, feels it?

£70 e/w the winner at 4-1

two places in the top 5? Jezki and Puffin Billy

Net the thread has to be up

This

Are we owed a free bet somewhere because MTOY was beat?

Correct. We were on with Betfred, "£50 Free Bet if beaten".

Not sure what we do with that, or when. Does it have to be at Cheltenham?
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« Reply #33549 on: March 12, 2013, 02:30:33 PM »

You will get 5-1 the winner and third, and then 14s the other place I think it returned?

So pretty decent profit
16s for Puffin BOG




Some big double legs at 4:30!
« Last Edit: March 12, 2013, 02:32:06 PM by rfgqqabc » Logged

[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
bobby1
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« Reply #33550 on: March 12, 2013, 02:31:05 PM »

quite superb from walsh

game animal as well

did you see the time thy ran Horse, I was on the phone and missed it.

tx
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peejaytwo
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« Reply #33551 on: March 12, 2013, 02:31:26 PM »

Real lol moments thinking of Tikay settling all the Fred bets/refunds
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« Reply #33552 on: March 12, 2013, 02:32:02 PM »

Nice one Tikay and everyone else.
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« Reply #33553 on: March 12, 2013, 02:33:04 PM »

quite superb from walsh

game animal as well

did you see the time thy ran Horse, I was on the phone and missed it.

tx

only 1.5 seconds slower than last year's Supreme, when the ground was described by Timeform as good

sorry bobby not actual answer
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« Reply #33554 on: March 12, 2013, 02:33:36 PM »

Boom!?

BOOM?

I think that is a good result!
Lol I can't work it out, feels it?

£70 e/w the winner at 4-1

two places in the top 5? Jezki and Puffin Billy

Net the thread has to be up

This

Are we owed a free bet somewhere because MTOY was beat?

Correct. We were on with Betfred, "£50 Free Bet if beaten".

Not sure what we do with that, or when. Does it have to be at Cheltenham?

Yeah it has to be Chelts, thoughts on free bet also plz ?
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