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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16533742 times)
Tal
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« Reply #43275 on: June 16, 2013, 10:36:49 AM »

Rest day in the chess. Convenient, as I'm at Manchestorrrr Airport Departures. Will keep up the updates tomorrow, fear not.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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« Reply #43276 on: June 16, 2013, 10:44:48 AM »

Rest day in the chess. Convenient, as I'm at Manchestorrrr Airport Departures. Will keep up the updates tomorrow, fear not.

Bon voyage mon brave.

Looking forward to the diary.
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Tal
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« Reply #43277 on: June 16, 2013, 11:05:47 AM »

Rest day in the chess. Convenient, as I'm at Manchestorrrr Airport Departures. Will keep up the updates tomorrow, fear not.

Bon voyage mon brave.

Looking forward to the diary.

Ha! Merci beaucoup.Unlikely on the diary front. Not much of a wordsmith.

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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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« Reply #43278 on: June 16, 2013, 11:38:14 AM »

To get a game at Cardiff we need to be playing by 4.17. That would be a 20 overs a side game. Still drizzling
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« Reply #43279 on: June 16, 2013, 11:46:24 AM »

Day admitted he choked at the Masters. Quite surprised by that tbh.
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« Reply #43280 on: June 16, 2013, 11:48:47 AM »

Rest day in the chess. Convenient, as I'm at Manchestorrrr Airport Departures. Will keep up the updates tomorrow, fear not.

Bon voyage mon brave.

Looking forward to the diary.

Ha! Merci beaucoup.Unlikely on the diary front. Not much of a wordsmith.

CALL!!

Safe trip, and hopefully see you over there Tal.
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kinboshi
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« Reply #43281 on: June 16, 2013, 12:32:01 PM »

Rest day in the chess. Convenient, as I'm at Manchestorrrr Airport Departures. Will keep up the updates tomorrow, fear not.

Bon voyage mon brave.

Looking forward to the diary.

Ha! Merci beaucoup.Unlikely on the diary front. Not much of a wordsmith.

CALL!!

Safe trip, and hopefully see you over there Tal.

Was going to CALL as well.  Sort it out!
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« Reply #43282 on: June 16, 2013, 04:38:31 PM »

Southee dropped, lol.

NZ win toss and bowl. that's good news with weather around and DL a possibility later

Remind me never to put up any top bowler/batsman bets up again.

 
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« Reply #43283 on: June 16, 2013, 08:42:11 PM »

The NZ loss to England by 10 runs was slightly disappointing

45 minutes away from a washout, then a very controversial non no-ball call on a wicket delivery with the game in the balance. England bowled superbly though, in nice conditions for them

Still, all is not lost because NZ got close for Net run rate purposes

NZ have three points NRR +0.72

SL 2 points NRR -0.52

Aus 1 point NRR -1.06

SL play Aus tomorrow

SL win they go through

Aus win it comes down to NRR between them and NZ

For example, if Aus bat first and score 250, they would need to bowl out SL for less than 124 to stop NZ going through

If SL bat first and get 250, Aus would need to get them in 29 overs

On Betfair NZ are 17.5, Australia 40

For all intents and purposes then, we are funking for Australia, which is unlikely but you never know and probably more palatable than trading for a tenner profit which I decided not to do this morning

A real wild card is weather, no result, NZ go through in that scenario
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« Reply #43284 on: June 16, 2013, 08:45:08 PM »

Funking for Stenson currently Tied for 8th, 6 paid e/w....70/1

Just know we are going to miss out by a shot or two....
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« Reply #43285 on: June 16, 2013, 09:52:59 PM »

Cheng Tsung Pan has set the target for best amateur with +15 in the clubhouse.
Michael Kim is +5 thru 9 (+1 today).
This could be close.
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« Reply #43286 on: June 16, 2013, 09:58:16 PM »

With the US Open Leaderboard looking so wide open...

   1   MICKELSON, P.   3:20p       -1   67   72   70       209
   T2   MAHAN, H.   3:20p       E   72   69   69       210
   T2   SCHWARTZEL, C.   3:09p       E   70   71   69       210
   T2   STRICKER, S.   3:09p       E   71   69   70       210
   T5   ROSE, J.   2:58p       +1   71   69   71       211
   T5   DONALD, L.   2:58p       +1   68   72   71       211
   T5   HORSCHEL, B.   2:47p       +1   72   67   72       211
   8   DAY, J.   2:47p       +2   70   74   68       212
   9   FOWLER, R.   2:36p       +3   70   76   67       213
   10   KIM, M.   2:36p       +4   73   70   71       214
   T11   FDEZ-CASTANO, G.   2:25p       +5   71   72   72       215
   T11   STENSON, H.   2:25p       +5   74   68   73       215
   T11   POULTER, I.   2:14p       +5   71   71   73       215
   T11   COLSAERTS, N.   2:14p       +5   69   72   74       215

and the betting market

Mickelson 5/2
Schwartzel 5/1
Stricker 6/1
Mahan 6/1
Rose 9/1
Donald 10/1
Horschel 14/1
Day 16/1
Fowler 33/1
100/1 bar

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/us-open/winner

and it being so difficult to put together something like 66-67 to come from 4-5 behind to win it, is there any value in those prices, or is it just too tough to call?

For example Stricker will par his way round it and great temperament etc etc..if he were to be in the clubhouse at evens you'd take the 6-1 now in a shot would you not?
   

Jason Day at 16s e/w with Paddy Power looks value with 4/1 the place.  He impressed me in the masters and looks unlikely to blow up.  I certainly wouldn't lay 4/1 the place anyway.

ooooooooh
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #43287 on: June 16, 2013, 10:59:06 PM »

Cheng Tsung Pan has set the target for best amateur with +15 in the clubhouse.
Michael Kim is +5 thru 9 (+1 today).
This could be close.


Would be a hell of a bok!  Got 8 shots to lose thru 14
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #43288 on: June 16, 2013, 11:10:06 PM »

Cheng Tsung Pan has set the target for best amateur with +15 in the clubhouse.
Michael Kim is +5 thru 9 (+1 today).
This could be close.


Would be a hell of a bok!  Got 8 shots to lose thru 14

He dropped four shots in the last three holes yesterday and the course is tougher today.
I tend to be cautious in these matters. Smiley
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« Reply #43289 on: June 16, 2013, 11:32:46 PM »

Kim +8 thru 16.
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