Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Peter "snakebite" Wright wins 6-2.
His next opponent Osbourne won 6-5 with a 81 average so he would need yo up his game by about 10 points to trouble our Man.

Top work Snowy, thanks.

[BigAdz]

Couple for consideration

Grand National
The recent profile, possibly due to course changes, has seen the quality horses fare a lot more consistently in the National the last few years. We have seen plenty of what I would call "nearly horses" doing well, those that have run well in top flight races without ever doing the biz.
One horses that fits the bill and has gone under the radar this year is What A Friend. No one can accuse me of any sentimental atatchment to this horse, I have never backed it, but it looks to have been its target for a while.
It ran in the race two years ago and was 12-1, when only 8 yrs old, normally a year or so too young for the trendmeisters. It jumped in the main very well but was hampered first time round at Beechers and D Jacob was almost out the side door and did well to recover. He went prominent until a mistake at the Canal Turn told late on , along with plenty of scrimaging. Nonetheless it was a good grounding over the fences.
Non runner no bet he is 50s generally, and for the brave he is 130s on Betty.

In the Masters, again a player I have never backed before. Lee Westwood.
Outstanding recent Masters record over last 3 years something like 4th last year, 11th year before and 2nd year before that.
Not been finishing well this year but reportedly happy with his game and getting in uninterupted practice, he is in a good place.
The Shell Open this week is set up to play like a Masters warm up with slick greens etc, and he has started well. Should he place high his price will contract and I like the fact they have a week between this and the Masters, so any glory and over confidence can subside.

at 28-1 6 places with PP, again I would ask for thoughts on a v quiet GF.

Happy easter all
[/quote


I know this was poo poo'd by red, but Westwood currently on a charge in Shell Open, and some of the prices on him shortening for Masters. Oddschecker has him at 23s on Betty, yet still 28s on VC bet first 5 places. Must be value if beating betty?! was 28 PP first 6 but now 25s

Beating Betty, yes, suggests value, but it would be easy to over-value his current position in the Shell Houston Open - one shot covers the top FOURTEEN players, 5 on 10 under & 9 on 9 under.

Bit like a bunch finish in a  horse race, there is rarely a world-beater there.

Ok. White flag time

[tikay]

Ha!

Cue Westwood romping The Masters by 6 shots.

[BigAdz]

Pretty sure will be be ahead of Sned!

[kukushkin88]

Ha!

Cue Westwood romping The Masters by 6 shots.

He won't win. His long game looks as poor as it's been for a long time and although his short game is looking a little better it won't be good enough if he is out of position at Augusta.

[BigAdz]

Can quickly get a complex here.

[kukushkin88]

Can quickly get a complex here.

It's not anything personal :-). Any interest in a friendly £50 or £100 bet for Houston tomorrow? Westwood vs Keegan Bradley 18 hole match bet even money with the tie as a push.(happy for someone to escrow if needed)

[BigAdz]

I dont especially fancy Westwood tomorrow, thats the point. I just thought a good show this week would help see his odds shrink, and thus present us with some beloved value.

My bet this weekend was actually a 2x2 ew double

Bradley/Speight

Ilonen/Howell

So I am in fact hoping Bradley does the biz especially if Illonen and pull something out of the Moroccan bag.

Gladly have a bet over one of next few events tho mate

[Bazzaboy]

Grachev 96 - 94 Erdei
Grachev 96 - 94 Erdei
Grachev 94 - 96 Erdei


I scored it 97-93 to Erdei.  We run good!!

[tikay]

Grachev 96 - 94 Erdei
Grachev 96 - 94 Erdei
Grachev 94 - 96 Erdei


I scored it 97-93 to Erdei.  We run good!!

Ha! Was just looking for that result.

You are too good at this boxing lark Bazza, well done.

A small profit on the day has now ensued.

[booder]

You are too good at this boxing lark Bazza, well done.

 

[aaron1867]

I am getting a bit obsessed with the odds for the relegation dogfight in the Championship, but yet again I see some more fantastic value...

Blackburn to get relegated are priced generally at 7/1, but Ladbrokes are offering us massive value at 12/1!!! Laddies are generally best price on quite a few teams in the battle of the bottom, but 12/1 is huge here.

I would suggest it as a recc for Fred, but we already have enough interest in this already with Wolves and Birmingham.

Blackburn 2 points away from 22nd and 3 from 23rd.

Blackburn not won in the last 10 league games, confidence must be so low and two next games look to be crucial to if they are going to be down there. The next two are against Cardiff (AWAY) and Wednesday (AWAY), perhaps likely to lose at cardiff and a loss against Wednesday or a draw is likely to see them dragged right into the mire. I can't see them picking up points in those two, so that they move away...

They are probably the only in the bottom half who are picking up hardly anything these days

They don't have a nice set of fixtures in general...

Cardiff (A)
Wednesday (A)
Derby (H)
Huddersfield (H) - Think this will be a huge game for both
Watford (A)
Millwall (A)
Palace (H)
Birmingham (A)

I am on Wolves & Blackburn and officially done with this market, but 12's is such a good price.

[doubleup]

Can quickly get a complex here.

I don't care if he's 100-1, I'm never putting another penny on him.  I would love to see him win a major but he misses crucial putts and gets bizarrely unlucky far too often.

[redarmi]

Can quickly get a complex here.

I don't care if he's 100-1, I'm never putting another penny on him.  I would love to see him win a major but he misses crucial putts and gets bizarrely unlucky far too often.

Wouldn't get a complex BigAdz it is just opinions but realistically what price would you make Westwood? 

[rfgqqabc]

Why oh why didn't I back Blackpool to go down, 15/2 best price now. This beats betfair by a bit although the spread is 5.4-7.6 with only £32-12 on. Might be worth £8 for Fred but with PP so maybe not worth it for account reasons.