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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16481878 times)
MereNovice
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« Reply #43380 on: June 18, 2013, 11:23:43 AM »

Paddy Power are offering money back if Animal Kingdom wins the Queen Anne.

This is also a good way race.

I have did a few calcs that I talked about last night here

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=61477.msg1794041#msg1794041

I have just redone the calcs, and the 12/1 (14.75 Betfair) about Trade Storm is now the best bet.  The offer more than makes up for the bad price.

It is also a good e/w race, so suggest £25 e/w Trade Storm in the Queen Anne with Paddy Power


On

Your Bets
When placing an E/W bet, your total stake will be double the amount you enter in the stake box.
Single: Trade Storm @ 12/1
2 lines at £25.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £50.00
Potential returns: £425.00
No: O/22838217/0000136
Total stake: £50.00
Free bets voucher: £0.00
Total Cost: £50.00
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« Reply #43381 on: June 18, 2013, 11:24:11 AM »

Brumbies 8-3 up at H T, and better than that score suggests too

The Lions playing like a team that has just come together which is because they are a team that has just come together.

More a Barbarians scratch team than a cohesive unit, particularly in the backs who are playing like blindfold children trying to hit a rugby ball pinata.

Hopefully some took the unders on points suggested too (five penalties attempted, three missed)
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« Reply #43382 on: June 18, 2013, 11:24:34 AM »

Ladbrokes are offering free bets (up to £25) if your horse is 2nd at Ascot

You are better backing short price horses in these races.  The logic is here http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=61477.msg1794039#msg1794039

All £25 on the nose with Ladbrokes

14.30 Animal Kingdom Evens
15.05 Shea Shea (currently 9/4, think it is sure to get bigger, so you may want to wait, but they are best odds guaranteed, so doesn't really matter)
15.45 Magician 9/4 (think it is more likely to be placed than Dawn Approach and is closer to Betfair odds)
16.25 Stubbs 11/4 (not best price, but best price guarantee obv and we already have Sir John Hawkins)

Hope everyone gives Ladbrokes hell, as they don't let me do offers.

I have cleared all these bets with our risk manager, and he says go for it!
« Last Edit: June 18, 2013, 11:31:07 AM by Doobs » Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #43383 on: June 18, 2013, 11:27:59 AM »

I have posted some Ascot thoughts. Obviously Joe and I are keen to get sign-ups for Betting Emporium but I think a lot of Fred regs have already signed-up. Hopefully, (if you can read what is there), you'll think I've found some interesting outsiders and I'll be very happy if Fred gets a winner from me. If you have any free bets you may want to use them but I have bet each-way.

Mere, there are 6 bets put up all at nice prices none of which the thread has. Should it?
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« Reply #43384 on: June 18, 2013, 11:28:14 AM »

I can't have that being an unbiased assessment of the first half Rich. If it was you would surely be recommending the biggest lay in history given the Lions are 8/11 on bf now. Personally think they will win by between 5 and 10
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« Reply #43385 on: June 18, 2013, 11:29:59 AM »

the ladbrokes offer is free bets not money back

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« Reply #43386 on: June 18, 2013, 11:30:48 AM »

I can't have that being an unbiased assessment of the first half Rich. If it was you would surely be recommending the biggest lay in history given the Lions are 8/11 on bf now. Personally think they will win by between 5 and 10

TOTALLY unbiased. The Lions were crap. Worse than crap

I haven't looked at Betfair, but one reason they might win narrowly is the bench is much stronger than some of those on the pitch. All 8 might come on and change it, but its going to be close
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« Reply #43387 on: June 18, 2013, 11:32:42 AM »

They weren't that bad, could have scored in first minute- that was 12 point swing etc. 8/11 looks more than fair to me
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« Reply #43388 on: June 18, 2013, 11:36:59 AM »

the ladbrokes offer is free bets not money back



Edited.  Really struggling this morning, the 1 year old much prefers laptops to Peppa Pig today.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #43389 on: June 18, 2013, 11:40:10 AM »

I have posted some Ascot thoughts. Obviously Joe and I are keen to get sign-ups for Betting Emporium but I think a lot of Fred regs have already signed-up. Hopefully, (if you can read what is there), you'll think I've found some interesting outsiders and I'll be very happy if Fred gets a winner from me. If you have any free bets you may want to use them but I have bet each-way.

Mere, there are 6 bets put up all at nice prices none of which the thread has. Should it?

Good question to which I don't know the answer.
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« Reply #43390 on: June 18, 2013, 11:41:38 AM »

They weren't that bad, could have scored in first minute- that was 12 point swing etc. 8/11 looks more than fair to me

@Chris Foy (mail rugby correspondent)

To those saying it wasn't that bad - tell that to Andy Farrell, who has just told the Lions players their fortune in the changing-room.


(I hope the Lions win, but it was dreadful Dave)
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Tonji
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« Reply #43391 on: June 18, 2013, 11:47:42 AM »

Only taken me 50 minutes to see the ref is sponsored by Specsavers  Cheesy
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MereNovice
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« Reply #43392 on: June 18, 2013, 11:49:27 AM »

Ladbrokes are offering free bets (up to £25) if your horse is 2nd at Ascot

You are better backing short price horses in these races.  The logic is here http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=61477.msg1794039#msg1794039

All £25 on the nose with Ladbrokes

14.30 Animal Kingdom Evens
15.05 Shea Shea (currently 9/4, think it is sure to get bigger, so you may want to wait, but they are best odds guaranteed, so doesn't really matter)
15.45 Magician 9/4 (think it is more likely to be placed than Dawn Approach and is closer to Betfair odds)
16.25 Stubbs 11/4 (not best price, but best price guarantee obv and we already have Sir John Hawkins)

Hope everyone gives Ladbrokes hell, as they don't let me do offers.

I have cleared all these bets with our risk manager, and he says go for it!

On

Single - Animal Kingdom
1 line at £25.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £25.00
Potential Return: £50.00
Time: 18/06/13 11:46
Receipt No: O/151906572/0000116
 
 
Single - Shea Shea
1 line at £25.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £25.00
Potential Return: £87.50
Time: 18/06/13 11:46
Receipt No: O/151906572/0000117
 
 
Single - Magician
1 line at £25.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £25.00
Potential Return: £75.00
Time: 18/06/13 11:46
Receipt No: O/151906572/0000118
 
 
Single - Stubbs
1 line at £18.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £18.00
Potential Return: £67.50
Time: 18/06/13 11:46
Receipt No: O/151906572/0000119
 


Could only get £18 on one.
Didn't get the price on one but still placed it.
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« Reply #43393 on: June 18, 2013, 11:51:07 AM »

I have posted some Ascot thoughts. Obviously Joe and I are keen to get sign-ups for Betting Emporium but I think a lot of Fred regs have already signed-up. Hopefully, (if you can read what is there), you'll think I've found some interesting outsiders and I'll be very happy if Fred gets a winner from me. If you have any free bets you may want to use them but I have bet each-way.

Mere, there are 6 bets put up all at nice prices none of which the thread has. Should it?

Good question to which I don't know the answer.

I think it would be good to follow Neil, who can forget Cheltenham Day 1?

No idea which and how, thats your problem or for others to decide. I think we have some bets in all those races so maybe small stakes e/w?
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MereNovice
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« Reply #43394 on: June 18, 2013, 12:09:21 PM »

I have posted some Ascot thoughts. Obviously Joe and I are keen to get sign-ups for Betting Emporium but I think a lot of Fred regs have already signed-up. Hopefully, (if you can read what is there), you'll think I've found some interesting outsiders and I'll be very happy if Fred gets a winner from me. If you have any free bets you may want to use them but I have bet each-way.

Mere, there are 6 bets put up all at nice prices none of which the thread has. Should it?

Good question to which I don't know the answer.

I think it would be good to follow Neil, who can forget Cheltenham Day 1?

No idea which and how, thats your problem or for others to decide. I think we have some bets in all those races so maybe small stakes e/w?

I am totally unqualified but agree that getting something on would be good.
Does anyone feel like picking one or two out?
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