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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16368880 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #37305 on: April 12, 2013, 10:54:07 AM »

Fred's County Cricket Book

Middlesex, £50 EW @ 7/1. Tighty.

Durham to finish bottom of Div 1, £20 @ 13/2. gherkin

Rogers, Top Scoring Batsman or Captain?, £40 @ 7/2. gherkin

Simon Kaitch, Top Div 2 Batsman, £10 @ 20/1. gherkin

Hampshire, Div 2, £40 @ 4/1. Tighty.

Northants, Div 2, £10 EW @ 20/1


Hampshire=gherkin

Northants=me

Rogers=top scoring captain
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tikay
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« Reply #37306 on: April 12, 2013, 10:56:47 AM »

Fred's County Cricket Book

Middlesex, £50 EW @ 7/1. Tighty.

Durham to finish bottom of Div 1, £20 @ 13/2. gherkin

Rogers, Top Scoring Batsman or Captain?, £40 @ 7/2. gherkin

Simon Kaitch, Top Div 2 Batsman, £10 @ 20/1. gherkin

Hampshire, Div 2, £40 @ 4/1. Tighty.

Northants, Div 2, £10 EW @ 20/1


Hampshire=gherkin

Northants=me

Rogers=top scoring captain

Ahh, thanks Tighty. That was my error, but please blame Mere.
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« Reply #37307 on: April 12, 2013, 10:56:57 AM »

Ahead of the CL draw..what price would you make Bayern Munich to win the CL, and out of the 4 remaining teams where would you have them in the betting, 1,2,3 or 4?

no cheating..
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tikay
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« Reply #37308 on: April 12, 2013, 10:57:26 AM »


A reminder of our Masters book so far.



Outright

Snedeker, £25 WIN @ 25/1 (2 under)

Tiger Woods, £30 EW @ 6/1 (2 under)

Rory McIllroy, £25 EW @ 12/1 (Evens)

Phil Mickelson, £25 EW @ 16/1 (1 under)

Justin Rose, £50 EW @ 22/1 (2 under)

First Round Leader

Lee Westwood, £15 EW @ 33/1 - LOST

Justin Rose, £15 EW @ 18/1 - LOST

Charl Schwartzel, £15 EW @ 28/1 - LOST


Top Amateur

Weaver, £60 @ 4.6 (6 over, in bad shape)

Top Debutant

Coetzee £15 EW @ 7/1 (3 over)

Henley £15 EW @ 7/1 (Par)

Lynn £10 EW @ 12/1 (4 under)

Invested so far - £515 approx.

Updated to reflect losses so far - our three "1st round Leaders" all lost, so £90 lost so far.

Our five "Outrights" are all there, or thereabouts, we are in pretty good shape with those 5 so far.

Our Top Amateur bet is in bad shape.

Our "Top Debutant" selections are a mxed bag, with Lynn the outstanding one.

Not so bad really, & we have plenty of sweats going into Day Two.

I think you put some loose change on my golfists with Paddy Power.  Furyk and Scott are doing well, Stricker not so much.  He was 5 over and I had mentally written it off, but he came back to 1 over so you never know.

Well, yes & no - I'll Bump a Post from last night which addresses that.
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« Reply #37309 on: April 12, 2013, 10:59:55 AM »

Aftertiming Alert

Some bets for The Masters were put up after I logged off last night, & I'd earlier said I would not be able to action them.

In fact, I DID get the Doobsy stuff on late this morning (from the Car Park of Watford Gap Services....) , but only for very small money indeed, I got heavily restricted by Paddy Power. For the three EW Bets, (22/1, 70/1 & 70/1) my total staked was, incredibly, only £8.

I was also kindly worded by Mr Channing that Ladbrokes were going 16/1 Mickelson until Noon, & I got some of that, too, £20 EW @ 16/1.

I did NOT place the proposed bet by Sharky, as there had been much poo-pooing of it, but welcome aboard Sharky, please hang around, & I'm pretty sure we will soon be making love. We seem to have gained a lot of new, insighful, regulars, the more the better imo, so thank you.

As to those Bets I placed this morning, I'm not sure it would be compliant for Fred to confirm they are on AFTER the Event has started, so unless it is agreed otherwise, I'll keep them for myself. I'll re-affirm our Masters Book a bit later, so we can better keep track of all the money we will win.

Bumped for Doobsy.

The Post was made at about 6pm last night.

Stewards Inquiry Incoming.

I have the BetSlips of course, currently "off-thread", but the bets were placed around 11am yesterday morning, & I could not get on blonde to state that at the time. It makes no difference to me either way, financially.
« Last Edit: April 12, 2013, 11:03:13 AM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #37310 on: April 12, 2013, 11:05:58 AM »

Ahead of the CL draw..what price would you make Bayern Munich to win the CL, and out of the 4 remaining teams where would you have them in the betting, 1,2,3 or 4?

no cheating..

Personally I would make them favourites at 6/4 but I guess the bookies will have them 3rd behind the Spanish teams at about 3-1.

BTW nice snooker tip TYVM>
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tikay
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« Reply #37311 on: April 12, 2013, 11:09:18 AM »

Ahead of the CL draw..what price would you make Bayern Munich to win the CL, and out of the 4 remaining teams where would you have them in the betting, 1,2,3 or 4?

no cheating..

Personally I would make them favourites at 6/4 but I guess the bookies will have them 3rd behind the Spanish teams at about 3-1.

BTW nice snooker tip TYVM>



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« Reply #37312 on: April 12, 2013, 11:13:33 AM »

Aftertiming Alert

Some bets for The Masters were put up after I logged off last night, & I'd earlier said I would not be able to action them.

In fact, I DID get the Doobsy stuff on late this morning (from the Car Park of Watford Gap Services....) , but only for very small money indeed, I got heavily restricted by Paddy Power. For the three EW Bets, (22/1, 70/1 & 70/1) my total staked was, incredibly, only £8.

I was also kindly worded by Mr Channing that Ladbrokes were going 16/1 Mickelson until Noon, & I got some of that, too, £20 EW @ 16/1.

I did NOT place the proposed bet by Sharky, as there had been much poo-pooing of it, but welcome aboard Sharky, please hang around, & I'm pretty sure we will soon be making love. We seem to have gained a lot of new, insighful, regulars, the more the better imo, so thank you.

As to those Bets I placed this morning, I'm not sure it would be compliant for Fred to confirm they are on AFTER the Event has started, so unless it is agreed otherwise, I'll keep them for myself. I'll re-affirm our Masters Book a bit later, so we can better keep track of all the money we will win.

Bumped for Doobsy.

The Post was made at about 6pm last night.

Stewards Inquiry Incoming.

I have the BetSlips of course, currently "off-thread", but the bets were placed around 11am yesterday morning, & I could not get on blonde to state that at the time. It makes no difference to me either way, financially.

should be on thread. you placed them from Doobs' tip pre-event, and confirmed as soon as you could

(might as well throw some more wood on the April bonfire....)
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« Reply #37313 on: April 12, 2013, 11:13:47 AM »

Ahead of the CL draw..what price would you make Bayern Munich to win the CL, and out of the 4 remaining teams where would you have them in the betting, 1,2,3 or 4?

no cheating..

Personally I would make them favourites at 6/4 but I guess the bookies will have them 3rd behind the Spanish teams at about 3-1.

BTW nice snooker tip TYVM>





almost certainly 3rd favs
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« Reply #37314 on: April 12, 2013, 11:14:56 AM »

and ahead of the draw, where would you have them, 3rd favourites?
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« Reply #37315 on: April 12, 2013, 11:19:33 AM »

The market looks priced fine to me, Dortmund arguably a touch underrated but can't see how Munich at 13/5 is some sort of rick. And they aren't really third in, they are basically the same price as Madrid, so joint 2nd favs, which once again looks fine, unless I'm missing something??
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« Reply #37316 on: April 12, 2013, 11:27:50 AM »

The market looks priced fine to me, Dortmund arguably a touch underrated but can't see how Munich at 13/5 is some sort of rick. And they aren't really third in, they are basically the same price as Madrid, so joint 2nd favs, which once again looks fine, unless I'm missing something??

No not missing anything I was just asking for opinions

I thought 13-5 was high, and think they are probably the best team left.

Avoid Barca and 13-5 is a good price I think
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« Reply #37317 on: April 12, 2013, 11:28:09 AM »

Ahead of the CL draw..what price would you make Bayern Munich to win the CL, and out of the 4 remaining teams where would you have them in the betting, 1,2,3 or 4?

no cheating..

Personally I would make them favourites at 6/4 but I guess the bookies will have them 3rd behind the Spanish teams at about 3-1.

BTW nice snooker tip TYVM>

If you genuinely believed your pricing on this. You should be betting 18% of your bank according to Kelly. If we half it thenyou should be recommending a bet of around £400-450 for Tony Smiley

Btw you were one of the people I was referring to when I said I follow blind on sports I'd love to be an expert in but know little such as RL
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« Reply #37318 on: April 12, 2013, 11:28:55 AM »


GO AWAY
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« Reply #37319 on: April 12, 2013, 11:31:30 AM »

The market looks priced fine to me, Dortmund arguably a touch underrated but can't see how Munich at 13/5 is some sort of rick. And they aren't really third in, they are basically the same price as Madrid, so joint 2nd favs, which once again looks fine, unless I'm missing something??

No not missing anything I was just asking for opinions

I thought 13-5 was high, and think they are probably the best team left.

Avoid Barca and 13-5 is a good price I think

If you think they should be sub 2-1 then you should be recommending Tikay have half of Kelly so 5% or £250 or so
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