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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16481768 times)
MereNovice
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43380 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:23:43 AM »
Quote from: Doobs on June 18, 2013, 11:12:00 AM
Paddy Power are offering money back if Animal Kingdom wins the Queen Anne.
This is also a good way race.
I have did a few calcs that I talked about last night here
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=61477.msg1794041#msg1794041
I have just redone the calcs, and the 12/1 (14.75 Betfair) about Trade Storm is now the best bet. The offer more than makes up for the bad price.
It is also a good e/w race, so suggest £25 e/w Trade Storm in the Queen Anne with Paddy Power
On
Your Bets
When placing an E/W bet, your total stake will be double the amount you enter in the stake box.
Single: Trade Storm @ 12/1
2 lines at £25.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £50.00
Potential returns: £425.00
No: O/22838217/0000136
Total stake: £50.00
Free bets voucher: £0.00
Total Cost: £50.00
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43381 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:24:11 AM »
Brumbies 8-3 up at H T, and better than that score suggests too
The Lions playing like a team that has just come together which is because they are a team that has just come together.
More a Barbarians scratch team than a cohesive unit, particularly in the backs who are playing like blindfold children trying to hit a rugby ball pinata.
Hopefully some took the unders on points suggested too (five penalties attempted, three missed)
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43382 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:24:34 AM »
Ladbrokes are offering free bets (up to £25) if your horse is 2nd at Ascot
You are better backing short price horses in these races. The logic is here
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=61477.msg1794039#msg1794039
All £25 on the nose with Ladbrokes
14.30 Animal Kingdom Evens
15.05 Shea Shea (currently 9/4, think it is sure to get bigger, so you may want to wait, but they are best odds guaranteed, so doesn't really matter)
15.45 Magician 9/4 (think it is more likely to be placed than Dawn Approach and is closer to Betfair odds)
16.25 Stubbs 11/4 (not best price, but best price guarantee obv and we already have Sir John Hawkins)
Hope everyone gives Ladbrokes hell, as they don't let me do offers.
I have cleared all these bets with our risk manager, and he says go for it!
«
Last Edit: June 18, 2013, 11:31:07 AM by Doobs
»
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43383 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:27:59 AM »
Quote from: Bad Beat on June 18, 2013, 11:14:37 AM
I have posted some Ascot thoughts. Obviously Joe and I are keen to get sign-ups for Betting Emporium but I think a lot of Fred regs have already signed-up. Hopefully, (if you can read what is there), you'll think I've found some interesting outsiders and I'll be very happy if Fred gets a winner from me. If you have any free bets you may want to use them but I have bet each-way.
Mere, there are 6 bets put up all at nice prices none of which the thread has. Should it?
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Dubai
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43384 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:28:14 AM »
I can't have that being an unbiased assessment of the first half Rich. If it was you would surely be recommending the biggest lay in history given the Lions are 8/11 on bf now. Personally think they will win by between 5 and 10
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horseplayer
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43385 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:29:59 AM »
the ladbrokes offer is free bets not money back
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43386 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:30:48 AM »
Quote from: Dubai on June 18, 2013, 11:28:14 AM
I can't have that being an unbiased assessment of the first half Rich. If it was you would surely be recommending the biggest lay in history given the Lions are 8/11 on bf now. Personally think they will win by between 5 and 10
TOTALLY unbiased. The Lions were crap. Worse than crap
I haven't looked at Betfair, but one reason they might win narrowly is the bench is much stronger than some of those on the pitch. All 8 might come on and change it, but its going to be close
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Dubai
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43387 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:32:42 AM »
They weren't that bad, could have scored in first minute- that was 12 point swing etc. 8/11 looks more than fair to me
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43388 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:36:59 AM »
Quote from: horseplayer on June 18, 2013, 11:29:59 AM
the ladbrokes offer is free bets not money back
Edited. Really struggling this morning, the 1 year old much prefers laptops to Peppa Pig today.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
MereNovice
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Posts: 9901
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43389 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:40:10 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 18, 2013, 11:27:59 AM
Quote from: Bad Beat on June 18, 2013, 11:14:37 AM
I have posted some Ascot thoughts. Obviously Joe and I are keen to get sign-ups for Betting Emporium but I think a lot of Fred regs have already signed-up. Hopefully, (if you can read what is there), you'll think I've found some interesting outsiders and I'll be very happy if Fred gets a winner from me. If you have any free bets you may want to use them but I have bet each-way.
Mere, there are 6 bets put up all at nice prices none of which the thread has. Should it?
Good question to which I don't know the answer.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43390 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:41:38 AM »
Quote from: Dubai on June 18, 2013, 11:32:42 AM
They weren't that bad, could have scored in first minute- that was 12 point swing etc. 8/11 looks more than fair to me
@Chris Foy (mail rugby correspondent)
To those saying it wasn't that bad - tell that to Andy Farrell, who has just told the Lions players their fortune in the changing-room.
(I hope the Lions win, but it was dreadful Dave)
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Tonji
They got a name for all the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose.
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43391 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:47:42 AM »
Only taken me 50 minutes to see the ref is sponsored by Specsavers
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http://www.photonet.org.uk/
They got a name for all the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose.
MereNovice
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Posts: 9901
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43392 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:49:27 AM »
Quote from: Doobs on June 18, 2013, 11:24:34 AM
Ladbrokes are offering free bets (up to £25) if your horse is 2nd at Ascot
You are better backing short price horses in these races. The logic is here
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=61477.msg1794039#msg1794039
All £25 on the nose with Ladbrokes
14.30 Animal Kingdom Evens
15.05 Shea Shea (currently 9/4, think it is sure to get bigger, so you may want to wait, but they are best odds guaranteed, so doesn't really matter)
15.45 Magician 9/4 (think it is more likely to be placed than Dawn Approach and is closer to Betfair odds)
16.25 Stubbs 11/4 (not best price, but best price guarantee obv and we already have Sir John Hawkins)
Hope everyone gives Ladbrokes hell, as they don't let me do offers.
I have cleared all these bets with our risk manager, and he says go for it!
On
Single - Animal Kingdom
1 line at £25.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £25.00
Potential Return: £50.00
Time: 18/06/13 11:46
Receipt No: O/151906572/0000116
Single - Shea Shea
1 line at £25.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £25.00
Potential Return: £87.50
Time: 18/06/13 11:46
Receipt No: O/151906572/0000117
Single - Magician
1 line at £25.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £25.00
Potential Return: £75.00
Time: 18/06/13 11:46
Receipt No: O/151906572/0000118
Single - Stubbs
1 line at £18.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £18.00
Potential Return: £67.50
Time: 18/06/13 11:46
Receipt No: O/151906572/0000119
Could only get £18 on one.
Didn't get the price on one but still placed it.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43393 on:
June 18, 2013, 11:51:07 AM »
Quote from: MereNovice on June 18, 2013, 11:40:10 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on June 18, 2013, 11:27:59 AM
Quote from: Bad Beat on June 18, 2013, 11:14:37 AM
I have posted some Ascot thoughts. Obviously Joe and I are keen to get sign-ups for Betting Emporium but I think a lot of Fred regs have already signed-up. Hopefully, (if you can read what is there), you'll think I've found some interesting outsiders and I'll be very happy if Fred gets a winner from me. If you have any free bets you may want to use them but I have bet each-way.
Mere, there are 6 bets put up all at nice prices none of which the thread has. Should it?
Good question to which I don't know the answer.
I think it would be good to follow Neil, who can forget Cheltenham Day 1?
No idea which and how, thats your problem or for others to decide. I think we have some bets in all those races so maybe small stakes e/w?
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
MereNovice
Gamesmaster
Hero Member
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Posts: 9901
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #43394 on:
June 18, 2013, 12:09:21 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 18, 2013, 11:51:07 AM
Quote from: MereNovice on June 18, 2013, 11:40:10 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on June 18, 2013, 11:27:59 AM
Quote from: Bad Beat on June 18, 2013, 11:14:37 AM
I have posted some Ascot thoughts. Obviously Joe and I are keen to get sign-ups for Betting Emporium but I think a lot of Fred regs have already signed-up. Hopefully, (if you can read what is there), you'll think I've found some interesting outsiders and I'll be very happy if Fred gets a winner from me. If you have any free bets you may want to use them but I have bet each-way.
Mere, there are 6 bets put up all at nice prices none of which the thread has. Should it?
Good question to which I don't know the answer.
I think it would be good to follow Neil, who can forget Cheltenham Day 1?
No idea which and how, thats your problem or for others to decide. I think we have some bets in all those races so maybe small stakes e/w?
I am totally unqualified but agree that getting something on would be good.
Does anyone feel like picking one or two out?
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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